Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Lima Prediction 26 July 2026
🔊 In the second round of the Peruvian Clausura, Comerciantes Unidos take on Alianza Lima. Neither side is known for attacking football. That points to a match where defence does the talking - and goals are likely to be in short supply.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last time these two met was in early February this year. Alianza Lima were at home and won 2-1. Looking at the last five head-to-head meetings, Lima have total dominance - five wins from five.
Head-to-head statistics Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Moquegua, away team - Comerciantes Unidos). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.
Here's the game statistics (Comerciantes Unidos vs Moquegua):
- ball possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
- fouls: 15 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- shots on target: 7 vs 7.
Comerciantes Unidos had a decent start to the Clausura - a 2-2 draw away to Moquegua. That said, the goals owed a fair bit to luck. The opposition gave them too much. But against a side that has been beating them consistently in head-to-heads, it won't be easy regardless. Home advantage nudges them toward a pragmatic approach - defending is a lot simpler with the crowd behind you. The overall numbers point the same way: over their last 10 games, they're averaging 0.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match.
Match Results: Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Alianza Lima, away - Sport Huancayo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here are the match stats (Alianza Lima vs Sport Huancayo):
- ball possession: 66% vs 34%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 1;
- fouls: 12 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 8 vs 5.
In terms of squad quality, Alianza Lima look like the stronger side by some distance. The Clausura opener backed that up - they beat Sport Huancayo 2-1 in round one. The Copa de la Liga was a disappointment for the hosts, granted. But zoom out and look at the full season picture, and things aren't quite so bleak. This is still the best team from last Apertura. The numbers back up their quality at both ends: over the last 10 games they're averaging 1.9 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded. That's a near-perfect attacking-to-defensive ratio - very few sides in the league can say the same.
Match Results: Alianza Lima
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 17;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 9, draws - 4.
- Comerciantes Unidos won with a +1.5 handicap in 23 of last 24 home games.
- Comerciantes Unidos won with a +1.5 handicap in 22 of last 23 home games (Primera Division).
- Comerciantes Unidos won with a +1.5 handicap in 14 of last 16 games.
- Comerciantes Unidos won with a +1.5 handicap in 13 of last 14 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.76, the guests - 1.82;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.59;
- both teams scored: overall - 7; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Lima
- average total in the tournament: 2.33 vs 2.24;
- average total goals scored: 1.11 vs 1.76;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.44 vs 0.82;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.67 vs 0.94;
- Comerciantes Unidos: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Alianza Lima: average total away in the tournament - 0.89;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.5 (home - 0.6) vs 1.9 (away - 0.8).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Comerciantes Unidos games.
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Comerciantes Unidos games (Primera Division).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in last 6 Comerciantes Unidos home games.
- Under 2.5 goals scored in last 5 Comerciantes Unidos home games (Primera Division).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 10 of last 11 Alianza Lima away games.
- Under 2.5 goals scored in last 8 Alianza Lima away games (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
Comerciantes Unidos: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.72; at home field - 3.56;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.6; at home field - 2.8.
Alianza Lima: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.76, away - 3.22;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3; away - 3.8.
- Alianza Lima have taken under 5.5 corners in 14 of last 16 games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 17;
- both teams scored all-time - 7 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (27/163, 16.6%);
- Comerciantes Unidos at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (3/9, 33.3%);
- Alianza Lima away most often play: 0:1 (4/9, 44.4%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 18.15% (odds 5.5)
0:0 - 14.82% (odds 7)
1:1 - 11.86% (odds 6.5)
- Alianza Lima won 1:0 in 3 of last 4 away games (Primera Division).
Editor's Prediction
The bookmakers favour Alianza Lima here, and it's hard to argue with that - the visitors had a strong Apertura campaign and showed their quality again last week. That said, Comerciantes Unidos at home may try to make life difficult for their familiar tormentors. Alianza are unlikely to get much space to play their game; the hosts could sit deep and defend. In those conditions, clear-cut chances will be hard to come by for either side. Comerciantes won't be pushing forward in numbers either. Our pick is total goals under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Lima
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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