Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction 30 August 2026
🔊 In this Peruvian Clausura fixture, Alianza Lima take on Deportivo Garcilaso. Both sides are in the upper half of the table and are competing for the highest positions possible, so a pragmatic and often defensive game is expected.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last meeting between these two sides took place in mid-March and ended in a draw (1-1). Looking at the last five head-to-head meetings, Alianza Lima hold the upper hand, with three wins to one and a draw.
Head-to-head statistics Alianza Lima - Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Lima Team Overview
Results-wise, the hosts are in fine shape right now. They have not lost in a month - and in the league, not since the start of April. Alianza Lima have been solid defensively, with the best defensive record in the league: 0.55 goals conceded per home match on average. They have also been productive in attack at home, scoring 2.55 goals per game. That said, the opposition are a difficult side who can also defend, so this will not be straightforward.
Match Results: Alianza Lima
Deportivo Garcilaso Team Overview
Deportivo Garcilaso are in near-perfect form: four wins and one draw from their last five matches, including a recent 4-1 victory over Cusco. However, it is worth noting that those results came at home. Away from home, their attacking output drops considerably - from 1.3 goals per game on average this season to just 0.45 per game on the road. Against one of the better sides in the league, a more pragmatic approach makes sense. Deportivo are also one of the lowest-scoring teams in the championship in terms of combined goals, averaging 2.22 per match when they are involved.
Match Results: Deportivo Garcilaso
Match Result Prediction
Alianza Lima have put together an impressive home run, winning 10 of their last 11 home matches. Across the entire season the team have lost just once, and at home they are yet to suffer a defeat. Their average of 2.55 goals scored per home match underlines their attacking strength on their own ground. Given these factors, Alianza Lima to Win at 1.40* looks the most well-founded bet.
Total Goals Prediction
In 6 of their last 7 home matches, Alianza Lima have seen fewer than 3.5 goals. The team concede an average of just 0.55 goals per home game, while the visitors score only 0.45 goals per away match. These numbers point towards a low-scoring game and make the Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.35* a logical bet.
Corners Prediction
In 16 of Alianza Lima's last 18 matches, the total corners has gone under 9.5, which points to a fairly consistent low-corner trend. With no statistics contradicting this tendency, a bet on Total Corners - Under 9.5 at 1.80* looks reasonable.
Risky Bet
Alianza Lima have been very convincing at home: 10 wins in their last 11 home matches and an average of 2.55 goals scored at home. Deportivo Garcilaso average just 0.45 goals per game away from home, which could allow the hosts to win by a comfortable margin. The Alianza Lima Handicap (-2) at 2.95* is worth considering for those looking to take a bigger risk.
Reliable Bet
Alianza Lima have scored in seven consecutive head-to-head matches against Deportivo Garcilaso. On top of that, at home this season the team average 2.55 goals per match. Given that consistency, Alianza Lima Team Total - Over 0.5 Goals at 1.15* looks like the safest option available.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The bookmakers make the home side clear favourites in this one. However, it is worth bearing in mind that Deportivo Garcilaso are a side capable of sitting deep on their own half and defending quite effectively. So Alianza Lima scoring 2 or more goals is unlikely. With the visitors fully committed to defending, they are unlikely to find the extra resources for any meaningful attacking play. We are expecting a relatively low-scoring match. Our pick is Total Goals - Under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Alianza Lima - Deportivo Garcilaso
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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