Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 18 October 2026

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Key points

    🔊 Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka pits one of the best-performing sides of the early season against a team sitting in the lower reaches of the J1 League table. The hosts are close to the top and in good form, while the visitors are fighting to pull clear of the relegation zone. At this stage of the season, both clubs have their own objectives: Machida Zelvia are maintaining a narrow gap behind the leaders, while Avispa Fukuoka need points to keep themselves in the division.

    Head-to-Head

    Machida Zelvia and Avispa Fukuoka drew 0-0 in their J1 League match on 18 October 2025. Machida Zelvia had the better of possession at 57% to 43%, but both sides created fewer than 0.6 xG; Machida Zelvia had the only three shots on target in the game.

    📊 Across 15 official meetings, Machida Zelvia have a slight edge: five wins to Avispa Fukuoka's four, with six draws. Machida Zelvia scored in only two of their eight home matches in this fixture, but found the net in all seven away games.

    Head-to-head statistics Zelvia - Avispa Fukuoka

    33%
    5 Wins
    40%
    6 Draws
    27%
    4 Wins
    Total games
    15
    Avg. total goals
    2.07
    Both teams scored
    40%
    1.2
    Average total
    0.87
    Last matches
    18.10.25
    J1 League
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    0.5
    0.58
    2
    1
    6
    11
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.5
    0.58
    2
    1
    6
    11
    0
    0
    29.03.25
    J1 League
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    0.76
    1.15
    5
    4
    15
    14
    1
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0.76
    1.15
    5
    4
    15
    14
    1
    1
    14.09.24
    J1 League
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    -
    -
    1
    2
    6
    11
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    -
    -
    1
    2
    6
    11
    0
    0
    22.06.24
    J1 League
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    -
    -
    5
    4
    9
    19
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    9
    19
    0
    1
    21.10.20
    J.League 2
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    -
    -
    -
    -
    10
    12
    -
    -
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    10
    12
    -
    -
    Empty
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    Machida Zelvia are just one win away from the top spot.

    Machida Zelvia won their most recent AFC Champions League 2 match 15 October 2026, beating Tampines Rovers away from home 1-0. The visitors' dominance in the shot statistics was far more pronounced than the scoreline suggested: 21-2 in total shots and 7-0 in shots on target.

    Machida Zelvia have made a strong start to the season, winning 7 of their last 10 matches and losing just once in that period. In their last five games they have won four, which points to good short-term momentum. Their scoring rate is high: at home they have consistently scored more than 1.5 goals per game (in 6 of their 7 home matches), and their overall average stands at 2.44 goals per game alongside a relatively solid defence (1.11 conceded). Their league objective involves a push for first place, though motivation is not at its peak given the mid-season stage.

    Match Results: Machida Zelvia

    Last matches
    15.10.26
    AFC Cup
    Tampines Rovers
    Tampines Rovers
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    -
    -
    1
    6
    9
    14
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    6
    9
    14
    1
    1
    W
    10.10.26
    J1 League
    Kyoto Sanga
    Kyoto Sanga
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    1.34
    0.94
    4
    10
    16
    6
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.34
    0.94
    4
    10
    16
    6
    1
    1
    W
    03.10.26
    J. League Cup
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    Kyoto Sanga
    Kyoto Sanga
    -
    -
    7
    4
    3
    4
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    5
    3
    -
    -
    7
    4
    3
    4
    1
    2
    W
    23.09.26
    Emperor Cup
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    Tochigi City
    Tochigi City
    -
    -
    4
    1
    -
    -
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    1
    -
    -
    1
    1
    W
    20.09.26
    J1 League
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    1
    Kashiwa Reysol
    Kashiwa Reysol
    0.92
    2.27
    1
    8
    10
    14
    0
    3
    2
    4
    1
    0
    1
    4
    0.92
    2.27
    1
    8
    10
    14
    0
    3
    L
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    Avispa Fukuoka have managed just one win in their last five away fixtures.

    In their previous Japan League Cup match on 14 October 2026, Avispa Fukuoka lost away to Sagan Tosu 1-2. After a level first half (1-1), they conceded another goal; Avispa Fukuoka created more dangerous attacks - 72 to 64 - but had fewer shots on goal - 7 to 12.

