KuPS vs Vaasa Prediction 25 July 2026
🔥 Matchday 17 in the Finnish championship brings a true top-of-the-table clash as leaders KuPS host third-placed VPS. The hosts have built a gap at the summit, but VPS are hot on their heels, trailing by just six points, meaning every mistake could prove costly. How will this showdown play out? Check out our prediction below.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides ended in a 1-1 draw. Here’s a comparative breakdown from that match (VPS as the home team):
- Possession: 41% vs 59%;
- Corners: 2 vs 10;
- Fouls: 17 vs 13;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 4.
📊 Head-to-head stats for official matches between KuPS and VPS:
- They have faced each other 49 times;
- The home side have claimed 27 wins, the visitors 11, with 11 draws;
- Goals scored: 85 for the hosts, 47 for the visitors;
- Average goals in the first half: 1.18; in the second half: 1.51;
- Average total goals per match: 2.69.
Head-to-head statistics KuPS - Vaasa
Kuopion Palloseura Team Overview
The teams last faced off in a Champions League qualifier, with Sabah hosting KuPS. The match ended 1-0.
Here’s a breakdown of the key stats (KuPS vs Sabah):
- Possession: 36% vs 64%;
- Corners: 0 vs 5;
- Fouls: 8 vs 9;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 1 vs 4.
The team currently look like a well-oiled machine, confidently steering their campaign toward the title. Averaging nearly two goals per match, they rely on rapid transitions from defence to attack and apply relentless high pressing. Despite a few recent setbacks, KuPS have shown real resilience, often turning games around even when things aren’t going their way. Their defence is just as impressive, conceding less than a goal per game is a rare feat in the Finnish league, and it’s this balance across the pitch that makes them the leading contenders for the championship.
Match Results: Kuopion Palloseura
Vaasa PS Team Overview
The visitors’ most recent official outing came in the Veikkausliiga, with HJK hosting VPS. The match ended 2-1.
Here’s a breakdown of the key stats (VPS vs HJK):
- Possession: 53% vs 47%;
- Corners: 7 vs 3;
- Fouls committed: 17 vs 9;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 6.
The visitors are tightly packed just behind the league leaders and clearly have their sights set on at least a top-three finish this season. Their attacking unit boasts significant firepower, consistently finding the net more than once per game. However, defensive frailties remain their main concern; they often struggle to maintain stability at the back, particularly when under pressure. Still, this is a resilient side, capable of challenging any top club in the league thanks to their strong midfield presence.
Match Results: Vaasa PS
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 49;
- home team wins - 27, away team wins - 11, draws - 11.
Statistics: Kuopion Palloseura vs Vaasa PS
- matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- wins: 9 vs 7;
- win percentage: 56% vs 44%;
- losses: 1 vs 3;
- draws: 6 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 5;
- losses: 3 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
- Vaasa PS won with a +1.5 handicap in last 25 games.
- Vaasa PS won with a +1.5 handicap in 22 of last 23 away games.
- Vaasa PS won with a +1.5 handicap in 17 of last 18 away games (Veikkausliiga).
- Vaasa PS won with a +1.5 handicap in last 16 games (Veikkausliiga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.73, the guests - 0.96;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.69;
- both teams scored: overall - 27; at the home team's field - 13.
Statistics: Kuopion Palloseura vs Vaasa PS
- average total in the tournament: 2.75 vs 2.25;
- average total goals scored: 1.81 vs 1.44;
- average total in the 1st half: 1 vs 0.81;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.81 vs 0.63;
- Kuopion Palloseura: average total at home in the tournament - 1.88;
- Vaasa PS: average total away in the tournament - 0.75;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 1.75) vs 1.7 (away - 0.8).
- Vaasa PS have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 away games against Kuopion Palloseura.
- Vaasa PS have scored under 1.5 goals in 11 of last 12 away games (Veikkausliiga).
- Vaasa PS have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 away games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 49;
- both teams scored all-time - 27 times;
- on the home team’s field - 13 times.
Statistics: Kuopion Palloseura vs Vaasa PS
- number of matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 9;
- number of BTTS matches for Kuopion Palloseura at home - 5 (63%);
- number of BTTS matches for Vaasa PS away - 4 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Kuopion Palloseura at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Vaasa PS away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (17/96, 17.7%);
- Kuopion Palloseura at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (2/8, 25%);
- Vaasa PS away most often play: 1:0 , 1:1 (2/8, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 12.47% (odds 7)
1:1 - 11.97% (odds 6)
2:1 - 9.4% (odds 7)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
KuPS are always assertive at home and consistently create chances in the final third, but their backline has looked less solid in recent rounds, two defeats in five matches don’t happen by accident. VPS travel with clear attacking intent as they need to close the gap on the league leaders, and their offensive output is respectable, averaging 1.44 goals per game. Taking these factors into account, backing both teams to score looks like a well-founded prediction. A 1-1 draw is a possible outcome.
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Betting Tips: Kuopion Palloseura - Vaasa PS
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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