Turkey vs France Prediction 25 September 2026

Details
Key points

    🔊 Turkey and France open their Nations League campaigns with a match in Kocaeli. For the hosts, this is a historic occasion: Vincenzo Montella's side are appearing in League A for the first time in the tournament's history, and they face one of European football's leading nations straight away. France are also beginning a new chapter - after Didier Deschamps' departure, Zinedine Zidane has taken charge of the national team, and the match against Turkey will be his first as manager. Both sides have plenty of attacking quality to suggest a goal-filled game. Turkey can call upon Arda Güler, Kerem Aktürkoğlu and Barış Alper Yılmaz, while France's squad includes Kylian Mbappé, Ousmane Dembélé, Désiré Doué, Michael Olise and Bradley Barcola.

    🔁 We will update this prediction as new information about the teams becomes available. Check back just before kick-off so you don't miss any important changes.

    Head-to-head record gives Turkey a chance

    📊 The head-to-head history is not particularly extensive, but Turkey have had the better of recent official meetings. In Euro 2020 qualifying, Turkey won 2-0 in Konya and drew 1-1 in Paris.

    🔗 That said, it would be unwise to read too much into those old results in the context of this match. France come into it with a new manager and an updated squad, while Turkey are playing at this level of the Nations League for the first time. Current form and how quickly the players adapt to the demands of Montella and Zidane are therefore far more relevant.

    Head-to-head statistics Turkey - France

    33%
    1 Win
    33%
    1 Draw
    33%
    1 Win
    Total games
    3
    Total Goals Avg
    1.67
    Both teams scored
    33%
    1
    Total average
    0.67
    3
    Corner
    5.33
    2.33
    Yellow cards
    2.33
    11.33
    Fouls
    13.67
    Last matches
    25.09.26
    UNL
    Turkey
    Turkey
    1
    France
    France
    1.03
    1.15
    5
    3
    14
    15
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.03
    1.15
    5
    3
    14
    15
    2
    3
    14.10.19
    ECU
    France
    France
    Turkey
    Turkey
    -
    -
    10
    0
    10
    10
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    10
    0
    10
    10
    2
    3
    08.06.19
    ECU
    Turkey
    Turkey
    France
    France
    -
    -
    4
    3
    10
    16
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    10
    16
    2
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Montella sticks with his core lineup

    Turkey come into the match with a fairly settled core. Montella's squad retains Uğurcan Çakır, Merih Demiral, Ferdi Kadıoğlu, Zeki Çelik, Orkun Kökçü, Arda Güler, Barış Alper Yılmaz and Kerem Aktürkoğlu. The side are competing in League A for the first time, so every match against opposition of this level will be a serious test for them.

    Recent results suggest Turkey are capable of scoring freely but also prone to defensive problems. In June the team beat North Macedonia 4-0 and Venezuela 2-1, but then lost to Australia 0-2 and Paraguay 0-1. At the World Cup they also beat the USA 2-1, which shows the team's ability to compete against strong opponents.

    Montella has plenty of quality options going forward. Arda Güler can create chances between the lines, while Aktürkoğlu and Yılmaz provide pace on the flanks. Turkey therefore do not necessarily have to surrender the initiative entirely to France: backed by a home crowd, the team can regularly use quick transitions and cause problems for the visitors' high defensive line.

    Match Results: Turkey

    Last matches
    25.09.26
    UNL
    Turkey
    Turkey
    1
    France
    France
    1.03
    1.15
    5
    3
    14
    15
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.03
    1.15
    5
    3
    14
    15
    2
    3
    L
    26.06.26
    FIFA World Cup
    Turkey
    Turkey
    USA
    USA
    2.04
    1.45
    2
    9
    13
    13
    0
    1
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    2.04
    1.45
    2
    9
    13
    13
    0
    1
    W
    20.06.26
    FIFA World Cup
    Turkey
    Turkey
    Paraguay
    Paraguay
    1
    2.2
    0.35
    12
    0
    14
    15
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    2.2
    0.35
    12
    0
    14
    15
    1
    1
    L
    14.06.26
    FIFA World Cup
    Australia
    Australia
    Turkey
    Turkey
    0.66
    1.98
    5
    8
    12
    4
    0
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0.66
    1.98
    5
    8
    12
    4
    0
    1
    L
    06.06.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Venezuela
    Venezuela
    Turkey
    Turkey
    0.43
    1.52
    2
    12
    12
    16
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.43
    1.52
    2
    12
    12
    16
    2
    1
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Zidane ushers in a new era

    France come into the match with considerably greater squad depth, though Zidane's debut as manager is the main talking point. The new coach has called up 23 players and has immediately included five who have never previously been selected for the senior squad: Guillaume Restes, Andy Diouf, Jérémy Jacquet, Lucas Da Cunha and Esteban Lepaul. Zidane has stressed that he wants to maintain continuity while also taking a look at younger players.

