Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras Prediction
🔊 As part of the 27th round of the Brazilian Championship, a "royal clash" is set to take place at the Morumbi Stadium with São Paulo facing Palmeiras. For the hosts, it's an opportunity to break into the top six following their victory over Fortaleza, while the visitors, fresh off a rout against Vasco da Gama, aim to seize the championship lead. This derby will captivate South American football fans and promises to be intense and thrilling.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between the teams took place on 11 May 2025 and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's the comparative stats from that encounter (Palmeiras were the home side):
- possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corners: 10 vs 1;
- fouls: 12 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between São Paulo and Palmeiras:
- 69 matches played;
- home wins - 22, away wins - 24, draws - 23;
- goals scored - 57 for São Paulo, 77 for Palmeiras;
- average total goals in the 1st half - 0.8, in the 2nd half - 1.15;
- average total goals per match - 1.94.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Sao Paulo Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Serie A tournament, with Fortaleza hosting São Paulo. The match concluded with a scoreline of 0-2.
Here are the game statistics (São Paulo vs Fortaleza):
- possession percentage: 26% vs 74%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 8;
- fouls: 9 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 6.
⚪ In their last match, São Paulo secured an away victory against Fortaleza (2-0). This triumph snapped a four-match winless streak, which included two league defeats and two losses in the Copa Libertadores. Currently sitting in 7th place, São Paulo trail Bahia by 2 points and are eager to break into the Libertadores qualification spots. The win against Fortaleza has boosted the team's confidence, especially given their earlier loss to Palmeiras at Allianz Parque (0-1), a result that still lingers and motivates the team to make a statement in the upcoming derby.
Match Results: Sao Paulo
Palmeiras Team Overview
The most recent official match for the current visitors took place on in the Serie A tournament (home team - Palmeiras, visitors - Vasco da Gama). The match concluded with a 3-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama):
- possession percentage: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 3;
- fouls: 7 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 6.
🟢 In the latest round of the Brazilian Championship, Palmeiras delivered a commanding 3-0 victory at home against Vasco da Gama. This win was a crucial bounce-back for the team following a 1-0 defeat to Bahia in the 25th round, which snapped their impressive ten-match unbeaten streak across all competitions. Currently, the "Verdão" sit second in the standings, trailing Flamengo by three points but with a game in hand. In the upcoming high-stakes derby at "Morumbi," the team will be focused solely on victory as they aim to solidify their position in the race for the championship lead.
Match Results: Palmeiras
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 69;
- Home wins - 22, Away wins - 24, Draws - 23.
Statistics: São Paulo vs Palmeiras
- Matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 24;
- Wins: 10 vs 16;
- Win percentage: 38% vs 67%;
- Losses: 8 vs 4;
- Draws: 8 vs 4.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 4 vs 7;
- Losses: 5 vs 1;
- Draws: 1 vs 2.
- São Paulo have not won in the last 8 head-to-head matches against Palmeiras.
- São Paulo have not won at home in the last 7 head-to-head matches (Serie A).
- Palmeiras are unbeaten in 12 of their last 13 matches (Serie A).
- Palmeiras are unbeaten in 11 of their last 12 matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- The home team averages - 0.83 goals, the away team - 1.12;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 1.94;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 23 times; at the home team's ground - 11 times.
Statistics: São Paulo vs Palmeiras
- Average total in the tournament: 2.08 vs 2.42;
- Average goals scored: 1.12 vs 1.63;
- Average goals in the first half: 0.54 vs 0.75;
- Average goals in the second half: 0.58 vs 0.88;
- São Paulo: average total at home in the tournament - 1.23;
- Palmeiras: average total away in the tournament - 1.36;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 0.8) vs 2.1 (away - 1).
- Palmeiras have scored less than 1.5 goals away in 13 of the last 15 head-to-head meetings.
Corners Prediction
São Paulo: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 5; at home - 5.38;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 6.9; at home - 7.2.
Palmeiras: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 5.71, away - 6.27;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5; away - 4.75.
- Total under 10.5 corners has occurred in 7 of São Paulo's last 8 home matches.
- Total under 10.5 corners has occurred in São Paulo's last 5 consecutive home matches (Serie A).
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.6 (1.8 for the home team and 1.8 for the away team);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 3.48 (1.77 for the home team and 1.71 for the away team).
São Paulo: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.85; at home - 3.23;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.9; at home - 2.
Palmeiras: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.13, away - 2.27;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.8; away - 3.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 69;
- Both teams scored all-time - 23 times;
- At the home ground - 11 times.
Statistics: São Paulo vs Palmeiras
- Total matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 24;
- Total season matches where both teams scored (BTTS): São Paulo - 11, Palmeiras - 12;
- São Paulo BTTS at home - 5 (38%);
- Palmeiras BTTS away - 7 (64%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: São Paulo - 2, Palmeiras - 5;
- São Paulo BTTS at home - 1 (20%);
- Palmeiras BTTS away - 2 (50%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The "Royal Clash" promises to be intense and uncompromising. The hosts come into the game buoyed by an away victory over Fortaleza, aiming to secure their spot in the upper echelons of the table and qualify for the Libertadores zone, while keeping in mind their first-round defeat to Palmeiras. The visitors, on the other hand, have confidently bounced back from an unexpected loss to Bahia and are focused on winning to close the gap on the league leaders. The head-to-head history reveals a highly competitive rivalry with relatively moderate scoring, making this match unpredictable, but with a slight edge favoring Palmeiras. Our prediction: under 2.5 goals, which has occurred in 10 of the last 11 head-to-head encounters at the hosts' ground. A likely scoreline is 0-1 in favor of the "green and whites".
Betting Tips: Sao Paulo - Palmeiras
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
