Al Nassr vs Al Fateh Prediction 26 January 2025

🔊 Will Cristiano Ronaldo manage to score in the match against the Pro League's underdog? At 39 years old, the Portuguese has taken the lead in the tournament's top scorer list. Surely, he will want to widen the gap from his former Real Madrid teammate Karim Benzema. Moreover, Al-Fateh is at the bottom of the league table and is likely to say goodbye to the elite division at the end of the season. Note that the match will take place in Riyadh at the "Al-Awwal Park" stadium. On our part, we will consider different options to make the prediction optimal.

📊 Head-to-Head

In a stretch of 26 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr has the advantage with 58% victories. Last season, they thrashed Al-Fateh away (5:0) and achieved only a minimal advantage at home (2:1). It should be noted that Al-Nassr on their home field in 12 of the last 13 head-to-head encounters had an advantage of no more than three goals. Therefore, we highlight as a potential bet Al-Fateh's victory with a handicap (+3.5).

🟡 Al-Nassr

Al-Nassr has been unable to keep a clean sheet for five consecutive matches. Moreover, after the championship break, they continue to drop points. For example, the team failed to beat Al-Taawoun (1:1). At that time, the opponent took the lead at the end of the first half. Al-Nassr had 45 minutes to come back and take the lead. However, they only managed the minimal task, allowing Al-Qadisiyah ahead in the league table. Now Al-Nassr is in fourth place. The situation did not change after a victory over Al-Khaleej in the last round (3:1). The opponent was reduced to ten men already in the first half, and all goals occurred after the break. One of the heroes of the match was Cristiano Ronaldo, who scored a brace. It should be noted that several players, including Mohamed Simakan, will miss the upcoming match due to injuries.

🔵 Al-Fateh

Al-Fateh has a rather modest budget by Premier League standards. It's enough to say that the total value of their players is ten times less than that of Al-Nassr. Therefore, it's no surprise that the team is at the bottom of the league table with only nine points. Not long ago, they had a series of 14 matches without a win. In January, Al-Fateh suffered a crushing defeat from Al-Hilal, conceding nine unanswered goals. Surprisingly, they managed to regroup and beat Damak (2:1) in the next round. However, both goals were scored from penalties, and the last one was recorded in the 21st minute of added time.

🟨 Prediction on Yellow Cards

The advantage in yellow cards this season is with Al-Nassr - 2.1 against 1.9. In matches involving them, there are an average of 4.6 warnings. Al-Fateh's similar indicator is lower but still quite high (4.2). Therefore, it makes sense to focus on total yellow cards over 3.5.

⚽️ Prediction on Goals

Al-Nassr has not been scoring many goals lately. In only one of their last 22 matches have they scored more than three goals. On the other hand, in five home head-to-head encounters, they also did not score more than three goals. Therefore, a bet on Al-Nassr's total goals under 3.5 seems justified.

🚩 Prediction on Corners

The advantage in corners this season is with Al-Nassr - 6.9 against 4.9. In matches involving these teams, there are on average more than 10 corners. Therefore, we propose a bet on total corners over 10.5, especially since it played out in five consecutive away matches for Al-Fateh.

📝 Match Prediction

The favorite for the upcoming match is Al-Nassr. There is little doubt about their victory over one of the tournament's main underdogs. The team concedes almost every match. However, now is the time to play with a clean sheet. Therefore, we propose a potential exact score of 3:0.

Al-Fateh will likely focus on defense, so Al-Nassr may face some problems initially. However, the star-studded attack will surely provoke the opponent into a defensive error and eventually score. Yet, it's unlikely that the hosts will score more than three times, as indicated by several trends. As for Al-Fateh, there are doubts that they will score at all. Therefore, as a key bet, we propose total goals under 4.5, which played out in 13 of Al-Nassr's last 14 Premier League matches.