Al Fateh vs Al Nassr Prediction 14 February 2026
📢 How will the clash between Al-Fateh and Al-Nassr unfold in the 22nd round of the Pro League? While the home side are striving to regain their form after a string of setbacks, the visitors are in excellent shape. Al-Nassr have won all of their last five matches, making them the favorites on paper. However, Al-Fateh have the ability to surprise opponents on their home turf. It's worth noting that in recent encounters, both teams have frequently exchanged goals, adding intrigue to the match.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 18 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 5:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Al Nasr Riyadh):
- ball possession percentage: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 6 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 12 vs 7.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Al Fateh and Al Nasr Riyadh:
- played 29 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 17, draws - 8;
- number of goals (home/away) - 27 against 59;
- average total goals in the match - 2.97.
Head-to-head statistics Al Fateh - Al Nassr
Al Fateh Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Professional League tournament (home team - Al Qadisiyah, away team - Al Fateh). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here's the game statistics (Al Fateh vs Al Qadisiyah):
- ball possession: 31% vs 69%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 12;
- fouls: 10 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 1 vs 5.
Al-Fateh are currently sitting in tenth place in the table, striving to climb higher. Their recent form has been disappointing, with three draws and two losses in their last five outings. Known for their attacking prowess at home, they manage to score in almost every home game and boast a high conversion rate. However, defensive issues are hampering their consistency, as they concede an average of 1.75 goals per match.
Match Results: Al Fateh
Al Nasr Riyadh Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the AFC Champions League Two tournament (home team - Arkadag, away - Al Nasr Riyadh). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here are the match stats (Al Nasr Riyadh vs Arkadag):
- ball possession: 70% vs 30%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 4;
- fouls: 8 vs 20;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 1.
Al-Nassr are firmly holding onto second place in the league, thanks to their impressive performances: the team have won all of their last five matches. They exhibit high efficiency both in attack, averaging 2.55 goals per game, and in defense, conceding just 0.9 goals. In their most recent head-to-head against Al-Fateh, they secured a dominant 5-1 victory, underscoring their superiority over the opponent.
Match Results: Al Nasr Riyadh
Latest news
Al Fateh
The hosts have only one absentee. Mourad Batna will miss out due to injury.
Al Nasr Riyadh
According to media reports, Cristiano Ronaldo has ended his boycott and is ready to participate in the match. Saad Hakawi remains doubtful due to physical discomfort, while Sami Al-Najei is questionable because of a knee injury. Decisions regarding their participation will be made closer to the game.
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Al Fateh (Home) vs Al Nasr Riyadh (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
- Number of wins: 3 (30%) vs 6 (60%);
- Number of losses: 5 (50%) vs 1 (10%);
- Number of draws: 2 (20%) vs 3 (30%);
- Average total goals scored: 1.6 vs 1.2;
- Average total goals conceded: 1 vs 0.3.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 6;
- Number of losses: 3 vs 0;
- Number of draws: 2 vs 4;
- Average first half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.3).
- Al Fateh have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 home games against Al Nasr Riyadh (Professional League).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 29;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 17, draws - 8.
Statistics: Al Fateh vs Al Nasr Riyadh
- matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 20;
- wins: 6 vs 16;
- win percentage: 30% vs 80%;
- losses: 8 vs 3;
- draws: 6 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 7;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 0.
- Al Fateh won with a +1.5 handicap in 13 of last 14 home games against Al Nasr Riyadh (Professional League).
- Al Fateh won with a +1.5 handicap in 22 of last 24 home games.
- Al Fateh won with a +1.5 handicap in 21 of last 23 home games (Professional League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.93, the guests - 2.03;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.97;
- both teams scored: overall - 20; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Al Fateh vs Al Nasr Riyadh
- average total in the tournament: 3.05 vs 3.45;
- average total goals scored: 1.3 vs 2.55;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.6 vs 1.05;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.7 vs 1.5;
- Al Fateh: average total at home in the tournament - 1.7;
- Al Nasr Riyadh: average total away in the tournament - 2.3;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 2) vs 1.7 (away - 1.67).
- Al Nasr Riyadh have scored under 2.5 goals in 13 of last 14 away games against Al Fateh (Professional League).
Prediction on corners
Al Fateh: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.4; at home field - 6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6; at home field - 6.8.
Al Nasr Riyadh: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.5, away - 6.9;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.3; away - 6.17.
- Al Nasr Riyadh have taken under 7.5 corners in 8 of last 9 games (Professional League).
- Al Nasr Riyadh have taken under 7.5 corners in last 5 away games (Professional League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 29;
- both teams scored all-time - 20 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: Al Fateh vs Al Nasr Riyadh
- number of matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 20;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 14 vs 11;
- number of BTTS matches for Al Fateh at home - 8 (80%);
- number of BTTS matches for Al Nasr Riyadh away - 5 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Al Fateh at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Al Nasr Riyadh away - 3 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (22/180, 12.2%);
- Al Fateh at home most often finish matches: 2:1 , 2:5 (2/10, 20%);
- Al Nasr Riyadh away most often play: 0:2 (2/10, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:2 - 10.51% (odds 7.4)
0:2 - 8.6% (odds 8.2)
1:3 - 7.81% (odds 8.9)
Editorial Prediction
Al-Nassr enter the match as clear favorites, a status justified by their league standing and squad quality. However, Al-Fateh have traditionally put up strong resistance at home against this opponent. In thirteen of their last fourteen home head-to-head encounters, they have kept the scoreline within a one-goal margin, avoiding a heavy defeat. Given this context, it seems more reasonable to back Al-Fateh with a (+1.5) handicap.
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Betting Tips: Al Fateh - Al Nasr Riyadh
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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