Nacional vs Rio Ave Prediction 25 January 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between Nacional and Rio Ave promises an intriguing contest. The home side sit in 15th place on the table, eager to escape the danger zone. The visitors are in 11th place but also need points to solidify their standing. Both teams have shown inconsistent form: the hosts have won just one of their last five matches, while the visitors have secured victory in three of their last ten games. However, the playing style of both teams suggests an open game with potential goals from both sides.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 17 August 2025 and ended in a 1-1 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (with Rio Ave as the home side):
- possession percentage: 63% vs 37%;
- corners: 6 vs 6;
- fouls: 16 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 8 vs 6.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Nacional de Madeira and Rio Ave:
- 30 matches played;
- home wins - 8, away wins - 10, draws - 12;
- goals scored - 33 against 31;
- average total goals in the first half - 0.67, in the second half - 1.47;
- average total goals per match - 2.13.
Head-to-head statistics Nacional - Rio Ave
Nacional de Madeir Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Gil Vicente at home against Nacional de Madeira. The match concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Nacional de Madeira vs Gil Vicente):
- possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
- corners: 5 vs 7;
- fouls: 18 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
Nacional de Madeira, currently sitting 15th in the table, are striving to escape the relegation zone. Their recent form is far from ideal, with just one win and two losses in their last five matches. The team displays inconsistency, alternating between different results. Over their last ten encounters, they have managed only one victory and suffered six defeats, highlighting a leaky defense and an unstable attack. In their latest head-to-head clash with Rio Ave, the team managed a 1-1 draw, adding intrigue to this matchup. The "Islanders" are eager to improve their home performance.
Match Results: Nacional de Madeir
Rio Ave Team Overview
The most recent official match for the current visitors took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Rio Ave hosting Benfica. The match concluded with a 0-2 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Rio Ave vs Benfica):
- possession: 37% vs 63%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 11;
- fouls: 12 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 1 vs 8.
Rio Ave currently sit 11th in the standings and have shown more consistent form than their opponent. The team has secured three wins in their last ten matches, though they have also suffered four defeats. In their recent encounter against Nacional, the match ended in a 1-1 draw. Rio Ave favor a style of play focused on ball possession and quick counterattacks, allowing them to create dangerous opportunities in front of the opposition's goal. However, they are also prone to defensive errors, as evidenced by their high average number of goals conceded in recent games. The squad aims to solidify their position in the top half of the table and will be motivated to earn points in this fixture.
Match Results: Rio Ave
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 30;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 3; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 9;
- Average first-half total: 0.67;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.33, while the visitors net 0.33.
First-Half Stats: Nacional de Madeir (home) vs Rio Ave (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 9;
- wins: 1 (12.5%) vs 2 (22.22%);
- losses: 2 (25%) vs 3 (33.33%);
- draws: 5 (62.5%) vs 4 (44.44%);
- Average goals scored: 1.25 vs 0.78;
- Average goals conceded: 0.75 vs 0.44.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 1 vs 2;
- losses: 3 vs 5;
- draws: 6 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.3 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.9) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.9).
- Nacional de Madeir have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 30;
- home team wins - 8, away team wins - 10, draws - 12.
Statistics: Nacional de Madeir vs Rio Ave
- matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- win percentage: 22% vs 22%;
- losses: 9 vs 6;
- draws: 5 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 1 vs 3;
- losses: 6 vs 4;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
- Nacional de Madeir have not won in 10 of last 11 games against Rio Ave.
- Nacional de Madeir have not won in last 9 games against Rio Ave (Primeira Liga).
- Nacional de Madeir have not won in 7 of last 8 home games against Rio Ave (Primeira Liga).
- Nacional de Madeir have not won in 10 of last 11 games.
- Nacional de Madeir have not won in 9 of last 10 games (Primeira Liga).
- Rio Ave have not lost in 6 of last 7 away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.1, the guests - 1.03;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.13;
- both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 7.
Statistics: Nacional de Madeir vs Rio Ave
- average total in the tournament: 2.78 vs 2.94;
- average total goals scored: 1.22 vs 1.22;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.56 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.67 vs 0.72;
- Nacional de Madeir: average total at home in the tournament - 1.5;
- Rio Ave: average total away in the tournament - 1.33;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.75) vs 1.1 (away - 1.4).
- Nacional de Madeir have scored under 1.5 goals in 12 of last 14 games against Rio Ave (Primeira Liga).
- Nacional de Madeir have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 home games against Rio Ave (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
Nacional de Madeir: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4; at home field - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3; at home field - 2.5.
Rio Ave: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.78, away - 3.78;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; away - 4.2.
- Rio Ave have taken over 4.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games against Nacional de Madeir.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 30;
- both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Statistics: Nacional de Madeir vs Rio Ave
- number of matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 11;
- number of BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir at home - 6 (75%);
- number of BTTS matches for Rio Ave away - 7 (78%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Rio Ave away - 4 (80%).
- Nacional de Madeir have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games.
- Nacional de Madeir have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games (Primeira Liga).
- Nacional de Madeir have scored and conceded in last 5 games (Primeira Liga).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (18/162, 11.1%);
- Nacional de Madeir at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (2/8, 25%);
- Rio Ave away most often play: 1:1 , 1:2 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.63% (odds 6)
2:1 - 8.88% (odds 8.5)
1:0 - 7.44% (odds 7.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form and statistics of both teams, a match with a high likelihood of goals from both sides is expected. The "Islanders" are struggling with defensive issues and an inconsistent attack, as evidenced by their recent results. On the other hand, Rio Ave are also prone to defensive lapses but can effectively attack through ball control and counterattacks. The hosts have both scored and conceded in many of their recent encounters, which aligns with the current trend. Therefore, a bet on both teams to score seems to be the most reasonable prediction.No comments
Betting Tips: Nacional de Madeir - Rio Ave
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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