Santos vs Vasco Da Gama Prediction 26 February 2026
🔊 Santos host Vasco da Gama in the fourth round of Serie A. Both teams find themselves near the bottom of the standings and are struggling with scoring. Santos, currently in 18th place, are eager to turn their fortunes around after a string of disappointing performances. Vasco da Gama are also desperate for points, but their away form has been less than stellar.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 17 August 2025 and ended in a 0-6 defeat. Here is the comparative statistics from that encounter (Santos were the home side):
- possession percentage: 41% vs 59%;
- corners: 3 vs 3;
- fouls: 11 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 2 vs 9.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Santos and Vasco da Gama:
- 36 matches played;
- home team victories - 16, away team wins - 13, draws - 7;
- goals scored - 55 versus 48;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.36, in the 2nd half - 1.5;
- average goals per match - 2.86.
Head-to-head statistics Santos - Vasco Da Gama
Santos Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Paulista A1 League, with Novorizontino hosting Santos. The match ended with a 2-1 scoreline.
Here are the match stats (Santos vs Novorizontino):
- possession: 67% vs 33%;
- corners: 4 vs 10;
- fouls: 5 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
⚪ Santos are currently 18th in Serie A, striving to escape the relegation zone. Over their last 10 matches, their performance has been average, with two wins, four draws, and four losses. On average, they score 1.5 goals per game, indicating a decent attacking play, but their defense often lets them down, conceding 1.4 goals per game.
Match Results: Santos
Vasco da Gama Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place on in the Carioca League, with Vasco da Gama hosting Fluminense. The game ended with a 0-1 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense):
- possession: 64% vs 36%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 11 vs 22;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
⚫ Vasco sit just one spot above Santos, but this doesn't necessarily make them the favorites for the match. Despite securing three wins in their last ten outings, the team struggles with low scoring efficiency, averaging only 0.8 goals per game, although they do boast a solid defense, conceding just 0.7 goals on average. However, it's worth noting their five consecutive away defeats in Serie A since last season-a significant drawback, especially considering the need to fight for every point.
Match Results: Vasco da Gama
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 36;
- Home wins - 16, Away wins - 13, Draws - 7.
Statistics: Santos vs Vasco da Gama
- Matches in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
- Wins: 0 vs 0;
- Winning %: 0% vs 0%;
- Losses: 2 vs 2;
- Draws: 1 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 2 vs 3;
- Losses: 4 vs 4;
- Draws: 4 vs 3.
- Vasco da Gama have lost their last 5 away games (Serie A).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head matches (average total):
- Home team - 1.53, Away team - 1.33;
- In head-to-head matches - 2.86;
- Both teams scored: overall - 17 times; at home - 8 times.
Average Total Stats: Santos vs Vasco da Gama
- In the tournament: 3.67 vs 2;
- Goals scored: 1.33 vs 0.67;
- First half: 1 vs 0.33;
- Second half: 0.33 vs 0.33;
- Santos: at home in the tournament - 1;
- Vasco da Gama: away in the tournament - 1;
- Last 10 matches: 1.5 (home - 2) vs 0.8 (away - 1).
- The total has gone under 2.5 goals in Vasco da Gama's last 6 matches.
Corners Prediction
Santos: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 7.67; at home - 7;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.9; at home - 6.5.
Vasco da Gama: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 9, away - 5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 6.8; away - 2.5.
- Vasco da Gama have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in their last 12 of 13 away matches.
- Vasco da Gama have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in their last 8 consecutive away matches (Serie A).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 36;
- Both teams scored overall - 17 times;
- At home field - 8 times.
Statistics: Santos vs Vasco da Gama
- Played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
- Season matches where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 2;
- Santos: BTTS at home - 1 (100%);
- Vasco da Gama: BTTS away - 1 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- Matches with BTTS: 7 vs 3;
- Santos: BTTS at home - 2 (50%);
- Vasco da Gama: BTTS away - 1 (25%).
Exact Score Prediction
Frequent Results Statistics (current season):
- The most common score in the tournament: 0-1 (4/30, 13.3%), 1-1 (4/30, 13.3%), 2-1 (4/30, 13.3%);
- Santos most often finishes at home with a score of: 1-1 (1/1, 100%);
- Vasco da Gama's most frequent away score is: 2-1 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top-3 outcomes:
1-1 - 12.61% (odds: 6)
1-0 - 11.94% (odds: 7)
2-1 - 9.07% (odds: 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The primary factor guiding this bet is the trend: Vasco da Gama have lost their last five away matches in the Brazilian league, and the under 2.5 goals trend has persisted for six consecutive games. Given these circumstances, we can anticipate a cautious approach from the visitors as they aim to minimize mistakes. This suggests that the match will likely not be a high-scoring affair, making a bet on under 2.5 goals the most reasonable choice.
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Betting Tips: Santos - Vasco da Gama
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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