Molde vs Sarpsborg Prediction 2 August 2026
🔊 Molde and Sarpsborg meet as neighbours in the table - both sides are sitting in the upper half and playing decent football. The gap between them is minimal at the midpoint of the season, which makes this a matter of local pride, though neither team has much riding on it in terms of the standings. Form is where they differ: Molde have been blowing hot and cold, while Sarpsborg have been more consistent over their recent run.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 25 May 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Sarpsborg):
- ball possession percentage: 24% vs 76%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 8;
- fouls: 13 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 6.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Molde and Sarpsborg:
- played 35 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 18, for the away team - 11, draws - 6;
- number of goals - 74 against 47;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.57, in the 2nd half - 1.89;
- average total goals in the match - 3.46.
Head-to-head statistics Molde - Sarpsborg
Molde Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eliteserien tournament (home team - KFUM Oslo, away team - Molde). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:4.
Here's the game statistics (Molde vs KFUM Oslo):
- ball possession: 65% vs 35%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 3;
- fouls: 9 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 8 vs 3.
Molde are sitting high in the table, but the gap to the leaders is too big for a serious title push at this stage. Over their last ten official matches, the numbers are fairly balanced: 1.8 goals scored per game, 1.3 conceded. There's attacking quality there, but the defence doesn't always hold up under pressure - even against sides at a similar level. Through the season they've rarely put together any real winning or losing runs, and with nothing much riding on this match, the riskier outcomes feel less likely right now.
Match Results: Molde
Sarpsborg Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eliteserien tournament (home team - Sarpsborg, away - Hamarkameratene). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (Sarpsborg vs Hamarkameratene):
- ball possession: 38% vs 62%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
- fouls: 19 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
Sarpsborg have found a balance between defensive solidity and attacking output. Since returning from the World Cup break, they haven't lost. Over ten official matches, though, the record is middling: five wins, four defeats, one draw. Going forward, they're not particularly prolific - averaging one goal scored per game and 1.2 conceded. That feeds into a clear trend: five matches in a row involving Sarpsborg have gone under 3.5 goals, which says something about how cautiously they tend to set up, even against teams at a similar level.
Match Results: Sarpsborg
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.11, the guests - 1.34;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.46;
- both teams scored: overall - 22; at the home team's field - 13.
Statistics: Molde vs Sarpsborg
- average total in the tournament: 3.14 vs 2.21;
- average total goals scored: 1.79 vs 1.07;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.93 vs 0.93;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.86 vs 0.14;
- Molde: average total at home in the tournament - 2.14;
- Sarpsborg: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 2.25) vs 1 (away - 0.8).
- Molde have scored over 1.5 goals in 12 of last 13 home games against Sarpsborg.
- Molde have scored over 1.5 goals in 9 of last 10 home games against Sarpsborg (Eliteserien).
Prediction on corners
Molde: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.29; at home field - 4.29;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; at home field - 4.25.
Sarpsborg: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.93, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; away - 3.6.
- Molde have taken over 6.5 corners in last 5 games against Sarpsborg (Eliteserien).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 35;
- both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
- on the home team’s field - 13 times.
Statistics: Molde vs Sarpsborg
- number of matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 7;
- number of BTTS matches for Molde at home - 4 (57%);
- number of BTTS matches for Sarpsborg away - 3 (43%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Molde at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Sarpsborg away - 2 (40%).
- Molde have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 home games against Sarpsborg.
- Molde have scored and conceded in last 5 games (Eliteserien).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:1 (13/114, 11.4%);
- Molde at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 1:0 , 1:2 , 2:0 , 2:1 , 4:1 , 5:1 (1/7, 14.3%);
- Sarpsborg away most often play: 0:0 , 0:2 , 1:0 , 1:2 , 2:1 , 3:2 , 4:0 (1/7, 14.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 10.38% (odds 7.5)
1:1 - 9.81% (odds 8.5)
1:0 - 9.68% (odds 11)
⭐ Editor's Pick
Both sides sit in the upper half of the table, but neither is really pushing for the top right now - motivation at this stage of the season is moderate at best. Molde are putting up average numbers in attack, though their recent run hasn't produced anything particularly eye-catching. Sarpsborg are steady on points and play a restrained game: they rarely open up even against teams at a similar level. The key trend here is low scoring in Sarpsborg's matches - under 3.5 goals has landed in five straight. With both attacks fairly ordinary and no real need to take risks, backing a limited number of goals makes the most sense. The pick: total goals under 3.5.
Betting Tips: Molde - Sarpsborg
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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