Montreal vs Inter Miami Prediction 25 July 2026
🔊 Inter Miami arrive in good form and scoring freely. CF Montréal are fighting for a playoff spot but haven't been consistent. The visitors sit second in the standings and still have something to play for at the top. The hosts are outside the top nine, though at home they're hard to beat - and they need the points.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 05 July 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:4. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Montreal Impact):
- ball possession percentage: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 2;
- fouls: 12 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 8 vs 10.
📊 Analytical overview of previous official matches between CF Montréal and Inter Miami:
- 13 matches played;
- home wins - 7, away wins - 5, draws - 1;
- goals scored (home/away) - 22 vs 22;
- average total goals per match - 3.38.
Head-to-head statistics Montreal - Inter Miami
Montreal Impact Team Overview
The team's last official match was played on in MLS (Nashville at home, Montreal Impact as visitors). The match ended 1-0.
Match stats (Montreal Impact vs Nashville):
- possession: 37% vs 63%;
- corners: 2 vs 3;
- fouls: 12 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 1.
Montreal Impact have held up reasonably well at home - just one loss in their last eight home matches, which says something about their ability to pick up points in front of their own fans. The defence is still a problem, though. They're conceding around 2 goals per game on average this season, and the last ten matches haven't brought much improvement there. Going forward, Montreal have been more active - 1.8 goals per game over their last ten.
They've played a lot of matches in July already - not just MLS games, but also the cup. Form has been up and down, but that's Montreal. Consistency has never been their thing. The Toronto and Nashville matches were particularly bad: zero goals across both games. That matters, because the attacking problems have been going on for a while now, and it's dragging down their ceiling in the table.
Match Results: Montreal Impact
Inter Miami Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place in MLS (Inter Miami at home, Chicago Fire away). The final score was 3-2.
Match stats (Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire):
- possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corners: 8 vs 4;
- fouls: 8 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 4.
Inter Miami are in top form right now - impressive scoring numbers both across the season and over the last ten matches. They average 2.63 goals per game overall, and that figure climbs to 3.1 over the last ten. The unbeaten run speaks not just to their attacking output but to their consistency in picking up points, and with a title race still on, they need to keep this pace all the way to the end. The defensive numbers aren't pretty - 1.88 goals conceded per game - but Miami have been covering that up with firepower going forward.
While Lionel Messi rests after the World Cup, Luis Suárez is running the show. The Uruguayan was the difference against Chicago Fire. Miami showed they're not a one-man team - the talent runs deep. That said, the backline is a concern. They need a more reliable goalkeeper. Miami have scored and conceded in six of their last seven matches.
Match Results: Inter Miami
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 13;
- home team wins - 7, away team wins - 5, draws - 1.
Statistics: Montreal Impact vs Inter Miami
- matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- wins: 4 vs 10;
- win percentage: 25% vs 63%;
- losses: 9 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 7;
- losses: 3 vs 1;
- draws: 3 vs 2.
- Montreal Impact won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 home games.
- Montreal Impact won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 games.
- Montreal Impact won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 home games (MLS).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.69, the guests - 1.69;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.38;
- both teams scored: overall - 9; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Montreal Impact vs Inter Miami
- average total in the tournament: 3.38 vs 4.5;
- average total goals scored: 1.38 vs 2.63;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.81 vs 1.19;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.56 vs 1.44;
- Montreal Impact: average total at home in the tournament - 1.43;
- Inter Miami: average total away in the tournament - 2.56;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 1.83) vs 3.1 (away - 3.5).
- Inter Miami have scored over 1.5 goals in 11 of last 12 games (MLS).
- Inter Miami have scored over 1.5 goals in last 5 away games (MLS).
Prediction on corners
Montreal Impact: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.19; at home field - 7;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.7; at home field - 9.5.
Inter Miami: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.13, away - 4.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.7; away - 4.5.
- Under 9.5 corners in 7 of last 8 Inter Miami away games.
- Under 9.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Inter Miami away games (MLS).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 13;
- both teams scored all-time - 9 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Montreal Impact vs Inter Miami
- number of matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 12;
- number of BTTS matches for Montreal Impact at home - 3 (43%);
- number of BTTS matches for Inter Miami away - 6 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Montreal Impact at home - 2 (33%);
- BTTS matches for Inter Miami away - 3 (75%).
- Inter Miami have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (MLS).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (21/238, 8.8%);
- Montreal Impact at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:2 , 1:0 , 1:2 , 2:0 , 2:2 , 4:1 (1/7, 14.3%);
- Inter Miami away most often play: 2:3 , 2:4 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 9.08% (odds 8.5)
1:2 - 7.94% (odds 9.5)
2:2 - 7.45% (odds 11)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The match sets up well for the visitors to dominate going forward. Inter Miami aren't just on a solid winning run - they're converting chances consistently, scoring more than 1.5 goals in almost every league match. That scoring trend was on show again against Chicago. CF Montréal have some resilience at home, but they're also one of the leakiest defenses in the league. Both sides still have something to play for, but it's Inter Miami's attacking output that stands out here. The pick - Inter Miami team total over 1.5.
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Betting Tips: Montreal Impact - Inter Miami
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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