    France's attacking options look particularly impressive. Kylian Mbappé remains captain, with Ousmane Dembélé, Désiré Doué, Michael Olise and Bradley Barcola alongside him. That combination gives France the ability to create chances both through individual play and through quick combinations in the final third.

    In midfield, Zidane also has plenty of options: Eduardo Camavinga, Rayan Cherki, Manu Koné and Adrien Rabiot can all contribute to ball progression and pressing after losing possession. Warren Zaïre-Emery will miss the upcoming match through a thigh injury, while Aurélien Tchouaméni was not called up following limited playing time at the start of the season.

    Match Results: France

    Last matches
    25.09.26
    UNL
    Turkey
    Turkey
    1
    France
    France
    1.03
    1.15
    5
    3
    14
    15
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.03
    1.15
    5
    3
    14
    15
    2
    3
    W
    18.07.26
    FIFA World Cup
    France
    France
    England
    England
    2.57
    2.81
    3
    4
    14
    8
    0
    0
    4
    6
    0
    4
    4
    2
    2.57
    2.81
    3
    4
    14
    8
    0
    0
    L
    14.07.26
    FIFA World Cup
    France
    France
    Spain
    Spain
    0.4
    1.41
    7
    1
    11
    12
    2
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0.4
    1.41
    7
    1
    11
    12
    2
    1
    L
    09.07.26
    FIFA World Cup
    France
    France
    Morocco
    Morocco
    2.45
    0.2
    5
    5
    10
    13
    0
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2.45
    0.2
    5
    5
    10
    13
    0
    1
    W
    04.07.26
    FIFA World Cup
    Paraguay
    Paraguay
    France
    France
    0.12
    1.41
    2
    12
    13
    11
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.12
    1.41
    2
    12
    13
    11
    0
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Latest news

    Turkey

    ❌ The main injury concern ahead of the France match is in midfield. Orkun Kökçü missed several consecutive training sessions due to a toe problem, so his participation remains in doubt. Deniz Gül, Yunus Akgün and Muhammed Şengezar also had minor injuries, though they have returned to training with the squad.

    France

    ❌ There is significant uncertainty over Mbappé ahead of the match. On 22 September, the France captain missed training with cold symptoms and remained at the team's base while the rest of the squad trained as normal. His availability for the match against Turkey remains in doubt. Also worth noting is the absence of William Saliba. The centre-back suffered a back injury in the World Cup semi-final against Spain and was substituted as early as the 29th minute. Saliba faces a lengthy recovery, so his return to the pitch remains uncertain.

    🔁 Update - 25 September, 6:49 UTC:

    • Ibrahima Konaté will miss all matches in this international window due to a strain. According to beIN Sports, the centre-back has already left the France squad and returned to Real Madrid. Manchester United and France under-21 player Leny Yoro, called up to the senior national team for the first time, has been brought in on an emergency basis to replace Konaté in the squad.

    🔁 Update - 25 September, 10:26 UTC:

    • Kylian Mbappé will be fit to play in today's match. According to Zinedine Zidane, the France forward "feels good despite a minor issue". This is important news for bets on the visitors' attacking potential - with Mbappé in the side, they have scored in 18 of their last 19 matches, and in 16 of those they scored at least twice.

    Predicted Lineups

    📋 Turkey predicted starting XI: Çakır - Çelik, Kabak, Bardakcı, Elmalı - Özcan, Kökcü, Aydın - Güler, Aktürkoğlu, Yılmaz.

    📋 France predicted starting XI: Maignan - Koundé, Lacroix, Upamecano, Truffert - Koné, Rabiot, Cherki - Olise, Mbappé, Dembélé.

    🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction

    The match could turn out to be fairly physical, given the high intensity and large number of duels in midfield. Based on recent head-to-head statistics, Turkey average around 2.5 yellow cards per game and France around 2, giving a combined average of 4.5 bookings. With that in mind, Total Yellow Cards - Over 2.5 is worth considering here. The odds are 1.61*.

