Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca Prediction 11 January 2026
🔊 What drama lies in the clash of direct rivals in the battle for survival? This coming Sunday, the "Campo de Vallecas" will host a showdown between Rayo Vallecano and Mallorca. Both teams have struggled throughout the current season, as advanced statistics and their current standings suggest. However, it's crucial to recognize that the home crowd is a formidable weapon for the "Bees." Can the "Islanders" dampen the spirits of Rayo Vallecano's players and fans? Bookmakers give a threefold advantage to the home side.
Head-to-Head
📊 In recent years, Rayo Vallecano have struggled in their encounters with Mallorca. Over their last 7 meetings, the "Bees" have failed to secure a single victory. Their last triumph came during the 2021/22 Copa del Rey (1-0), with Óscar Trejo scoring the decisive goal. Let's take a look at the average scoring rate for each side over their last 10 head-to-head clashes: Rayo Vallecano - 0.9, Mallorca - 1.6.
Head-to-head statistics Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano Team Overview
⚪ The "Bees" have found themselves struggling due to their European campaign. Competing on two fronts has not only been a physically demanding challenge for Iñigo Pérez's squad but has also highlighted their lack of squad depth. The head coach simply cannot rely on an equal substitute for any of the key players. Currently, Rayo Vallecano are fighting for survival, as their 15th position in the standings and a mere 3-point gap from the relegation zone indicate. A significant issue for the "Bees" is their low scoring rate-only 0.78 goals per game, ranking 19th in the league. However, it's worth noting that the capital club boasts the best home defense in the league, conceding just 0.63 goals per match.
🔴 During the week, Rayo Vallecano played a cup match. In the 1/16 finals, the "Bees" visited "Nuevo Los Cármenes" to face local side Granada (3-1). Iñigo Pérez's team had a poor first half, but the players' class and the club's pressing style allowed them to turn the game around in the second half. Their opponent in the Copa del Rey Round of 16 is already known-it's the resilient Alavés. In their last La Liga match, Rayo Vallecano couldn't hold onto a win in their home clash against Getafe (1-1). Mauro Arambarri's goal in the 90th minute dashed the hopes of all "Bees" fans. The main attacking force for Iñigo Pérez's side is Sergio de Frutos, with 5 goals and 1 assist in 16 La Liga matches.
Match Results: Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca Team Overview
⚫ The "Islanders" find themselves in a crisis during their second season under Jagoba Arrasate. The club's management likely didn't anticipate a relegation battle after Mallorca secured a 10th-place finish in the previous campaign. Currently, the "Cinnabar Reds" have accumulated 18 points from 18 matches, placing them 16th on the table. Their gap from the relegation zone is a mere two points. Away games have been particularly troubling for fans of the team from the namesake city, with only 5 points earned from 9 matches. Let's note Mallorca's scoring stats: they average 1.11 goals per game while conceding 1.44.
🔴 Jagoba Arrasate's squad suffered yet another defeat in the national championship, this time against Girona (1-2). The match was largely even, but the "White and Reds" proved more efficient in the final phases. This marked their fifth loss in the last six matches in La Liga. Mallorca's head coach is a pragmatist, often shifting from a 4-2-3-1 formation to a 4-4-2 when defending. The true leader for Mallorca is Vedat Muriqi. The 31-year-old forward has scored 10 goals this season, making him the third top scorer in La Liga, behind Kylian Mbappe and Ferran Torres.
Match Results: Mallorca
Latest news
Rayo Vallecano
📰 During the winter transfer window, Rayo Vallecano have been quite active. They've secured Carlos Marten on loan from Atletico Madrid. The 23-year-old midfielder was a deep squad player for the "Colchoneros" and spent last season with Alaves, where he scored twice and provided two assists in 26 La Liga matches. The Spaniard made his debut for the "Bees" in a recent cup clash against Granada, which ended in a 3-1 victory. It's worth noting Iñigo Pérez's comments following their midweek cup win: "I believe we could have started the match better, preventing the opposition from taking the initiative. However, in the second half, every one of my players gave 100%. I thank them for their commitment and the victory."
❌ Among the unavailable players for Rayo Vallecano in the upcoming league match are Pathé Ciss (on international duty), Luis Felipe (leg injury), and Diego Mendez (leg injury).
Mallorca
🎤 Mallorca head coach Jagoba Arrasate shared his thoughts on the recent 2-1 defeat to Girona: "It's a tough loss and a step back. We need to regroup. Our response came too late. In the first half, I felt we weren't good enough in terms of pressing and ball possession. In the second half, we played more in the opponent's half and stuck to our style more. We were unlucky. We reacted, but it wasn't enough. We aimed for a dual focus with Mateo and wanted to play more in the opponent's half. It's difficult to come back after conceding two goals. Things will be different going forward; there are many teams in the standings, and we must finish the first half of the season in the best way possible. We need to improve on today's performance."
❌ Mallorca's injury list includes Manu Morlanes, who suffered a muscle injury in the last match.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Let's take a look at the average scoring rates for each side during the current La Liga campaign: Rayo Vallecano average 0.8 goals, while Mallorca average 1.1. It's important to note that head-to-head clashes between these teams tend to be slow-paced and tightly contested, averaging around 2.1 goals per match. A potential betting option to consider is under 2.5 total goals scored.
🚩 Corner Prediction
In 6 of Rayo Vallecano's last 8 matches, there have been no more than 10 corner kicks. A similar trend is observed in Mallorca's recent games. Additionally, a low corner total has been recorded in 7 of the last 9 head-to-head encounters between "the Bees" and "the Islanders." Consider the following betting option: Rayo Vallecano's individual corner total under 6.5.
Editorial Prediction
Predicting the outcome of the upcoming match is a tough task, as both clubs are fairly evenly matched in terms of performance this season. Both the "Bees" and the "Islanders" have struggled in the attacking phases, with low scoring being a major issue for both sides. Based on advanced statistics, our editorial team predicts a final score of 1-1. The key bet is on total goals under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca
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