Girona vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
🔊 Can Girona avenge their heavy defeat from the first round? One of the standout fixtures on Sunday's La Liga schedule is the clash between Girona and Atletico Madrid at Montilivi. Neither side holds any significant motivation in the standings, making this match a mere formality. However, Michel's squad will certainly be eager to lift the spirits of their fans in the season's final round. Let's note the bookmakers' early odds: a home win stands at 3.55, while an away victory is at 2.
Head-to-Head
📊 Girona have only defeated Atletico once in their history, which was at Montilivi last season (4-3). In the first round of the current championship, the capital club showed no mercy to the red-and-whites at Wanda Metropolitano, securing a 3-0 victory. Antoine Griezmann, Marcos Llorente, and Koke found the back of the net in that second-round encounter.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Girona Team Overview
🔴 Girona's players and fans can finally breathe a sigh of relief as the threat of relegation to the Segunda Division is no longer looming. Even a setback in their recent clash against Real Sociedad (2-3) didn't jeopardize the "Blanquivermells" staying in the top flight. Nonetheless, supporters are eager to put this season behind them, as if it were a bad dream. Matches at their home ground, Montilivi, rarely yielded positive outcomes - with just 24 points from 18 games, ranking them 14th in the league.
❗ Girona's most dangerous player and top scorer is Cristian Stuani. The 38-year-old Uruguayan has netted 11 goals and provided 2 assists this season. Impressively, he found the back of the net in 5 of the last 6 matches for the "Blanquivermells." However, his xG (expected goals) suggests a slight overperformance with a figure of 8.71. Additionally, Stuani leads Girona in average shots per game with 3.37.
Match Results: Girona
Atletico Madrid Team Overview
🔵 The final round of La Liga is more of a warm-up for the "Colchoneros" ahead of the Club World Cup. Diego Simeone's squad has been without tournament motivation for quite some time. Nevertheless, in the last round, Atletico thrashed Betis 4-1 at the Wanda Metropolitano, making phenomenal use of their gameplay advantage. It's worth noting that in away games, the Madrid club regularly faces challenges, having accumulated 27 points from 18 matches (5th best in the league). However, the "Rojiblancos" defense remains solid, conceding just 0.81 goals per game (2nd best in the league).
❗ Atletico's most dangerous player is Julian Alvarez. In the current La Liga campaign, the Argentine forward has scored 17 goals and provided 3 assists. It's important to highlight that the "Colchoneros" striker has no issues with finishing (xG 14.04). In the last round, Alvarez netted a brace and contributed an assist.
Match Results: Atletico Madrid
Latest news
Girona
🎙 Despite the setback at the Reale Arena, Michel viewed his team's performance positively: "The team performed well. In terms of intensity, gameplay, and our approach, we were solid and recognizable, so we didn't deserve to lose. Real Sociedad played well too, but a draw would have been a fairer result. Stuani scored his eleventh goal, which is an incredible number, and Portu is a player who has deserved more this season. Both are very important players for us."
📝 One of the main storylines of the summer transfer window is the future of Miguel Gutierrez. According to several sources, the Spanish wing-back does not intend to stay at Girona next season. Recently, reports have emerged that Napoli and Juventus are the clubs most interested in acquiring his services. Meanwhile, the "white and reds" are actively exploring the possibility of signing Juan Cruz, who is likely to leave Leganes if they are relegated to Segunda.
❌ In Girona's injury list are Ricard Artero (ankle injury), Bryan Gil (knee injury), Miguel Gutierrez (ankle injury), Gabriel Misehouy (thigh injury), and Donny Van de Beek (tendon injury).
Atletico Madrid
🎙 The recent home clash with Betis (4-1) marked a significant moment for Ángel Correa. It was the Argentine's final match in an Atlético jersey at the Wanda Metropolitano. The 30-year-old shared on social media: “Today I played my last home game in the shirt I love so much. It wasn't just another day; it was a collection of memories, emotions, and gratitude. Thank you to the club, my teammates, and the incredible fans who always made me feel like one of them. I cherish every applause, every ovation, and every moment in my heart. I will always be grateful for everything I've experienced at Atlético. Thank you so much!”
🎤 Head coach Diego Simeone also commented on the departure of such a significant player, saying, “He is a symbol of Atlético. Our people are deeply attached to him because of his dedication, effort, and talent, and for representing Atlético in the best possible way-always committed and always valuable to the team. He started games, came off the bench, and always wanted to play more. I am very happy and grateful to him, above all for his attitude, and of course, for his work. He has been incredibly important to me over these 14 years at the club.”
📝 According to several sources, the main transfer targets for the upcoming window are Cristian Romero and Darwin Núñez. Both players are reportedly open to changing clubs.
❌ In Atlético's injury list, only Pablo Barrios remains sidelined as he continues his recovery from a concussion.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The head official for the clash between Girona and Atletico will be Jesus Gil Manzano. This season, he has officiated 18 La Liga matches. Notably, this referee is known for his strictness, averaging 6.05 warnings per game. Let's note the average number of yellow cards each team receives in this La Liga campaign: Girona - 2.1, Atletico - 2. We'll focus on a total of over 3.5 yellow cards.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
In 4 of the last 5 head-to-head encounters, there have been at least 3 goals scored. Let's also consider the teams' scoring rates this season: Girona - 1.2, Atletico - 1.7. Given that neither team is driven by tournament motivation, it's reasonable to expect a high-scoring affair. Our editorial choice is a total of over 2.5 goals.
🚩 Corner Prediction
In meetings between Girona and Atletico, there is a minimal number of corner kicks, averaging around 7.7 per game. In 5 of the last 7 encounters, there were a maximum of 10 corners observed. This trend is consistent with most matches for both teams this season. Considering these points, we'll go with the following outcome - total corners under 10.5.
Editorial Prediction
A match that holds no significance for either team. In such a scenario, expecting full commitment from the players seems unlikely, but we believe this actually boosts the odds for a high-scoring affair. The head-to-head history between Girona and Atletico is all about goals, so our main pick is over 2.5 total goals.
Betting Tips: Girona - Atletico Madrid
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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