Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Prediction
🔊 Who will come out on top in the major Moscow derby? The match at "Lukoil Arena" carries significant weight in terms of deciding the podium spots. The winner of this clash is highly likely to secure third place in the Russian Premier League. Spartak have the upper hand with a two-point advantage and are considered the favorites for the upcoming encounter. However, CSKA have been unbeaten in the spring part of the season. Therefore, we will explore various scenarios to make an insightful prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Spartak and CSKA:
- 42 matches played;
- home wins - 14, away wins - 19, draws - 9;
- goals scored - 55 for Spartak, 67 for CSKA;
- average goals in the first half - 1.19, in the second half - 1.71;
- average total goals per match - 2.9.
The last game took place on 02 November 2024 at CSKA's ground and ended with a 0-2 scoreline.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Spartak Moscow Team Overview
🔴 Spartak have already dropped points three times in the spring phase of the championship, even in matches where they were clear favorites. They lost to Rubin and drew with Akhmat away, while they fell to Dynamo Makhachkala in Moscow (1-2). However, the second half performance by the "Red-Whites" was promising. They had a chance to come back, but Jesús Medina missed a penalty. As a result, Spartak have essentially fallen out of the title race.
🔗 In the last round, the team played against Akron in Samara without their head coach and his assistant, who were both suspended. They were trailing by two goals but managed to turn the match around. Yet again, there was a missed penalty-Ezequiel Barco failed to convert. He stepped up again in added time and didn't miss, securing a comeback victory for Spartak (3-2).
📣 Spartak's winger Marquinhos shared how they managed to snatch victory from Akron: “We won through our spirit. In the locker room after the first half, we talked and said we had to win this match. We came out for the second half like it was a battle, and we won it.”
❌ Pablo Solari will not play in the upcoming match. Despite joining the team only in winter and never starting a RPL match, the Argentine has already accumulated four yellow cards, leading to a suspension.
Match Results: Spartak Moscow
CSKA Moscow Team Overview
🔵 CSKA remain the only team in the RPL without a defeat this spring. This run has propelled them to fourth place, putting them in the hunt for medals. However, signs of a slump are starting to appear, as seen in recent matches. It began in Orenburg when Marko Nikolić rotated his squad. They managed a 2-0 win, but the opposition outperformed them in most metrics. Following that was a goalless draw against Dynamo Moscow in the Russian Cup, where the "Army Men" created virtually no chances.
🔗 Igor Akinfeev warned that with such performances, the team would start conceding. Unfortunately, nothing changed in the last round against Krylia Sovetov. CSKA not only conceded but also dropped points in a 1-1 draw. Now, the focus for the club is on securing a podium finish rather than challenging for the title.
📣 The first-round RPL derby was intense, featuring three red cards. CSKA defender Moisés believes such incidents are unacceptable in the upcoming clash: "The game will be highly charged, emotions will be running high. We must strive to control them and avoid aggressive behavior. Fans pay for their tickets and want to see a football spectacle; we must not allow anything prohibited."
❌ Igor Diveev missed the last two matches, but Marko Nikolić is counting on him for the encounter with Spartak. Additionally, Rodrigo Villagra is expected to make his debut for CSKA. The Argentine joined the Moscow club in winter but has struggled to regain full fitness.
Match Results: CSKA Moscow
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 42;
- home team wins - 14, away team wins - 19, draws - 9.
Statistics: Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- number of wins: 15 vs 14;
- win percentage: 60% vs 56%;
- number of losses: 5 vs 5;
- number of draws: 5 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 6 vs 6;
- number of losses: 3 vs 1;
- number of draws: 1 vs 3.
- CSKA Moscow won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 away games against Spartak Moscow.
- CSKA Moscow won with a +1.5 handicap in 45 of last 46 games.
- CSKA Moscow won with a +1.5 handicap in 28 of last 29 games (Premier League).
- CSKA Moscow won with a +1.5 handicap in last 20 away games.
- CSKA Moscow won with a +1.5 handicap in last 14 away games (Premier League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.31, the guests - 1.6;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.9;
- both teams scored: overall - 25; at the home team's field - 13.
Statistics: Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow
- average total in the tournament: 2.76 vs 2.24;
- average total goals scored: 1.92 vs 1.56;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.84 vs 0.6;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.08 vs 0.96;
- Spartak Moscow: average total at home in the tournament - 2.23;
- CSKA Moscow: average total away in the tournament - 1.42;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 1.6) vs 1.4 (away - 1).
- CSKA Moscow have scored in 10 of last 11 games (Premier League).
Prediction on corners
Spartak Moscow: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.48; at home field - 6.08;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; at home field - 4.8.
CSKA Moscow: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4, away - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; away - 3.5.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 5.52 (2.76 for home team and 2.76 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.35 (2.3 for home team and 2.05 for away team).
Spartak Moscow: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.32; at home - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; at home - 1.8.
CSKA Moscow: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.72, away - 1.17;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.1; away - 2.25.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 42;
- both teams scored all-time - 25 times;
- on the home team’s field - 13 times.
Statistics: Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow
- number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Spartak Moscow at home - 4 (31%);
- number of BTTS matches for CSKA Moscow away - 5 (42%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Spartak Moscow at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for CSKA Moscow away - 1 (25%).
Editorial Prediction
Recent head-to-head statistics favor Spartak, as they have gone unbeaten against CSKA in their last six encounters. Currently, the "Red-Whites" appear more formidable, especially with the advantage of playing at home. In this scenario, a reasonable bet would be on Spartak to win with a handicap (0). There's also a high chance of both teams finding the net, so an insightful prediction for the final score would be 2-1.
Betting Tips: Spartak Moscow - CSKA Moscow
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
