Nacional vs Rio Ave Prediction 10 May 2025
🔊 The clash between Nacional de Madeira and Rio Ave promises to be intriguing, given their recent performances in the Primeira Liga. Both teams are delivering average results this season, sitting in the lower half of the table. However, Nacional have the home-field advantage, where they often produce high-scoring games.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 29 December 2024 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Rio Ave):
- ball possession percentage: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 11 vs 6;
- fouls: 10 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Nacional de Madeir and Rio Ave:
- played 28 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 8, for the away team - 10, draws - 10;
- number of goals - 29 against 27;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.57, in the 2nd half - 1.43;
- average total goals in the match - 2.
Head-to-head statistics Nacional - Rio Ave

Nacional de Madeir Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Nacional de Madeir, away team - Vitoria SC Guimaraes). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here's the game statistics (Nacional de Madeir vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes):
- ball possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 15 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
Nacional de Madeira are not having the best season, currently sitting in 13th place. In their last ten matches, they have managed just three wins while suffering six losses. The "Black and Whites" are known for their inconsistency: they score only 0.88 goals per game but concede more than one. Their home games tend to be high-scoring affairs, with the total going over 2.5 goals in seven of their last eight matches.
Match Results: Nacional de Madeir

Rio Ave Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Rio Ave, away - Estrela). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here are the match stats (Rio Ave vs Estrela):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 17 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 6;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
Rio Ave are currently sitting in 10th place, striving to stabilize their performance following a string of setbacks. Over their last five matches, they have secured two wins and a draw, alongside two losses, indicating some progress compared to their earlier outings. "The Great River" traditionally struggle to capitalize on their attacking opportunities away from home, having scored fewer than 1.5 goals in six of their last seven away fixtures.
Match Results: Rio Ave
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- home team wins - 8, away team wins - 10, draws - 10.
Statistics: Nacional de Madeir vs Rio Ave
- matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- wins: 9 vs 9;
- win percentage: 27% vs 28%;
- losses: 18 vs 14;
- draws: 6 vs 9.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 2;
- losses: 6 vs 7;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
- Nacional de Madeir have not won in 11 of last 12 games against Rio Ave (Primeira Liga).
- Nacional de Madeir have not won in 8 of last 9 games against Rio Ave.
- Nacional de Madeir have not won in 6 of last 7 home games against Rio Ave (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.04, the guests - 0.96;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2;
- both teams scored: overall - 13; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: Nacional de Madeir vs Rio Ave
- average total in the tournament: 2.27 vs 2.69;
- average total goals scored: 0.88 vs 1.09;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.52 vs 0.47;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.36 vs 0.63;
- Nacional de Madeir: average total at home in the tournament - 1.18;
- Rio Ave: average total away in the tournament - 0.69;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 1.2) vs 0.9 (away - 0.6).
- Nacional de Madeir have scored under 1.5 goals in 11 of last 12 games against Rio Ave (Primeira Liga).
- Nacional de Madeir have scored under 1.5 goals in last 6 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
Nacional de Madeir: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.42; at home field - 4.59;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; at home field - 5.
Rio Ave: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.13, away - 3.31;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; away - 2.4.
- Under 10.5 corners in last 5 Rio Ave games.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.28 (2.14 for home team and 2.14 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.77 (2.15 for home team and 1.62 for away team).
Nacional de Madeir: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.15; at home - 2.06;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; at home - 1.6.
Rio Ave: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.25, away - 2.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.6; away - 2.2.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- both teams scored all-time - 13 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Statistics: Nacional de Madeir vs Rio Ave
- number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 17;
- number of BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir at home - 7 (41%);
- number of BTTS matches for Rio Ave away - 6 (38%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Rio Ave away - 1 (20%).
Editorial Prediction
Key trends suggest we're in for a moderately low-scoring game, with the visitors focusing on defense while the hosts aim to capitalize on their home advantage to dominate the opposition. Nacional have failed to score more than one goal in their last six matches and in 11 of their last 12 head-to-head encounters in the Primeira Liga. Therefore, our bet is on Rio Ave not to lose. The visitors have a reasonable chance of picking up points.