Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Prediction

    🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams Palmeiras and Sao Paulo are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 21:30. The tournament match Paulista, Serie A1 will take place in the city of Sao Paulo at the Allianz Parque stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team Palmeiras being the favorite of the match.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 05 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:3. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Sao Paulo):

    • ball possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 7;
    • fouls: 12 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 7.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Palmeiras and Sao Paulo:

    • played 70 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 25, for the away team - 22, draws - 23;
    • number of goals - 80 against 59;
    • average total in the 1st half - 0.81, in the 2nd half - 1.17;
    • average total goals in the match - 1.99.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    38%
    28 Wins
    32%
    23 Draws
    30%
    22 Wins
    Total games
    73
    Total Goals Avg
    2.01
    Both teams scored
    36%
    1.18
    Total average
    0.84
    1.78
    Yellow cards
    1.84
    Last matches
    22.03.26
    Serie A
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    1
    0.05
    0.19
    10
    1
    12
    21
    3
    5
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.05
    0.19
    10
    1
    12
    21
    3
    5
    01.03.26
    Paulista, Serie A1
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    -
    -
    3
    4
    15
    15
    2
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    4
    15
    15
    2
    3
    24.01.26
    Paulista, Serie A1
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    -
    -
    2
    9
    13
    9
    2
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    9
    13
    9
    2
    1
    05.10.25
    Serie A
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    1.88
    1.39
    4
    7
    12
    12
    3
    5
    2
    3
    2
    0
    0
    3
    1.88
    1.39
    4
    7
    12
    12
    3
    5
    11.05.25
    Serie A
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    1
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    1.27
    0.45
    10
    1
    12
    16
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.27
    0.45
    10
    1
    12
    16
    1
    2
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    Palmeiras Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on 20 January 2026 as part of the Paulista, Serie A1 tournament (home team - Novorizontino, away team - Palmeiras). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:0.

    Here's the game statistics (Palmeiras vs Novorizontino):

    • ball possession: 71% vs 29%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 3;
    • fouls: 10 vs 23;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 4.
    🏆Throughout the Paulista, Serie A1 season, the team Palmeiras has engaged in 4 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 3 wins,
    • 1 losses,
    • 0 draws.

    📈Currently, Palmeiras stands at a mid-tier position within the Paulista, Serie A1 standings, with a win percentage of 75% and a loss percentage of 25%.

    ⚽️Palmeiras has scored a total of 3 goals. On the defensive end, Palmeiras has allowed 4 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Palmeiras

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Serie A
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    1
    Chapecoense
    Chapecoense
    0.77
    1.27
    3
    2
    9
    9
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.77
    1.27
    3
    2
    9
    9
    1
    1
    W
    28.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Atletico Junior
    Atletico Junior
    2.13
    1.33
    0
    7
    4
    12
    0
    3
    4
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2.13
    1.33
    0
    7
    4
    12
    0
    3
    W
    24.05.26
    Serie A
    Flamengo
    Flamengo
    1
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    1.41
    1.63
    8
    4
    9
    19
    5
    6
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    1.41
    1.63
    8
    4
    9
    19
    5
    6
    W
    21.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    0.7
    0.71
    6
    3
    17
    10
    3
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.7
    0.71
    6
    3
    17
    10
    3
    3
    L
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    0.97
    0.62
    6
    5
    19
    14
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0.97
    0.62
    6
    5
    19
    14
    2
    4
    D
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    Sao Paulo Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 21 January 2026 as part of the Paulista, Serie A1 tournament (home team - Sao Paulo, away - Portuguesa de Desportos). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:3.

    Here are the match stats (Sao Paulo vs Portuguesa de Desportos):

    • ball possession: 51% vs 49%;
    • corner kicks: 9 vs 6;
    • fouls: 9 vs 8;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 8.
    🏆Throughout the Paulista, Serie A1 season, the team Sao Paulo has engaged in 4 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 1 wins,
    • 2 losses,
    • 1 draws.

    📈Currently, Sao Paulo stands at a mid-tier position within the Paulista, Serie A1 standings, with a win percentage of 25% and a loss percentage of 50%.

    ⚽Sao Paulo has scored a total of 4 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 7 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Sao Paulo

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Serie A
    Remo Belem
    Remo Belem
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    0.46
    0.56
    6
    8
    5
    8
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.46
    0.56
    6
    8
    5
    8
    1
    2
    L
    26.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1.59
    0.66
    7
    4
    6
    13
    1
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.59
    0.66
    7
    4
    6
    13
    1
    2
    W
    23.05.26
    Serie A
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    1.49
    0.95
    4
    3
    20
    19
    4
    4
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.49
    0.95
    4
    3
    20
    19
    4
    4
    D
    20.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    1.46
    1.84
    7
    2
    13
    17
    4
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.46
    1.84
    7
    2
    13
    17
    4
    3
    D
    16.05.26
    Serie A
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    1.25
    1.02
    3
    5
    13
    9
    3
    4
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    1.25
    1.02
    3
    5
    13
    9
    3
    4
    L
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 70;
    • home team wins - 25, away team wins - 22, draws - 23.

