Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction

    🔊 Will Real Madrid seek revenge for their recent El Clasico drubbings? Los Blancos have taken quite a beating from Barcelona this season and are eager to settle the score with their fierce rivals. For the first time since 2014, Spain's two powerhouses have reached the Copa del Rey final. The match is set for April 26 at the "Olympic Stadium" in Seville.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Barcelona and Real Madrid:

    • 54 matches played;
    • home wins - 24, away wins - 21, draws - 9;
    • goals scored - 104 to 86;
    • average total goals in the first half - 1.5, in the second half - 2.02;
    • average total goals per match - 3.52.

    The last match took place on 12 January 2025 at Real Madrid's ground, ending with a scoreline of 2-5.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    47%
    28 Wins
    15%
    9 Draws
    37%
    22 Wins
    Total games
    59
    Total Goals Avg
    3.59
    Both teams scored
    71%
    1.98
    Total average
    1.61
    2.78
    Yellow cards
    3.22
    Last matches
    10.05.26
    La Liga
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.22
    0.67
    4
    8
    18
    9
    2
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.22
    0.67
    4
    8
    18
    9
    2
    4
    11.01.26
    SSC
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    1
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    2.6
    1.38
    5
    6
    18
    12
    2
    3
    3
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    2.6
    1.38
    5
    6
    18
    12
    2
    3
    26.10.25
    La Liga
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    1
    3.36
    1.37
    12
    4
    12
    9
    4
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    3.36
    1.37
    12
    4
    12
    9
    4
    2
    11.05.25
    La Liga
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    4.24
    2.64
    10
    2
    17
    15
    4
    3
    4
    3
    4
    2
    0
    1
    4.24
    2.64
    10
    2
    17
    15
    4
    3
    26.04.25
    Copa del Rey
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    3
    1.45
    0.71
    8
    7
    23
    11
    4
    3
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1.45
    0.71
    8
    7
    23
    11
    4
    3
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    Barcelona Team Overview

    🔵 The Catalan side are steadily marching towards their 28th La Liga title. So far this calendar year, the Blaugrana have remained unbeaten in the national championship. Hansi Flick has instilled a proactive style of play in his squad, rich with intricate combinations. Barça hold all the aces to secure a treble. Their path to the Copa del Rey final wasn't the most challenging, having dispatched Barbastro (4-0), Betis (5-1), Valencia (5-0), and Atletico (4-4, 1-0).

    📝 The noticeable improvement in their gameplay prompted Barcelona's management to swiftly extend the contract with the German tactician. Both parties agreed to continue their partnership until the summer of 2027.

    📣 Here's what club president Joan Laporta had to say: "Barcelona fans must have faith in our coach and players. I'm convinced that under Hansi Flick's leadership, we have a shot at winning the treble. The final is like a coin toss; anything can happen, but we're very confident in ourselves."

    ❌ A significant blow for Barcelona is the loss of Robert Lewandowski, who suffered a hamstring injury in the recent clash with Celta (4-3). Additionally, Alejandro Balde, Marc Bernal, Marc Casado, and Marc-André ter Stegen will be unavailable for the cup final.

    Match Results: Barcelona

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    La Liga
    Valencia
    Valencia
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    1.67
    1.21
    7
    8
    11
    8
    2
    2
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    1.67
    1.21
    7
    8
    11
    8
    2
    2
    L
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    Real Betis
    Real Betis
    1.17
    1.04
    6
    4
    7
    8
    1
    0
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1.17
    1.04
    6
    4
    7
    8
    1
    0
    W
    13.05.26
    La Liga
    Deportivo Alaves
    Deportivo Alaves
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    0.99
    0.71
    6
    4
    14
    8
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.99
    0.71
    6
    4
    14
    8
    1
    2
    L
    10.05.26
    La Liga
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.22
    0.67
    4
    8
    18
    9
    2
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.22
    0.67
    4
    8
    18
    9
    2
    4
    W
    02.05.26
    La Liga
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    0.89
    1.71
    3
    7
    9
    10
    2
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    0.89
    1.71
    3
    7
    9
    10
    2
    2
    W
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    Real Madrid Team Overview

    ⚪ The "Los Blancos" have a chance to salvage their season with a victory in the Copa del Rey. Real Madrid currently sit third in the all-time winners list of this competition, with 20 titles (behind Barcelona's 31 and Athletic Bilbao's 24). Carlo Ancelotti has a special motivation, as failure in the upcoming match could spell the end of his managerial career at the capital club. On their way to the final, Real defeated Deportivo Mineiro (5-0), Celta Vigo (5-2 AET), Leganes (3-2), and Real Sociedad (1-0, 4-4 AET).

    📣 Despite Carlo Ancelotti's significant contributions to Real's success in recent seasons, the Italian manager is under immense pressure. "Galacticos" legend Luis Figo doesn't share the popular public opinion: "What seems very strange to me is that everyone questions Ancelotti's abilities, who, among other things, is the most successful coach in Real's history. In football, it's impossible to win all the time, and this applies to Real too."

