Puebla vs Santos Laguna Prediction 26 July 2025
📣 The third round of the Mexican football championship is just around the corner! This round features a clash between Puebla and Santos Laguna. Nicolás Larcamón's squad have kicked off the season with two defeats. Playing on their home turf, they are surely eager to secure their first points of the tournament. But will they manage to do so? Check out our prediction below!
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place in February, ending with a 2-0 victory for Puebla. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (with Santos Laguna as the home side):
- possession: 65% vs 35%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 14 vs 23;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 6 vs 8.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Puebla and Santos Laguna:
- 43 matches played;
- home wins - 6, away wins - 18, draws - 19;
- goals scored - 41 for Puebla, 69 for Santos Laguna;
- average first-half total - 1.02, second-half - 1.53;
- average total goals per match - 2.56.
Head-to-head statistics Puebla - Santos Laguna
Puebla Team Overview
Puebla faced Mazatlan in the previous round of Liga MX and suffered a 1-2 defeat.
The match statistics are as follows (Puebla vs Mazatlan):
- possession percentage: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
- fouls: 12 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 2.
Puebla are navigating a challenging period, having stumbled in the opening two rounds of Liga MX and currently sitting 16th in the standings. Nicolás Larcamón's squad are struggling defensively, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per match. Their attacking play is also lacking, with an average of just 0.4 goals scored over the last 10 matches. Despite these disappointing stats, Puebla hope to turn things around and emerge from their slump, relying on the support of their home fans in the upcoming round.
Match Results: Puebla
Santos Laguna Team Overview
Santos Laguna faced off against Toluca in the second round of Liga MX, suffering a 4-2 defeat.
Here are the match statistics (Santos Laguna vs Toluca):
- possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 8 vs 20;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 7.
Currently, the Warriors hold the sixth spot in the standings, having secured three points. Meanwhile, Santos Laguna have shown inconsistent form in away matches, evidenced by 12 losses in their last 13 games. However, as previously mentioned, the Green-and-Whites recently defeated Puebla 2-0 in a head-to-head clash, boosting Ignacio Ambriz's squad's confidence ahead of their upcoming road game.
Match Results: Santos Laguna
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 43;
- Home wins - 6, Away wins - 18, Draws - 19.
Statistics: Puebla vs Santos Laguna
- Matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- Wins: 0 vs 1;
- Win percentage: 0% vs 50%;
- Losses: 2 vs 1;
- Draws: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 0 vs 2;
- Losses: 9 vs 8;
- Draws: 1 vs 0.
- Santos Laguna have covered a +1.5 handicap away in their last 21 head-to-head matches against Puebla (Liga MX).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- The hosts average goals scored - 0.95, visitors - 1.6;
- Average total goals in these encounters - 2.56;
- Both teams scored: overall - 21 times; at the home ground - 11 times.
Statistics: Puebla vs Santos Laguna
- Average total in the tournament: 4 vs 4.5;
- Average goals scored: 1.5 vs 2.5;
- Average first-half total: 0.5 vs 1.5;
- Average second-half total: 1 vs 1;
- Puebla: average home total in the tournament - 2;
- Santos Laguna: average away total in the tournament - 0;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 0.4 (home - 0.6) vs 1.3 (away - 0.75).
- Puebla have conceded in 10 of their last 11 matches (Liga MX).
Corners Prediction
Puebla: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4; at home - 4;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.8; at home - 3.8.
Santos Laguna: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 3, away - 0;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.2; away - 3.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.54 (1.77 for the home team and 1.77 for the visitors);
- Average yellow cards at the home ground - 3 (1.67 for the home team and 1.33 for the visitors).
Puebla: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4; at home - 4;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.1; at home - 3.4.
Santos Laguna: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.5, away - 0;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.1; away - 2.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 43;
- Both teams scored overall - 21 times;
- At the home ground - 11 times.
Statistics: Puebla vs Santos Laguna
- Total matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- Matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 1;
- Puebla BTTS at home - 1 (100%);
- Santos Laguna BTTS away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Matches with BTTS: 3 vs 6;
- Puebla BTTS at home - 2 (40%);
- Santos Laguna BTTS away - 2 (50%).
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Both teams are highly motivated heading into the third round: Puebla are fighting for survival in the league, aiming to escape the relegation zone, while Santos Laguna are looking to solidify their position among the leaders. Considering past head-to-head stats and the current form of both sides, an attacking game from both teams seems likely, which could lead to defensive lapses. Therefore, betting on both teams to score appears to be a reasonable choice for this matchup.
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Betting Tips: Puebla - Santos Laguna
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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