Bayern vs Mainz Prediction
🔊 Harry Kane is edging closer to his first trophy! With four rounds remaining in the Bundesliga, Bayern sit at the top of the table. They just need to win their next two matches to secure the championship. Mainz are visiting the Allianz Arena, aiming to stay within the top six to qualify for European competitions next year. Can the "Carnival Club" withstand the pressure in Munich?
Head-to-Head
📊 Analytical review of previous official games between Bayern and Mainz:
- 38 matches played;
- wins for the home side - 26, for the visitors - 8, draws - 4;
- goals scored (home/away) - 108 to 43;
- average total goals per match - 3.97.
The last encounter took place at Mainz's ground. The match occurred on 14 December 2024 and ended with a score of 2-1.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Bayern Munich Team Overview
🔴 The Bavarians showed no mercy on the road last round, dismantling Heidenheim 4-0. Kane, Laimer, Coman, and Kimmich all found the back of the net.
📣 Head coach Vincent Kompany summed up the match: "I know everyone will say it's normal for Bayern to win like this. But if you look at Heidenheim's recent games, especially against Bayer, you'll see it wasn't easy for their opponents. So I knew this wouldn't be simple. It was a flawless performance from the guys after a tough week. I commend them.”
🔗 Munich have accumulated 72 points so far-matching their total from last season when they finished third under Thomas Tuchel. With four rounds still to play, they have the potential to improve that tally by 12 points.
🔝 Notably, after the match against Heidenheim, Bayern captain Joshua Kimmich was named in the Bundesliga Team of the Week by the league's official site. Harry Kane made history by scoring 60 Bundesliga goals faster than anyone else, achieving this feat in just 60 matches. Meanwhile, Michael Olise registered another assist, moving into sole possession of first place on the Bundesliga's assists leaderboard with 13 assists.
❌ Jamal Musiala (muscle injury) and Leon Goretzka (calf injury) might miss the game against Mainz. Dayot Upamecano (knee), Alphonso Davies (knee), and Hiroki Ito (metatarsal) are out for the remainder of the season.
Match Results: Bayern Munich
Mainz Team Overview
⚪ In the last round, Mainz dropped points at home against Wolfsburg (2-2). Goals for the "Carnival Club" came from Lee Jae-sung and Dominik Kohr. The team currently sits in sixth place, with a host of chasers eager to break into the top six for a spot in European competitions.
🔗 Mainz's success this season (having finished 13th last year) has not gone unnoticed, particularly regarding certain players. Here's how the market value of the club's most influential players has surged over the past 10 months: forward Jonathan Burkardt was valued at €12 million at the start of the season and now stands at €35 million; midfielder Nadiem Amiri went from €7 million to €18 million; Paul Nebel increased from €3.5 million to €17 million; and Kaishu Sano, initially valued at €1.5 million, has also reached €17 million. We'll see if these key players can propel Mainz into European competitions.
🔝 Additionally, it's worth noting that goalkeeper Robin Zentner became the first to surpass 100 saves in the 2024/2025 season following the last round.
❌ Defenders Stefan Bell (hamstring injury) and Maxim Leitsch (thigh injury), along with Philipp Mwene (strain) and Maxim Dahl (undisclosed injury), might miss the clash against Bayern.
Match Results: Mainz
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 38;
- home team wins - 26, away team wins - 8, draws - 4.
Statistics: Bayern Munich vs Mainz
- number of matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- number of wins: 22 vs 13;
- win percentage: 73% vs 43%;
- number of losses: 2 vs 9;
- number of draws: 6 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 5 vs 4;
- number of losses: 2 vs 2;
- number of draws: 3 vs 4.
- Bayern Munich have won in last 7 home games against Mainz (Bundesliga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.84, the guests - 1.13;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.97;
- both teams scored: overall - 26; at the home team's field - 12.
Statistics: Bayern Munich vs Mainz
- average total in the tournament: 3.87 vs 2.8;
- average total goals scored: 2.9 vs 1.6;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.23 vs 0.83;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.67 vs 0.77;
- Bayern Munich: average total at home in the tournament - 3.2;
- Mainz: average total away in the tournament - 1.8;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.3 (home - 2.2) vs 1.5 (away - 1.6).
- Bayern Munich have conceded in last 11 games against Mainz (Bundesliga).
- Mainz have scored in 8 of last 9 games (Bundesliga).
Prediction on corners
Bayern Munich: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.7; at home field - 7.07;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.4; at home field - 6.
Mainz: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.63, away - 3.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; away - 3.8.
- Bayern Munich have taken over 6.5 corners in 7 of last 8 home games against Mainz (Bundesliga).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.52 (1.26 for home team and 1.26 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.7 (1.35 for home team and 1.35 for away team).
Bayern Munich: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.33; at home - 0.93;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; at home - 1.2.
Mainz: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.97, away - 1.6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.8; away - 1.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 38;
- both teams scored all-time - 26 times;
- on the home team’s field - 12 times.
Statistics: Bayern Munich vs Mainz
- number of matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 17 vs 16;
- number of BTTS matches for Bayern Munich at home - 8 (53%);
- number of BTTS matches for Mainz away - 8 (53%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Bayern Munich at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Mainz away - 3 (60%).
- Bayern Munich have scored and conceded in last 11 games against Mainz (Bundesliga).
- Bayern Munich have scored and conceded in last 5 home games against Mainz (Bundesliga).
- Bayern Munich have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (Bundesliga).
- Mainz have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (Bundesliga).
Editorial Prediction
Given the current form of both teams, an open game with plenty of chances on both sides is expected. Considering Bayern's prolific scoring at home and the trend of both teams finding the net in most of their recent head-to-head encounters, the most reasonable bet seems to be both teams to score (yes). This bet has come through in the last 11 consecutive Bundesliga clashes between Bayern and Mainz. An incredible streak!
Betting Tips: Bayern Munich - Mainz
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