    ⚡️ A positive update for "Los Blancos" fans is the likely return of Kylian Mbappe. The French forward is nearing recovery from an ankle injury and is eager to play a pivotal role in the final showdown. This season, the 26-year-old has scored 31 goals across all competitions.

    ❌ Among those who will certainly miss out on helping the team this Saturday are Dani Carvajal and Eder Militao. Ferland Mendy's participation remains highly doubtful.

    Match Results: Real Madrid

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    La Liga
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    1.39
    1
    2
    1
    6
    20
    2
    0
    4
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1.39
    1
    2
    1
    6
    20
    2
    0
    W
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Sevilla
    Sevilla
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.03
    1.32
    5
    4
    18
    12
    4
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.03
    1.32
    5
    4
    18
    12
    4
    0
    W
    14.05.26
    La Liga
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Real Oviedo
    Real Oviedo
    1.66
    0.94
    4
    5
    7
    14
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.66
    0.94
    4
    5
    7
    14
    0
    0
    W
    10.05.26
    La Liga
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.22
    0.67
    4
    8
    18
    9
    2
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.22
    0.67
    4
    8
    18
    9
    2
    4
    L
    03.05.26
    La Liga
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.26
    1.76
    5
    6
    19
    16
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.26
    1.76
    5
    6
    19
    16
    3
    4
    W
    Empty
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 54;
    • home team wins - 24, away team wins - 21, draws - 9.
    Trends
    • Real Madrid won with a +1.5 handicap in 21 of last 22 away games against Barcelona.
    • Real Madrid won with a +1.5 handicap in 25 of last 26 games.
    • Real Madrid won with a +1.5 handicap in 18 of last 19 away games.
    • Real Madrid won with a +1.5 handicap in last 5 games (Copa del Rey).
    👉Prediction: Real Madrid Handicap (+1.5)(odds: 1.26)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.93, the guests - 1.59;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.52;
    • both teams scored: overall - 38; at the home team's field - 17.

    Statistics: Barcelona vs Real Madrid

    • average total in the tournament: 4.8 vs 5.2;
    • average total goals scored: 3.8 vs 3.6;
    • average total in the 1st half: 2.4 vs 1.6;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 1.4 vs 2;
    • Barcelona: average total at home in the tournament -  4.5;
    • Real Madrid: average total away in the tournament - 3;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 2 (home - 2.83) vs 1.4 (away - 0.8).
    Trends
    • Over 2.5 goals scored in 14 of last 15 Barcelona games against Real Madrid.
    • Over 2.5 goals scored in last 6 Barcelona home games against Real Madrid.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (2.5)(odds: 1.52)

    Prediction on corners

    Barcelona: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7; at home field - 8;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7; at home field - 8.

    Real Madrid: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 9, away - 8;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.2; away - 4.2.
    Trends
    • Real Madrid have taken under 4.5 corners in last 5 away games against Barcelona.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Real Madrid Total Under (4.5)(odds: 1.68)

    Prediction on cards

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 5.48 (2.74 for home team and 2.74 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 6.61 (2.78 for home team and 3.83 for away team).

    Barcelona: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 0.8; at home - 0;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1; at home - 0.83.

    Real Madrid: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.2, away - 1.67;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.8; away - 2.2.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (3.5)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 54;
    • both teams scored all-time - 38 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 17 times.
    Trends
    • Barcelona have scored and conceded in 20 of last 22 home games against Real Madrid.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.42)

    Editor's Prediction

    Based on the current form of the teams and their head-to-head history, an open game with plenty of goals can be expected. Despite the match's significance, it is unlikely to be a defensive affair. Both sides boast strong attacking lines and have certain vulnerabilities in defense, which could lead to a high-scoring encounter. Considering these trends, betting on over 2.5 goals seems like a reasonable choice, having hit in 14 of the last 15 Clasicos. 

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (2.5) at odds of -200*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (24 April 2025, 07:12)

    Betting Tips: Barcelona - Real Madrid

    Barcelona have lost the 1st half
    fc-barcelona-1real-madrid-1in last 4 home games against Real Madrid (Copa del Rey).
    1st Half Real Madrid Win
    Bovada
    +240
    Barcelona have won
    fc-barcelona-1in 7 of last 8 home games.
    Barcelona Win
    Bovada
    +125
    Barcelona have lost
    fc-barcelona-1real-madrid-1in 5 of last 6 home games against Real Madrid.
    Real Madrid Win
    MyBookie
    +199
    Barcelona have not won
    fc-barcelona-1real-madrid-1in 7 of last 8 home games against Real Madrid.
    fc-barcelona-1real-madrid-1in last 5 home games against Real Madrid (Copa del Rey).
    Real Madrid will not lose
    Everygame
    -156
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    7 - Wins
    0 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 17
    Conceded - 10
    +7
    +4
    17 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    7
    Wins
    5
    0
    Draws
    2
    3
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    17
    Scored
    17
    10
    Conceded
    13
    2.7
    Match goals average
    3
    1.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    5
    Both teams scored
    6
    53'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    53'
    View all stats