    Avispa Fukuoka are struggling to pick up points - just three wins in their last ten matches, with six defeats in that same run. In their last five games they have won twice and lost three times. Their seasonal average stands at just 1.22 goals scored per game, while they concede more frequently, at 1.44 per game. The visitors are highly motivated: they sit close to the relegation zone and are looking to move clear of danger early in the season.

    Match Results: Avispa Fukuoka

    Last matches
    14.10.26
    J. League Cup
    Sagan Tosu
    Sagan Tosu
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    -
    -
    7
    2
    9
    6
    2
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    2
    9
    6
    2
    0
    L
    10.10.26
    J1 League
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Fagiano Okayama
    Fagiano Okayama
    1.13
    0.59
    2
    3
    13
    10
    4
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.13
    0.59
    2
    3
    13
    10
    4
    2
    W
    07.10.26
    Emperor Cup
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Yokohama
    Yokohama
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    3
    -
    -
    1
    0
    L
    29.09.26
    J. League Cup
    Osaka
    Osaka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    -
    -
    5
    8
    -
    -
    5
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    8
    -
    -
    5
    2
    W
    19.09.26
    J1 League
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    2
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    0.18
    4.64
    2
    16
    12
    8
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.18
    4.64
    2
    16
    12
    8
    2
    2
    L
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    Corners Prediction

    Machida Zelvia have taken fewer than 6.5 corners in six consecutive league matches, forming a clear trend towards a low team corner total. This pattern has been consistent in the club's recent games, making the bet on Machida Zelvia Team Corners - Under 6.5 at odds of 1.30* well-supported.

    Reliable Bet

    Total Goals - Over 1.5 has landed in 10 consecutive matches involving Machida Zelvia in J1 League. This trend is consistent, and the average scoring figures for both teams also support the likelihood of at least two goals in the match. We're backing Total Goals - Over 1.5 at odds of 1.36*.

    Correct Score Prediction

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-1 (10.83%), 1-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (8.73%). A 1-1 draw is considered the most probable outcome among them, though the difference between the options is minimal. All three scenarios point to moderate scoring, which is consistent with the general trends on the total.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    The trend data points clearly to a strong chance of goals at both ends: Machida Zelvia have scored and conceded in almost every match of the current season (9 out of 10). They are active at home and regularly convert their chances, but they also leave space for the opposition to attack - something reflected in the consistent number of goals they concede even against sides from the lower half of the table. Avispa Fukuoka are fighting for points with high motivation and often manage at least one goal away from home, helped by the defensive weaknesses the hosts show according to the trend statistics. The editors' main prediction is Both Teams to Score - Yes.

    Both Teams to Score – (Yes)
    Odds-110
    Published: 16/10/2026, 17:45
    Alexander Martilionis
    Alexander Martilionis
    Football expert
    83
    2
    77
    162 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Machida Zelvia - Avispa Fukuoka

    Machida Zelvia have drawn in the 1st half:
    machida-zelviaavispa-fukuokain 6 of last 7 home games against Avispa Fukuoka.
    machida-zelviaavispa-fukuokain last 5 games against Avispa Fukuoka.
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +120
    Avispa Fukuoka have drawn:
    machida-zelviaavispa-fukuokain last 3 away games against Machida Zelvia.
    Draw
    Bovada
    +245
    Machida Zelvia have not lost:
    machida-zelviain 22 of last 23 games.
    machida-zelviain 18 of last 19 games (J1 League).
    machida-zelviain 11 of last 12 home games.
    Avispa Fukuoka have not won:
    avispa-fukuokain last 6 games (J1 League).
    Machida Zelvia will not lose
    Everygame
    -476
    Machida Zelvia have scored under 2.5 goals:
    machida-zelviaavispa-fukuokain 10 of last 11 games against Avispa Fukuoka.
    machida-zelviaavispa-fukuokain last 8 home games against Avispa Fukuoka.
    machida-zelviain 16 of last 17 home games.
    machida-zelviain last 12 home games (J1 League).
    machida-zelviain last 7 games.
    Machida Zelvia Total goals Under (2,5)
    -500
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    7 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    1 - Loss
    Wins - 3
    Draw - 1
    Losses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 9
    +6
    -4
    9 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    7
    Wins
    3
    2
    Draws
    1
    1
    Losses
    6
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    9
    9
    Conceded
    13
    2.4
    Average total per match
    2.2
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.9
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    62'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    107'
    View all stats