    Statistics: Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo

    • matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
    • wins: 3 vs 1;
    • win percentage: 75% vs 25%;
    • losses: 1 vs 2;
    • draws: 0 vs 1.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 5 vs 3;
    • losses: 3 vs 6;
    • draws: 2 vs 1.
    Trends
    • Sao Paulo won with a +1.5 handicap in last 8 games against Palmeiras.
    👉Prediction: Sao Paulo Handicap (+1.5) (odds: 1.38)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.14, the guests - 0.84;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.99;
    • both teams scored: overall - 24; at the home team's field - 12.

    Statistics: Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo

    • average total in the tournament: 1.75 vs 2.75;
    • average total goals scored: 0.75 vs 1;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.25 vs 0.25;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 0.75;
    • Palmeiras: average total at home in the tournament -  1;
    • Sao Paulo: average total away in the tournament - 0.5;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 0.4) vs 1 (away - 0.4).
    Trends
    • Palmeiras have scored under 1.5 goals in 13 of last 14 games against Sao Paulo (Paulista, Serie A1).
    👉Prediction: Palmeiras Total goals Under (1.5) (odds: 1.73)

    Prediction on corners

    Palmeiras: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.25; at home field - 9;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.9; at home field - 7.2.

    Sao Paulo: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.75, away - 4;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; away - 3.6.
    Trends
    • Sao Paulo have taken over 3.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Sao Paulo Total Over (3.5) (odds: 1.77)

    Yellow Cards Bet

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.42 (1.71 for home team and 1.71 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.27 (1.51 for home team and 1.76 for away team).

    Palmeiras: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2; at home - 2.5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.6; at home - 2.8.

    Sao Paulo: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2, away - 3;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; away - 2.
    Trends
    • Under 6.5 yellow cards in 13 of last 14 Palmeiras games.
    • Under 6.5 yellow cards in 14 of last 15 Sao Paulo games.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (6.5) (odds: 1.44)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 70;
    • both teams scored all-time - 24 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 12 times.

    Statistics: Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 0 vs 2;
    • number of BTTS matches for Palmeiras at home - 0 (0%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Sao Paulo away - 1 (50%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 2 vs 4;
    • BTTS matches for Palmeiras at home - 0 (0%);
    • BTTS matches for Sao Paulo away - 2 (40%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 1.7)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (7/32, 21.9%);
    • Palmeiras at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (2/2, 100%);
    • Sao Paulo away most often play: 1:1 , 3:0 (1/2, 50%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:0 - 16.71% (odds 6)
    0:0 - 13.1% (odds 8)
    2:0 - 12.74% (odds 7)

    Trends
    • Palmeiras won 1:0 in 3 of last 4 games (Paulista, Serie A1).

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Under 2.5 goals scored in 13 of last 15 Palmeiras games against Sao Paulo (Paulista, Serie A1).

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2.5) at odds of -154*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (22 January 2026, 22:24)

    Betting Tips: Palmeiras - Sao Paulo

    Palmeiras have not lost
    palmeiras-sp-1sao-paulo-sp-1in last 9 games against Sao Paulo.
    Palmeiras will not lose
    Everygame
    -667
    Palmeiras have scored under 1.5 goals
    palmeiras-sp-1sao-paulo-sp-1in 13 of last 14 games against Sao Paulo (Paulista, Serie A1).
    Palmeiras Total goals Under (1.5)
    Everygame
    -143
    Under 2.5 goals scored
    palmeiras-sp-1sao-paulo-sp-1in 13 of last 15 Palmeiras games against Sao Paulo (Paulista, Serie A1).
    Total goals Under (2.5)
    Everygame
    -167
    Palmeiras have scored under 2.5 goals
    palmeiras-sp-1sao-paulo-sp-1in 7 of last 8 games against Sao Paulo.
    palmeiras-sp-1in 12 of last 14 games.
    Palmeiras Total goals Under (2.5)
    Everygame
    -500
    View more facts

    Palmeiras - Sao Paulo Table position

    Paulista, Serie A1 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Novorizontino
    Novorizontino
    851216-1016
    2.
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    85128-716
    3.
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    844014-216
    5.
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    842210-614
    6.
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    841311-1213
    7.
    Capivariano
    Capivariano
    84137-1013

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    1 - Lose
    Win - 1
    Draws - 5
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 18
    Conceded - 7
    +11
    -3
    10 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    1
    4
    Draws
    5
    1
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    18
    Scored
    10
    7
    Conceded
    13
    2.5
    Match goals average
    2.3
    1.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    1
    0.7
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    50'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    90'
    View all stats