    ⚽ Goals Prediction

    France have a noticeably stronger attacking threat, but Turkey at home are capable of responding through quick attacks and the individual quality of Güler, Aktürkoğlu and Yılmaz. Both sides have strong enough attacking players to create chances against each other, and their recent results point to consistent scoring: Turkey have averaged 2.15 goals per match across their last 13 games, France 2.44. Given Turkey's home advantage and France's attacking potential, goals from both sides seem a logical expectation. The main selection here is Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.69*.

    🚩 Corners Prediction

    France are capable of spending long periods in the opposition half and creating pressure down the flanks, while Turkey will look to respond with quick breaks. Current statistics show Turkey averaging 5.23 corners per match over 13 games, and France averaging 7.17 over 18 games. Combined, that gives reason to expect a fairly high volume of set pieces. It is therefore worth considering Total Corners - Over 8.5 at 1.51*.

    👀 The Risky Bet

    If Turkey can keep things tight into the second half, France will need to raise the tempo and take more risks in attack. Zidane has enough players capable of deciding moments individually, as do the hosts, who could take advantage of the space left on the counter. So a scenario where both teams exchange goals in the second half is quite possible, but with France coming out ahead on the scoreboard thanks to their attacking quality. At odds of 6.60*, an interesting option is Both Teams to Score in the 2nd Half + France to Win the 2nd Half. 

    🎯 Reliable Bet

    Even if the match starts cautiously, France have enough individual quality to create chances, and Turkey at home are unlikely to sit back and defend for the entire game. Recent form for both sides also points to a good chance of at least two goals: France have scored in 16 of their last 18 official matches, and Turkey in 10 of their last 13. The more conservative option, then, is Total Goals - Over 1.5 at 1.15*.

    🚀 Player Statistics Bet

    With Mbappé's participation still in doubt, attention turns to France's other star, Michael Olise. The Bayern winger comes into the international break in excellent form: he has already scored eight goals and provided three assists in seven matches across all competitions this season, and at the World Cup he registered seven goal contributions for France. Zidane has also worked specifically with Olise during the squad's first training sessions, which underlines his role in the new setup. Given his current output and his place in France's attack, Michael Olise to Score or Assist at 1.71* looks an interesting option.

    👀 If the match doesn't go to plan

    If Turkey unexpectedly take the lead, France will need to push significantly harder and move their attacking line higher up the pitch. That could leave more space for the hosts to hit on the counter, but at the same time would increase the number of chances at Turkey's end. In that scenario, France Team Total - Over 1.5 Goals in the 2nd Half looks an interesting option, particularly if the score is still 1-0 or 1-1 after the hour mark.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    France come into this match with greater squad depth and more world-class players. Zidane's debut and the possible absence of Mbappé add an element of intrigue, but in terms of personnel the visitors still look the stronger side. Turkey are in League A for the first time and, backed by their home crowd, could cause problems through quick attacks and Güler's individual quality.

    The character of both sides and their current scoring records give reason to expect an open match with dangerous moments at both ends. The final selection is Total Goals - Over 2.5. The predicted score is 1-3 to France: even without Mbappé the visitors have enough quality in attack, and Zidane's debut adds extra motivation for the team.

    Total goals Over (2,5)
    Odds-200
    Published: 23/09/2026, 11:55
    Levon Makoyan
    Levon Makoyan
    Football expert
    34
    2
    15
    51 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

    No comments

    Minimum 20 characters, maximum 500 characters

    Betting Tips: Turkey - France

    France have won the 2nd half:
    france-1in 7 of last 8 games.
    2nd Half France to Win
    Everygame
    -161
    Turkey have drawn in the 1st half:
    turkey-3in last 5 home games (UEFA Nations League).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +205
    France have not lost:
    france-1in 12 of last 14 away games.
    France will not lose
    Everygame
    -1111
    Turkey have not lost:
    turkey-3in 11 of last 12 home games.
    turkey-3in 7 of last 8 games (UEFA Nations League).
    Turkey will not lose
    Everygame
    +205
    View more facts

    Turkey - France Table position

    League A Group A
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Belgium
    Belgium
    11002-03
    2.
    France
    France
    11001-03
    3.
    Turkey
    Turkey
    10010-10
    4.
    Italy
    Italy
    10010-20

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 8
    Draws - 0
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 19
    Conceded - 10
    +9
    +13
    24 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    8
    1
    Draws
    0
    3
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    19
    Scored
    24
    10
    Conceded
    11
    2.9
    Match goals average
    3.5
    1.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.4
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    4
    Both teams scored
    4
    47'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    38'
    View all stats