Alaves vs Celta Prediction 27 January 2025

🔊 Will the "Glorious" manage to take revenge for their defeat in the first round? The 21st round of the Spanish La Liga will conclude with a match between Alaves and Celta. The intriguing encounter will take place at the "Mendizorrotza" stadium. Both clubs have not yet secured themselves from the relegation battle, so success in the upcoming game is crucial for both the "Bean Destroyers" and the "Celts". Bookmakers' predictions are based on the belief that we will witness an equal and intriguing football match: a win for the hosts - 2.55, a victory for the visitors - 2.95.

📊 H2H

In the opening round of the current La Liga season, the "Celts" achieved a come-from-behind victory over the "Glorious" - 2:1. Alaves certainly deserved more during the match at "Balaidos", so there is no doubt about Eduardo Coudet's team's desire for revenge. It is worth noting that the previous head-to-head match at "Mendizorrotza" ended in a significant victory for the "Bean Destroyers" - 3:0.

🔵 ALAVES

In the last round of the Spanish championship, Alaves managed to break a long winless streak. Betis fell victim to the "Glorious" (3:1). The main hero of the past encounter was Kike Garcia, who managed to score 3 goals against the "Heliopolitans". The success allowed the team from Vitoria-Gasteiz to leave the relegation zone, placing them in 17th position in the league table. Interestingly, this victory was Eduardo Coudet's first as Alaves' manager. For the Argentine specialist, the upcoming encounter with Celta is particularly significant. Recall that from 2020 to 2022, he had to manage the "Sky Blues". Coudet's tactical setup is a classic 4-2-3-1. Special attention should be paid to the two holding midfielders - Ander Guevara and Antonio Blanco. They are responsible for doing most of the dirty work in the middle of the field. It is also interesting that Kike Garcia regularly plays deeper and tries to gain possession closer to midfield. This maneuver provides more freedom for creative wingers - Tomas Konecny and Carlos Vicente. Let's highlight a very interesting statistic - the "Glorious" lead the league in ball recoveries (18.3 per game).

⚪ CELTA

In recent rounds, Celta has dropped too many points. The situation has worsened to the point where the "Celts" are now only 5 points away from the relegation zone. Ahead of their away match against Alaves, Celta's performance in away games is concerning - only 4 points gained from 9 matches (17th in the league). Claudio Giraldez's tactical style varies depending on the level and skill of their opponent. Often, Celta tries to utilize their wing play, operating very wide. Full-backs play a crucial role in this. Additionally, it's worth noting that one of Giraldez's nominal wingers operates as a "number ten", from midfield. For example, in a recent match against Rayo Vallecano (1:2), Jonathan Bamba effectively fulfilled this role, leaving space on the left flank for Franco Cervi. The "Celts" have no issues creating chances - 49 big chances created this season (5th in the league). In addition, it is easy to notice that the "Sky Blues" strive to play as the dominant team - averaging 53.6% possession (5th in the league). Major losses for the club from Vigo include injuries to Iago Aspas and Alfonso Gonzalez, as well as Oscar Mingueza's suspension.

⚽️ GOAL PREDICTION

Both clubs cannot boast reliable defenses this season, conceding an identical number of goals per game - 1.6. Moreover, in 5 out of 6 previous meetings between Alaves and Celta, at least 3 goals were scored. A similar trend is observed in 4 out of 5 recent matches involving the "Sky Blues" this season. Considering these factors, our choice is total over 2 goals.

🚩 CORNER PREDICTION

Neither Alaves (4.5) nor Celta (3.5) are notable for earning a large number of corners per match. We also noticed a crucial trend: in 6 out of 7 recent head-to-head encounters, there were no more than 10 corner kicks taken. Additionally, the absence of key flank players will likely affect Celta's activity. We opt for total corners under 9.5.

📝 MATCH PREDICTION

Predicting the outcome of a match between two unstable teams is always extremely difficult. Nevertheless, Alaves' crisis seems more extensive and significant. Eduardo Coudet's team simply cannot maintain a high tempo throughout all 90 minutes, thus failing to secure necessary results. Only 1 win in 6 matches under their new manager is further evidence of this. Our editorial team believes that the outcome of this encounter will be a scoreline of 1:2. The key bet is Celta will not lose.