Gremio vs Coritiba Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 26 April 2026
🔊 Grêmio host Coritiba in a match that promises to be tactically intriguing. The home side have been inconsistent, securing just 3 wins in their last 10 matches and struggling with low scoring. Meanwhile, the visitors are on an upswing, sitting in 7th place in the table and suffering only two defeats in their last 10 games. This clash will test both teams: can the hosts hold off their opponents at home, or will the visitors extend their successful run?
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 01 November 2023 and ended with a 1-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative analysis of that encounter (with Coritiba as the home side):
- possession percentage: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 11;
- fouls: 8 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Grêmio and Coritiba:
- 27 matches played;
- home wins - 14, away wins - 9, draws - 4;
- goals scored - 35 for Grêmio, 30 for Coritiba;
- average goals in the first half - 1.07, in the second half - 1.33;
- average total goals per match - 2.41.
Head-to-head statistics Gremio - Coritiba
Gremio Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Brazilian Cup, with Grêmio hosting Confiança. The match concluded with a 2-0 victory for Grêmio.
Here are the match statistics (Grêmio vs Confiança):
- possession: 70% vs 30%;
- corners: 11 vs 0;
- fouls: 11 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 0.
🔵 Grêmio are struggling to pick up points, reflected in their current 13th place in the league standings. Their form is inconsistent, with just two wins in their last five matches. However, historically, the team performs well at home against Coritiba, having won the last five home encounters between these sides. Scoring remains an issue for the team, as they net fewer than 1.5 goals in most of their games.
Match Results: Gremio
Coritiba FC PR Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Copa do Brasil, where Santos played host to Coritiba. The match ended in a goalless draw, 0-0.
Here are the game statistics (Coritiba vs Santos):
- possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 7;
- fouls: 19 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 1.
🟢 Coritiba are delivering impressive performances this season, currently sitting 7th in the standings thanks to their solid play both defensively and offensively. Over their last five matches, they remain unbeaten with one win and four draws, conceding an average of just 0.7 goals per game-one of the best records in the league at the moment.
Match Results: Coritiba FC PR
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 27;
- Home team first-half wins - 6; away team first-half wins - 1; draws - 7;
- Average first-half total: 1.07;
- Today's home team averages 0.48 goals, while the away team averages 0.59.
First-Half Statistics: Gremio (home) vs Coritiba (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 6;
- Wins: 2 (40%) vs 2 (33.33%);
- Losses: 1 (20%) vs 1 (16.67%);
- Draws: 2 (40%) vs 3 (50%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.17;
- Average goals conceded: 0.4 vs 0.5.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 1 vs 4;
- Losses: 2 vs 2;
- Draws: 7 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 0.7 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.4) vs 0.6 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.2).
- Gremio have scored in the first half at home in their last 5 head-to-head matches against this team.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 27;
- Home wins - 14, Away wins - 9, Draws - 4.
Statistics: Grêmio vs Coritiba
- Matches in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- Wins: 3 vs 5;
- Win percentage: 25% vs 42%;
- Losses: 5 vs 3;
- Draws: 4 vs 4.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 3 vs 4;
- Losses: 4 vs 2;
- Draws: 3 vs 4.
- Coritiba have covered the +1.5 spread in 33 of their last 34 matches.
- Coritiba have covered the +1.5 spread in 23 of their last 24 away matches.
- Coritiba have covered the +1.5 spread in 11 of their last 12 Série A matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches (Average Total):
- Home team - 1.3, Away team - 1.11;
- Overall head-to-head - 2.41;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 11 times; at home - 5 times.
Average Total Statistics: Grêmio vs Coritiba
- In the tournament: 2.5 vs 2.25;
- Goals scored: 1.17 vs 1.25;
- First half: 0.42 vs 0.5;
- Second half: 0.75 vs 0.75;
- Grêmio at home in the tournament - 2;
- Coritiba away in the tournament - 1.67;
- Last 10 matches: 0.8 (home - 1.25) vs 1 (away - 1).
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches in Série A.
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in 16 of Grêmio's last 18 Série A matches.
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in Grêmio's last 7 of 8 home matches in Série A.
- Total over 1.5 goals has hit in Coritiba's last 5 consecutive Série A matches.
Corners Prediction
Grêmio: Statistics
- Season: Average total in the tournament - 3.92; at home - 5.2;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 4.4; at home - 7.75.
Coritiba: Statistics
- Season: Average total in the tournament - 3.25, away - 3.83;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 3.4; away - 3.8.
- Grêmio have recorded under 5.5 corners in 7 of their last 8 Série A matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 27;
- Both teams scored all-time - 11 times;
- At home - 5 times.
Statistics: Grêmio vs Coritiba
- Played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- Season matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 7 vs 5;
- Grêmio BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
- Coritiba BTTS away - 3 (50%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Matches with BTTS: 3 vs 3;
- Grêmio BTTS at home - 0 (0%);
- Coritiba BTTS away - 1 (20%).
Correct Score Prediction
Most Frequent Results (Current Season):
- The most common scoreline in the tournament: 1-1 (17/117, 14.5%);
- Grêmio at home most frequently ends matches: 0-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 5-3 (1/5, 20%);
- Coritiba away most frequently plays: 0-1, 0-2, 1-2, 2-0, 2-2, 3-3 (1/6, 16.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top three outcomes:
1-0 - 13.91% (odds: 6)
1-1 - 12.7% (odds: 6.5)
0-0 - 9.69% (odds: 7.1)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Given Grêmio's home success against Coritiba, the hosts emerge as the bookmakers' favorites in this matchup. The low scoring tendencies of both teams suggest a tight contest with limited opportunities. Despite Grêmio's struggles with consistency, their head-to-head history at home tips the balance in their favor. However, we recommend betting on under 2.5 goals, a trend that has hit in Grêmio's last six consecutive matches.
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Betting Tips: Gremio - Coritiba FC PR
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