Leipzig vs Leverkusen Prediction 25 January 2025

🔊 Will the teams delight with mutual attacking football: In the 19th round of the Bundesliga, Leipzig will host Bayer on their home ground. The team from Leverkusen excels in attack, causing problems for any opponent. However, RB can expose the visitors' defensive issues - the hosts have perfected counterattacks. An abundance of goal-scoring opportunities is predicted, inevitably leading to goals. The crowd at the "Red Bull Arena" can expect a football thriller.

📊 HEAD-TO-HEAD

The last meeting between these teams ended with a 3-2 victory for Leipzig. It is worth noting that the average total of the last three head-to-head matches is 5 goals.

⚪ LEIPZIG

Recently, Rose's players managed to secure a very tough win in the Champions League - against Sporting with a score of 2-1. In the domestic championship, the situation looks less favorable: with an inexplicable draw against Bochum (3-3) and a defeat by Stuttgart (1-2) behind them. This primarily suggests that RB's defense is in crisis. This is exacerbated by the absence of two important players - Schlager and Henrichs. Against Leverkusen, it will be difficult to take the initiative - for this reason, our editorial team expects counterattacking football from Leipzig. And they can really succeed in this: Simons, Šeško, and Openda can systematically torment the defense of the reigning champion. It's also worth noting the high efficiency of their attacking actions: according to xG, Leipzig has scored 6.1 goals more than expected.

🔴 BAYER

Bayer also faced additional pressure in the form of the Champions League. And it resulted in a defeat by Atletico with a score of (2-1). It should be noted that Leverkusen had more possession but couldn't handle the counterattacks. The same situation could occur in the upcoming match. Alonso's team knows how to control the ball - averaging 60.1% of game time per season. This leads to plenty of chances not only at the opponent's goal (4.39) but also at their own. The away factor adds emotional pressure, which can result in mistakes. However, we won't discount Leverkusen's phenomenal attack. Boniface has returned to the squad. The team has scored 44 goals in 18 rounds.

⚽️ GOAL PREDICTION

Bayer is one of the most "over" teams in the championship - this refers not only to goals scored but also conceded. The average total of matches involving the reigning champions is 3.78. Leipzig is slightly more modest in this regard (3.22). However, there is an obvious trend towards high scoring. The pressure from the "aspirins" will eventually lead to goals - according to xG, the visitors have scored 10 goals more than expected. RB won't be able to hold out - they concede an average of 1.5 goals. Even considering games against lower-level opponents. In such a situation, our editorial team sees one of the few logical solutions as a bet on total over 2.5 goals.

🚩 CORNER PREDICTION

Despite having two tall forwards, Leipzig has a rather modest corner statistic - 3.72 per match. Bayer's style involves a large number of approaches to the opponent's goal, which makes their 6.94 corners per game quite logical. We assume that set-pieces could become a very important attacking tool for RB in this match. Meanwhile, the visitors will continue their approach, pressing on the opponent's goal. Our editorial team is convinced that this match could see another "over" in this regard. We suggest betting on total corners over 8.5.

📝 EDITORIAL PREDICTION

It's quite difficult to highlight a clear favorite in this confrontation. Leipzig plays at home, and this gives them additional strength - especially in the context of recent Champions League matches. Bayer has lost quite a bit of emotion, but the champion's endurance is substantial. There is no doubt that the visitors will have more possession, while the hosts will look for counterattack opportunities. The attacking players' skill significantly surpasses defensive capabilities, making goals a matter of time. Both teams have been involved in many high-scoring encounters. We believe this confrontation will be no different: it could end with a score of 2-3. Our editorial team suggests considering total over 2.5 goals.