Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-Varen Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 18 April 2026
🔊 In the 11th round of the J-League's Western Group, mid-table teams will face off: the seventh and eighth-placed sides. Sanfrecce Hiroshima, despite their lackluster results, are traditionally strong at home. V-Varen Nagasaki play an open style of football but make too many defensive errors. Both teams are in dire need of points, so this encounter could be high-scoring. The key question is whether Hiroshima can capitalize on their home advantage.
Head-to-Head
📊The sides have played three official matches. The statistics are as follows:
- goals: 7 against 1;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.67, in the 2nd half - 2;
- average total goals in the match - 2.67.
Head-to-head statistics Sanfrecce Hiroshima - V-Varen
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Sanfrecce Hiroshima, away team - Shimizu S Pulse). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here's the game statistics (Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S Pulse):
- ball possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 1;
- fouls: 11 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
After 10 rounds, Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit in 7th place with 13 points and a negative goal difference of 13-14. Out of their 10 matches, Hiroshima have won five (three in regular time and two via penalties) and lost five (all in regular time). Their main strength lies in their home performances: in their last ten home games, they have suffered only two defeats and kept four clean sheets.
Match Results: Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-Varen Nagasaki Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Avispa Fukuoka, away - V-Varen Nagasaki). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (V-Varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka):
- ball possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 7;
- fouls: 12 vs 20;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 1 vs 4.
Varen Nagasaki currently sit in 8th place with 12 points. Their goal difference of 10-15 highlights issues in attack and a fragile defense. The team's record shows four victories (all in regular time) and six defeats (all in regular time), with no outcomes decided by penalties. Away games have been challenging for Nagasaki, as they have lost 3 out of their last 5 matches on the road.
Match Results: V-Varen Nagasaki
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 0, draws - 0.
Statistics: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-Varen Nagasaki
- matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
- wins: 5 vs 4;
- win percentage: 50% vs 40%;
- losses: 5 vs 6;
- draws: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- losses: 6 vs 6;
- draws: 0 vs 0.
- V-Varen Nagasaki won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 16 away games.
- V-Varen Nagasaki won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 games (J1 League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.33, the guests - 0.33;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.67;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-Varen Nagasaki
- average total in the tournament: 2.7 vs 2.5;
- average total goals scored: 1.3 vs 1;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.4 vs 0.4;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.9 vs 0.6;
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- V-Varen Nagasaki: average total away in the tournament - 1.2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1) vs 1 (away - 1.2).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 16 Sanfrecce Hiroshima home games.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 14 Sanfrecce Hiroshima home games (J1 League).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Sanfrecce Hiroshima games (J1 League).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Sanfrecce Hiroshima games.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 5 V-Varen Nagasaki games (J1 League).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 6.33 (4 - for home team and 2.33 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 9 (5 - for home team and 4 - for away team).
Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.1; at home field - 7;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.3; at home field - 7.6.
V-Varen Nagasaki: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.4, away - 2.6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.4; away - 2.6.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima have taken under 6.5 corners in last 5 games (J1 League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-Varen Nagasaki
- number of matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 4;
- number of BTTS matches for Sanfrecce Hiroshima at home - 3 (60%);
- number of BTTS matches for V-Varen Nagasaki away - 2 (40%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Sanfrecce Hiroshima at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for V-Varen Nagasaki away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (19/102, 18.6%);
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (2/5, 40%);
- V-Varen Nagasaki away most often play: 0:1 , 1:0 , 1:3 , 2:0 , 3:2 (1/5, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 12.99% (odds 6.9)
1:1 - 11.04% (odds 7.7)
2:0 - 10.3% (odds 6.95)
Editor's Prediction
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are solid at home, but V-Varen Nagasaki rarely leave the pitch without scoring, and the hosts' defense isn't impenetrable. The visitors can put up a fight and avoid a heavy defeat. The most reasonable prediction is a V-Varen Nagasaki win with a +1.5 handicap. The team has maintained this handicap in 7 of their last 8 J-League 1 matches.No comments
Betting Tips: Sanfrecce Hiroshima - V-Varen Nagasaki
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
