Roma vs Milan Prediction 25 January 2026
📢 What can we expect from the clash between Roma and Milan in the 22nd round of Serie A? Another marquee matchup of the week unfolds at the Stadio Olimpico, where two top-4 table contenders face off. Both clubs are not only vying for a Champions League spot but also have their sights set on the title. In a contest like this, even a draw might feel less than satisfactory.
Head-to-Head
📊 The head-to-head history between Roma and Milan over recent years features 40 matches, with an even split: each team has claimed 14 victories, while 12 encounters ended in draws. In the first-leg game of the current season, both teams generated a plethora of scoring chances, particularly Milan, who boasted an xG of 3.30 and should have scored more. However, the match remained low-scoring and concluded with a narrow win for the Rossoneri (1-0).
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Roma Team Overview
🔴 Although Roma have been inconsistent this winter, their recent performances show a reduction in slip-ups. The Giallorossi have secured four wins in their last five matches, suffering only one defeat during this stretch - a 3-2 loss to Torino in the Coppa Italia. In the Serie A standings, Roma have climbed back to fourth place, capitalizing on Juventus's defeat to Cagliari (0-1).
🟡 In their latest outing, the Romans faced Stuttgart in the Europa League and claimed a convincing 2-0 victory, despite the stature of their opponents. The standout performer was Niccolò Pisilli, who scored twice - his first goals of the season. However, in terms of creating dangerous opportunities, the German side appeared slightly more threatening.
Match Results: Roma
Milan Team Overview
🔴 In the league standings, AC Milan are currently positioned above Roma, sitting in second place and holding a four-point lead over the Roman club. Their recent performances have been solid, as they remain unbeaten in their last six matches. Although Milan failed to secure victories against weaker opponents like Genoa (1-1) and Fiorentina (1-1), such slip-ups can happen to any team.
⚫ Last weekend, Milan narrowly defeated Lecce 1-0. While the scoreline may seem modest, the "Rossoneri" dominated the game and could have won by a larger margin. They registered 20 shots with a total xG of 2.60, compared to just four attempts from their opponents. Additionally, Milan created six clear-cut scoring opportunities. Despite lacking clinical finishing, securing the three points was what mattered most.
Match Results: Milan
Latest news
Roma
📣 After the match against Stuttgart (2-0), Roma's head coach Gian Piero Gasperini praised the team's overall performance: "Many factors contributed to this. First and foremost, I see the players every day in training and can observe their progress. Ultimately, it was a perfect match for us - we managed to get the best out of every player."
🚫 The Romans head into their next match with a few injury concerns. Pierluigi Gollini is still recovering from a muscle injury and aims to be back in action by early February. Mario Hermoso is also sidelined with similar issues. Artem Dovbyk is recovering from a serious injury and will likely return to the field only in April. Stephan El Shaarawy is expected to miss the game again due to an Achilles tendon injury.
Milan
📣 Following their 1-0 victory over Lecce, AC Milan's head coach Massimiliano Allegri highlighted the significance of substitutions: "With five substitutions, they become a decisive factor. Those coming off the bench need to elevate the game, as Füllkrug did today. This is a remarkable group of players doing something important, but we're only halfway there."
🚫 The visitors have just one injury concern. Santiago Giménez is recovering from an ankle injury and is expected to be fit by early February, ruling him out of the upcoming match.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
In their head-to-head clashes, Milan consistently start matches on the front foot, while Roma often struggle in the opening 45 minutes - the "Giallorossi" have conceded in the first half in 10 of their last 11 Serie A encounters against Milan. This season, the "Rossoneri" have no significant issues with converting chances, having scored 34 goals in 21 rounds, second only to Inter in this metric. Given these circumstances, a bet on Milan to score in the first half seems like a logical option.
🚩 Corner Prediction
This season, Roma cannot boast impressive corner statistics - the team averages just 4.9 corners per match. In this context, considering a total of under 5.5 corners for Roma makes sense, especially since this bet has won in the last seven head-to-head encounters between these teams at Roma's home ground.
Editorial Prediction
Bookmakers have struggled to pinpoint a clear favorite for the upcoming clash, and our editorial team also finds it challenging to lean towards one side over the other. Both teams are in good form and have been quite effective offensively. Their head-to-head encounters often turn out to be high-scoring affairs - in 12 of their last 14 meetings, both sides have found the back of the net. Therefore, betting on both teams to score (yes) seems like the most reasonable option. We anticipate seeing a 1-1 scoreline on the board.
Betting Tips: Roma - Milan
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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