Deportivo Garcilaso vs Melgar Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 April 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash promises to be intriguing. Deportivo Garcilaso find themselves in a tough spot, sitting 17th in the standings. Their form has been lacking with recent setbacks, while Melgar are in 5th place and displaying a more confident performance, making them the favorites for this match.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 19 September 2025 and ended in a 1-1 draw. Here is a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Deportivo Garcilaso were the home side):
- possession: 35% vs 65%;
- corners: 1 vs 8;
- fouls: 12 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Deportivo Garcilaso and Melgar:
- 6 matches played;
- home wins - 2, away wins - 1, draws - 3;
- goals scored - 11 versus 10;
- average first-half total - 1.83, second-half - 1.67;
- average total goals per match - 3.5.
Head-to-head statistics Deportivo Garcilaso - Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primera Division, featuring Universitario as the home side and Deportivo Garcilaso as the visitors. The game concluded with a 4-1 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario):
- possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 10;
- fouls: 9 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 1 vs 7.
Deportivo Garcilaso are struggling with form. Their average scoring rate is just 0.9 goals per game over the last ten matches, which has adversely affected their league position, landing them in 17th place. Defensively, they are equally unimpressive, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match. The lack of consistency and confidence in their attacking play limits their ability to perform well against stronger opponents like Melgar.
Match Results: Deportivo Garcilaso
FBC Melgar Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Primera Division, with Melgar hosting Universitario. The match concluded with a 2-1 victory for the home side.
Here are the match statistics (Melgar vs Universitario):
- possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 2;
- fouls: 9 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Melgar are showcasing a confident performance, as evidenced by their current fifth place in the standings. Over the last ten matches, the team has been effective in front of goal, averaging 1.5 goals per game. However, their defense occasionally falters, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match as well. In their last five games, Melgar have secured two wins and two draws, indicating a stable form at present. The team's playing style is built on aggressive attacking and high pressing, which often proves fruitful against lower-tier opponents.
Match Results: FBC Melgar
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 6;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 1, draws - 3.
Statistics: Deportivo Garcilaso vs FBC Melgar
- matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- wins: 2 vs 5;
- win percentage: 18% vs 45%;
- losses: 5 vs 4;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 3;
- losses: 6 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
- Deportivo Garcilaso have not won in 8 of last 9 games.
- Deportivo Garcilaso have not won in 7 of last 8 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.83, the guests - 1.67;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.5;
- both teams scored: overall - 6; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Deportivo Garcilaso vs FBC Melgar
- average total in the tournament: 2.45 vs 3;
- average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.64;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.27 vs 1.09;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.73 vs 0.55;
- Deportivo Garcilaso: average total at home in the tournament - 1.6;
- FBC Melgar: average total away in the tournament - 1.6;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 1.75) vs 1.5 (away - 1.4).
- Deportivo Garcilaso have conceded in 8 of last 9 games.
- FBC Melgar have scored in 13 of last 14 games.
- FBC Melgar have scored in 12 of last 13 games (Primera Division).
- FBC Melgar have scored in last 7 away games.
- FBC Melgar have scored in last 6 away games (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 9.17 (3.5 - for home team and 5.67 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 7.67 (2.67 - for home team and 5 - for away team).
Deportivo Garcilaso: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.64; at home field - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.5; at home field - 3.
FBC Melgar: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.73, away - 4.6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; away - 4.2.
- Deportivo Garcilaso have taken under 4.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games.
- Deportivo Garcilaso have taken under 4.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 6;
- both teams scored all-time - 6 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Deportivo Garcilaso vs FBC Melgar
- number of matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for Deportivo Garcilaso at home - 4 (80%);
- number of BTTS matches for FBC Melgar away - 5 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Deportivo Garcilaso at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for FBC Melgar away - 5 (100%).
- FBC Melgar have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games.
- FBC Melgar have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games (Primera Division).
- FBC Melgar have scored and conceded in last 6 away games (Primera Division).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (16/99, 16.2%);
- Deportivo Garcilaso at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (2/5, 40%);
- FBC Melgar away most often play: 3:1 (2/5, 40%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.52% (odds 6)
1:0 - 8.43% (odds 7.5)
2:1 - 7.81% (odds 10)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of the teams and existing trends, the match promises to be intriguing. Although Deportivo Garcilaso are playing at home, their attacking potential leaves much to be desired. Meanwhile, Melgar showcase a confident offensive play but struggle defensively, conceding goals regularly. The trend for both teams to score is a key factor in this prediction: Melgar are actively involved in goal exchanges, making a bet on this outcome logical and well-founded.No comments
Betting Tips: Deportivo Garcilaso - FBC Melgar
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