Milan vs Roma Prediction 5 February 2025

🔊 Will the "Rossoneri" make it to the semi-finals of the national cup, or will their opponent from the capital take that spot? Both teams have long lost their chances to compete for the Scudetto, so the cup is their last chance for a domestic title. It is doubly symbolic that Milan and Roma are neighbors in the league table (the hosts are in 8th place, while the visitors are in 9th, trailing by 4 points). We recommend checking out our prediction for the quarter-final match of the Coppa Italia, which will take place at "San Siro".

📊 Head-to-Head

In head-to-head meetings, Roma's players have nothing to cheer their loyal fans with. The last 5 matches ended without a single victory (2 losses and 3 draws). However, the capital's footballers knocked Milan out of last season's Europa League at the quarter-final stage. Moreover, the Romans won both matches (1:0 away, 2:1 at home). Therefore, considering this successful experience of the Romans in knockout games, a good betting option could be the visitors not losing.

😈 Milan

The current Milan coach, Sergio Conceição, has been working at the club since the beginning of 2025, debuting with a win over Juventus in the country's Super Cup (2:1). Subsequently, there was a bright comeback victory over Inter (3:2), bringing the Portuguese his first trophy at his new job. Since then, Milan has improved the quality of their play, but their Serie A results are unremarkable: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss. However, among the opponents were Juventus (0:2) and Inter (1:1). It's clear that the players are still getting used to Conceição's playing concept, which is why they act like a sine wave even within one match. In the derby, after a good first half, a mediocre second followed, resulting in a missed iconic victory in the final seconds. It could have been worse, as Inter hit the post three times. The debut for the "Rossoneri" of English defender Kyle Walker, who transferred from Manchester City, should be highlighted. He played all 90 minutes as a right-back and did not spoil the game. The team has no fresh injuries before Roma's arrival (Loftus-Cheek and Florenzi have been absent for a long time, and everyone is used to it). The only news is the departure of once-star Spaniard Álvaro Morata on loan to Galatasaray.

🐺 Roma

The "Wolves" also played a significant match last weekend, engaging in a heated battle in the Sun Derby with leading Napoli (1:1). Despite significant squad rotation (apparently, Claudio Ranieri is focusing on the Coppa Italia and Europa League), Roma did not concede anything to Antonio Conte's men, rightfully equalizing in the final minutes through left wing-back Angeliño. Such an outcome against the leader will surely instill even more confidence in the capital's players. Moreover, before this encounter, Roma had not lost in Serie A in 2025, earning 11 points in 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws). Those who didn't start against Napoli - Dovbyk, Dybala, Saelemaekers, and Pellegrini - surely rested well and will undoubtedly help in the upcoming match.

⚽️ Prediction on Goals

The ability of both clubs to score against each other in head-to-head matches is striking. The bet on both teams to score (yes) was successful in 9 out of the last 10 official head-to-head meetings. It makes sense to bet on this outcome again.

🚩 Prediction on Corners

Milan ranks 3rd in Serie A for corners taken (5.95 on average per game). In home games, it's even better (6.75). Therefore, individual total for hosts over 5.5 corners seems like a profitable investment.

📝 Match Prediction

Considering the cup status of the match and that both coaches prioritize defensive reliability, we assume that both teams will try to avoid risks and will wait for each other's mistakes following the old Italian tradition. This is exactly how their first match went in last season's Europa League. The hosts will try to dominate by having more possession, but Roma is unlikely to allow them many chances. Milan is still raw in positional attack, finding it difficult to create creative options even against weaker opponents. Our bet is total under 2.5 goals. We predict a final score of 1:1.