Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca Prediction 24 May 2025
🔊 Can the "Bees" maintain their spot in the European competition zone? With the title race concluded, the battle for the top eight stands as one of the main intrigues in the final round of La Liga. "Campo de Vallecas" will host a clash between local side Rayo Vallecano and Mallorca. Jagoba Arrasate's squad have lost their chances for European nights next season but will surely be eager to deny their opponents. Let's note the bookmakers' early predictions: a home win is set at 1.55, while a victory for the visitors is at 6.2.
Head-to-Head
📊 Let's take a look at the outcomes from the last 10 head-to-head matches: Rayo Vallecano have secured 3 wins, there has been 1 draw, and Mallorca have claimed 6 victories. In the first round of the current championship, the "islanders" came out on top at the "Iberostar" (1-0). Vedat Muriqi's goal remained the only one in that encounter.
Head-to-head statistics Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano Team Overview
⚪ Rayo Vallecano are in excellent form, remaining unbeaten in their last four matches. Last weekend, the "Bees" secured an impressive away victory over a resilient Celta side, winning 2-1. However, victories at Campo de Vallecas have been scarce lately. The capital club have managed just one win in their last seven home outings. Overall, Rayo Vallecano have accumulated 25 points from 18 home games, placing them 13th in the league standings.
❗ Perhaps the most dangerous player for Rayo Vallecano this season is Álvaro García. His La Liga stats show a contribution of 4 goals and 5 assists. Not only is García the club's top playmaker, but he is also among the most frequent shooters for Rayo Vallecano, averaging 2.35 shots per game (only Isi Palazón surpasses him with 2.38). It's worth noting the Spaniard's misfortune, as he has fallen short of his expected goals (xG) tally of 7.23.
Match Results: Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca Team Overview
🔴 Just one win in their last six matches has dashed Mallorca's European competition hopes. In the previous round, the Islanders failed to trouble Getafe (1-2) on their home turf. Jagoba Arrasate's side managed their first shot on target only in the 93rd minute. A glance at their xG of 0.37 confirms Mallorca's struggles in front of goal. On average, the Vermilions score 0.95 times per match, ranking them 18th in the league.
❗ The most dangerous player in Mallorca's lineup is Vedat Muriqi. The Kosovo international has found the back of the net 7 times this La Liga season. However, his xG suggests he should have scored more, standing at 10.84. Interestingly, the 31-year-old forward averages about 2.28 shots per game, the best after Takuma Asano (2.35) among players who have played at least 1000 minutes this season.
Match Results: Mallorca
Latest news
Rayo Vallecano
🎙 Following their victory over Celta (2-1), Iñigo Pérez stated: "I'm pleased with my team's performance. We're very close to securing a spot in European competitions, but we can't afford to relax. This coming Saturday presents another final for us, the outcome of which will determine our fate." Let's recall that the last time "the Bees" participated in European competitions was during the 2000/01 season. Back then, the capital club made it to the UEFA Cup quarter-finals, where they fell to Alavés (0-3, 2-1).
❌ In Rayo Vallecano's injury list are Sergio Camello (leg injury), Jonathan Caballero (thigh injury), and Abdul Mumin (knee injury). Due to an accumulation of yellow cards, Óscar Valentín will also be unavailable.
Mallorca
🎙 After the 2-1 defeat to Getafe in the last round, Jagoba Arrasate shared his thoughts: "A disappointing result. It's true that we felt uncomfortable at times-especially when the score wasn't in our favor. It's tough playing against a team fighting for survival and defending as they do. We had a last chance, the team tried, but unfortunately, it didn't work out. We lacked intensity. In matches like this, it's crucial whether you're leading or not. This essentially reflects the second half of the season, where we struggled to create chances while opponents scored with relative ease. It's important for us to finish the season on a high note and make it into the top ten. We will try, and then we'll rest. We need to be active in the transfer market and have a strong pre-season. After that, we'll definitely start the new season on a high note."
❌ Against Rayo Vallecano, Jagoba Arrasate will be without the following players: Takuma Asano (leg injury), Chiquinho (leg injury), Pablo Maffeo (muscle injury), and Abdon Prats (calf injury).
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
In the last 8 matches involving Mallorca, there have been no more than 4 yellow cards. A similar trend is evident in 5 of their last 6 head-to-head encounters. Both teams avoid physical play, opting instead for various tactical maneuvers. We suggest betting on the following event - total yellow cards under 4.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Rayo Vallecano have conceded against Mallorca in their last 6 consecutive meetings. It's crucial to consider that the "Bees" need to take risks in the upcoming clash to secure a spot in European competitions next season. You can't overlook the counterattacks orchestrated by Jagoba Arrasate's side and the individual threat posed by Vedat Muriqi. A promising bet, in our view, is Mallorca to score.
🚩 Corner Prediction
This season, Rayo Vallecano have significantly outperformed in earning corner kicks: 5.2 compared to 3.8. Let's also factor in their higher average ball possession this campaign: 52% versus 47%. We believe Iñigo Pérez's squad will aim to frequently challenge Mallorca's flank defenders, who are not without their faults. The optimal choice is Rayo Vallecano's individual total corners over 5.5.
Editorial Prediction
Even with a win, Mallorca won't catch up to Rayo, but they certainly won't miss the chance to spoil the mood for their direct rivals. The hosts will be under pressure due to their league position, while the visitors will play calmly, without nerves, which might work in their favor. We believe the bookmakers are underestimating the "Red and Blacks," so we suggest betting on Mallorca to score. They've managed to do so in six consecutive head-to-head encounters.
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Betting Tips: Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca
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