Girona vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
🎙️ Was Girona's victory last round a fluke, or the beginning of a club revival? One of the standout fixtures in Sunday's La Liga schedule features a clash between the "Blanquivermells" and "Los Colchoneros." The clubs are pursuing different objectives this season: Michel's squad aims to secure their spot in Spain's top flight, while Diego Simeone's men are determined to challenge for the title. Despite playing away, bookmakers give Atlético Madrid a threefold advantage, relying on their form and high-quality squad.
Head-to-Head
📊 Girona have only managed to defeat Atletico once in their history, during the 2023/24 La Liga campaign (4-3). Let's break down the complete head-to-head record: 1 victory for the "Blanquivermells," 5 draws, and 6 wins for the "Colchoneros." It's crucial to consider the average scoring rate for each side over a similar period: 2.17 for the Madrid club versus 1.17. Last season, Diego Simeone's squad left no room for doubt, dominating both encounters: a 3-0 win at the Wanda Metropolitano and a 4-0 triumph at Montilivi.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Girona Team Overview
⚪️ This season is proving to be a real challenge for Michel's squad. Currently, the club remains in the relegation zone and is making desperate attempts to turn the situation around. Over the past couple of years, the "white-and-reds" have lost several key players who could have single-handedly brought success to the team. Now, Girona seems more like a collection of individuals rather than a cohesive unit. They are not known for their efficiency either in attack or defense - with an average of 0.94 goals scored per game, they concede about 1.88. The most prolific player for the club in the current La Liga campaign is Viktor Tsygankov, with 3 goals and 2 assists after 10 matches played.
🔴 The recent round of La Liga was significant for Girona as the club managed to break a four-game winless streak across all competitions. Michel's squad claimed victory over Real Sociedad (2-1). Notably, the "white-and-reds" showcased their character for perhaps the first time this season - trailing until the 76th minute of the match, Viktor Tsygankov scored twice in less than 10 minutes to secure the win. Michel's tactical model is based on proactive football with a strong emphasis on flank attacks. It’s no secret that this style urgently needs a leading striker - Vladyslav Vanat is still inexperienced and unlikely to deliver even 15 goals a season for the club.
Match Results: Girona
Atletico Madrid Team Overview
🔴 Despite their increasing tendency to drop points, "Los Colchoneros" remain contenders for the championship title by the end of the season. Currently, the Madrid club trails the top spot by 9 points. Interestingly, it's their away form that raises concerns for Diego Simeone's squad-just 9 points from 8 games, with only 2 away victories in this La Liga campaign. However, it's fascinating to watch how the Argentine tactician's approach is evolving into a more pressing and proactive style. The strategy of a deep defensive line is no longer in vogue.
⚪️ Last Wednesday, Atletico secured their place in the Copa del Rey Round of 16, but it came at a hefty price. Despite facing a fourth-tier Spanish side, Atletico Baleares, they struggled to prevail. A glance at the expected goals (xG) ratio reveals the Segunda Federación team's significant dominance: 3.57 to 1.35. Another critical setback was Clement Lenglet's injury, sidelining him for about two months. In their last La Liga outing, Atletico triumphed over Valencia (2-1)-a closely contested match where the individual brilliance of "Los Indios" made the difference.
Match Results: Atletico Madrid
Latest news
Girona
📰 The recent match proved significant for one of Girona's current leaders, Arnau Martinez. The player reached a milestone in his professional career by making his 100th appearance in La Liga, establishing himself as one of the youngest and most consistent players in national football. At just 22 years old, Arnau Martinez stands out for his versatility, intensity, football maturity, and dedication, earning the trust of the coaching staff and gaining experience at the highest level with a consistency rarely seen at his age. Here's what Girona's head coach Michel had to say: "For me, the most important player on the team is Arnau. He does what I ask both in attack and defense. He is very talented, stands out, and plays very well."
❌ Girona's injury list is extensive: Ricard Artero (ankle injury), Juan Carlos (knee injury), Viktor Krapivtsov (Achilles injury), David Lopez (hamstring injury), Portu (knee injury), Abel Ruiz (muscle injury), Christian Stuani (calf injury), and Donny van de Beek (Achilles injury). Additionally, Azzedine Ounahi is unavailable as he has been called up to the Moroccan national team.
Atletico Madrid
🎤 Following their 2-1 victory over Valencia last weekend, Diego Simeone spoke with journalists about the current roles of Griezmann and Koke at Atletico: “Truly top-tier players never cause problems. Antoine is a timeless player who changes the course of games. We had a lengthy discussion recently. Perhaps Koke has played many matches lately, while Cardoso hasn't had the opportunity to feature as consistently as we need, but Koke responds as he always does. Antoine isn't starting as often these days, and it's not easy to deny a legendary player the role he believes he deserves. We wanted to convey to him just how important he is, even if he's not in the starting lineup. He possesses unique qualities and class that few players have. Today, he is helping the team, enjoying his game, and this phase that he and Koke are going through is benefiting the team, which is the essence of their presence in the squad.”
❌ Atletico Madrid's injury list includes Jose Maria Gimenez (hamstring injury) and Clement Lenglet (knee injury). The participation of Alejandro Baena and Marcos Llorente remains doubtful due to injuries.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Both clubs have struggled to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches. Interestingly, Girona have never managed a shutout against Atletico in their head-to-head history. Moreover, the majority of matches for both sides in the current La Liga season have seen both teams find the back of the net. Our suggested bet is - both teams to score (yes).
🚩 Corner Prediction
It's worth noting that head-to-head encounters between Girona and Atletico typically feature a low number of corner kicks, averaging around 7.8 per game. In 4 out of their last 5 meetings, there have been no more than 10 corners. This trend is also evident in Girona's last 6 matches this season. Considering the advanced stats, we recommend the following bet - Girona's individual total corners under 4.5.
Editorial Prediction
At present, Girona appear to be an overly unbalanced team, compounded by significant injury issues. Michel cannot be labeled a rigid tactician this season, as he has often had to adjust his tactical approach and switch formations. Meanwhile, Atlético are gradually regaining their best form, and their successful head-to-head history against Girona will only boost their mental state. We predict a final score of 1-2, with the key bet being on an Atlético victory.
Betting Tips: Girona - Atletico Madrid
in 6 of last 7 games against Atletico Madrid (La Liga).
in 11 of last 12 games against Atletico Madrid.in 9 of last 10 games against Atletico Madrid (La Liga).in last 12 games against Atletico Madrid.in last 10 games against Atletico Madrid (La Liga).in last 6 home games against Atletico Madrid.in 10 of last 11 games.in 8 of last 9 games (La Liga).in 18 of last 19 games (La Liga).in 11 of last 12 games.in 8 of last 9 away games (La Liga).in 11 of last 12 Girona games against Atletico Madrid.in 9 of last 10 Girona games against Atletico Madrid (La Liga).in 10 of last 11 Girona games.in 8 of last 9 Girona games (La Liga).in 14 of last 16 Atletico Madrid away games.in 6 of last 7 Atletico Madrid games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
