Sarpsborg vs Molde Prediction 25 May 2026
🔊 Sarpsborg head into this fixture on the back of a poor run, having lost four of their last five matches. Molde, meanwhile, sit near the top of the table and have shown far greater consistency, picking up five wins in their last ten outings. The gap between the sides is clear both in terms of attacking output and defensive solidity. The league standings only highlight the contrast - Sarpsborg are hovering just above the relegation zone, while Molde are firmly in the hunt for a top-three finish.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 30 November 2025 and ended in a 1-0 result. Here’s a comparative look at the key statistics from that match, with Sarpsborg playing at home:
- Possession: 22% vs 78%;
- Corners: 4 vs 11;
- Fouls committed: 5 vs 11;
- Yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 7.
📊 Head-to-head stats between Sarpsborg and Molde:
- They have faced each other 34 times;
- The hosts have claimed 10 wins, while the visitors have secured 18 victories, with 6 draws between them;
- Total goals scored: 45 for Sarpsborg, 73 for Molde;
- Average goals in the first half: 1.56; in the second half: 1.91;
- The average total goals per match stands at 3.47.
Head-to-head statistics Sarpsborg - Molde
Sarpsborg Team Overview
Their most recent official fixture took place on in the Eliteserien, with Vålerenga hosting Sarpsborg. The match ended in a 3-2 victory.
Here’s a breakdown of the key stats from that encounter (Sarpsborg vs Vålerenga):
- Possession: 46% vs 54%;
- Corners: 0 vs 7;
- Fouls committed: 11 vs 13;
- Yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 10 vs 7.
Sarpsborg are going through a tough spell, with four defeats in their last five fixtures highlighting ongoing instability and defensive issues. After ten rounds, they have managed just two wins, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game while scoring only one per match themselves. These numbers underscore both a lack of attacking firepower and a vulnerability at the back. Their struggles are particularly evident at home, where seven consecutive matches have finished with under 3.5 total goals-a clear sign of a cautious, conservative approach that has stifled attacking flair regardless of the opposition.
Match Results: Sarpsborg
Molde Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Eliteserien, facing Molde away from home. Kristiansund came up short, losing 1-0.
The match statistics (Molde vs Kristiansund) were as follows:
- Possession: 63% vs 37%;
- Corners: 3 vs 6;
- Fouls committed: 6 vs 15;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 2.
Molde are showing solid form, having picked up three wins in their last five outings-a clear sign of positive momentum. Over their previous ten matches, Molde have claimed victory in half of them and drawn just once. The visitors boast a higher average goal output, scoring 1.6 goals per game while conceding 1.2. However, their attack tends to stall on the road: Molde have managed to score more than once in just one of their last twelve away fixtures. This trend highlights the side’s attacking limitations away from home, even when facing inconsistent opponents.
Match Results: Molde
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 34;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 4; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 9;
- Average first-half total: 1.56;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.65, while the visitors net 0.91.
First-Half Stats: Sarpsborg (home) vs Molde (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
- wins: 1 (25%) vs 1 (25%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 2 (50%);
- draws: 3 (75%) vs 1 (25%);
- Average goals scored: 1.25 vs 1.5;
- Average goals conceded: 0.5 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 4;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 6 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.8 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.9) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.6).
- Sarpsborg scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games against Molde (Eliteserien).
- Sarpsborg scored in the 1st half in last 5 games against Molde.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 34;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 18, draws - 6.
Statistics: Sarpsborg vs Molde
- matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- wins: 2 vs 5;
- win percentage: 22% vs 56%;
- losses: 5 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 5;
- losses: 6 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
- Sarpsborg have not won in 7 of last 8 games (Eliteserien).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.32, the guests - 2.15;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.47;
- both teams scored: overall - 21; at the home team's field - 8.
Statistics: Sarpsborg vs Molde
- average total in the tournament: 2.56 vs 2.78;
- average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.67;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.89 vs 0.89;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.11 vs 0.78;
- Sarpsborg: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Molde: average total away in the tournament - 0.75;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1) vs 1.6 (away - 0.75).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 7 Sarpsborg home games (Eliteserien).
Prediction on corners
Sarpsborg: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.22; at home field - 8;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; at home field - 8.
Molde: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.22, away - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.2; away - 5.
- Under 10.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Molde games (Eliteserien).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 34;
- both teams scored all-time - 21 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
Statistics: Sarpsborg vs Molde
- number of matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 4;
- number of BTTS matches for Sarpsborg at home - 3 (75%);
- number of BTTS matches for Molde away - 2 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Sarpsborg at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Molde away - 2 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (9/74, 12.2%);
- Sarpsborg at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (2/4, 50%);
- Molde away most often play: 0:1 , 1:1 , 2:0 , 4:1 (1/4, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.29% (odds 7.5)
0:1 - 11.19% (odds 12)
1:0 - 10.15% (odds 13)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Molde have greater motivation in terms of the league table, but it’s the visitors’ limited attacking options and Sarpsborg’s cautious approach at home that are likely to shape this encounter. The hosts have neither recent success nor much firepower-losing more often than not over their last five outings. Molde, meanwhile, traditionally struggle on the road: they rarely score more than once per match, a trend that has held firm this season. Against this backdrop, backing under 3.5 total goals appears to be the most well-founded prediction.No comments
Betting Tips: Sarpsborg - Molde
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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