Leipzig vs Leverkusen Prediction 20 December 2025

Details
The main thing

    🔊 The marquee match of the 15th Bundesliga round takes place at the Red Bull Arena, where Leipzig aim to bounce back from their previous defeat and secure their eighth consecutive home victory. Bayer Leverkusen travel to Western Saxony with the opportunity to level on points with the league's second-placed team if they succeed. Our editorial team anticipates a high-scoring encounter, as two of the league's most attacking sides face off. Just consider the 19 goals scored in their last four head-to-head clashes-this promises to be a true football blockbuster.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Last season, Leipzig did a significant favor for the future Bundesliga champions, Munich's Bayern, by taking four points from Bayer (a 3-2 win and a 2-2 draw). These results made Leverkusen's title race considerably more challenging.

    Head-to-head statistics Leipzig - Leverkusen

    37%
    7 Wins
    26%
    5 Draws
    37%
    7 Wins
    Total games
    19
    Total Goals Avg
    3.32
    Both teams scored
    68%
    1.58
    Total average
    1.74
    4.11
    Corner
    5.42
    1.63
    Yellow cards
    2.11
    10.21
    Fouls
    11.11
    Last matches
    02.05.26
    Bundesliga
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Leipzig
    Leipzig
    3.4
    1.08
    7
    3
    7
    12
    1
    3
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    3.4
    1.08
    7
    3
    7
    12
    1
    3
    20.12.25
    Bundesliga
    Leipzig
    Leipzig
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    2.25
    2.14
    2
    8
    10
    12
    1
    2
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    2.25
    2.14
    2
    8
    10
    12
    1
    2
    25.01.25
    Bundesliga
    Leipzig
    Leipzig
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    0.71
    2.58
    7
    3
    12
    6
    2
    2
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0.71
    2.58
    7
    3
    12
    6
    2
    2
    31.08.24
    Bundesliga
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Leipzig
    Leipzig
    -
    -
    18
    2
    5
    9
    3
    1
    2
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    -
    -
    18
    2
    5
    9
    3
    1
    20.01.24
    Bundesliga
    Leipzig
    Leipzig
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    -
    -
    1
    9
    9
    11
    2
    3
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    3
    -
    -
    1
    9
    9
    11
    2
    3
    Empty
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    Leipzig Team Overview

    🔴 Leipzig managed to hold onto second place after Matchday 14, despite an unexpected 3-1 defeat in Berlin against Union. Following a goal conceded in the 57th minute, Tidjane Gomis quickly leveled the score just three minutes later, marking the young Frenchman's first goal for the "Red Bulls." However, Ole Werner's squad appeared unusually weak overall and deservedly fell, conceding two more times. All three of Leipzig's losses this season have come on the road. At home, they have been flawless, winning all six Bundesliga matches as well as a DFB-Pokal fixture.

    ⚪ The Saxony club now has the chance to equal their own record of seven consecutive home wins at the start of a Bundesliga season, a feat first achieved during their debut campaign in 2016/17. Another three points would allow Leipzig to pull away from Bayer and maintain their edge over Borussia Dortmund, who are level on points (29) but trail on goal difference.

    🐂 Should the "Red Bulls" suffer a loss, the situation could become significantly more complicated: Bayer would draw level with them on points, and fifth-placed Hoffenheim, with a victory over Stuttgart, would also close in. The competition at the top of the table is extremely tight, and Ole Werner's team risks heading into the winter break outside the Champions League spots.

    Match Results: Leipzig

    Last matches
    22.08.26
    DFB Pokal
    Eintracht Trier
    Eintracht Trier
    Leipzig
    Leipzig
    0.51
    3.62
    2
    11
    6
    9
    1
    1
    0
    6
    0
    3
    0
    3
    0.51
    3.62
    2
    11
    6
    9
    1
    1
    W
    15.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Leipzig
    Leipzig
    -
    -
    2
    1
    13
    7
    1
    0
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    2
    1
    13
    7
    1
    0
    L
    08.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    Leipzig
    Leipzig
    -
    -
    1
    0
    6
    5
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    0
    6
    5
    0
    0
    L
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Leipzig
    Leipzig
    Verl
    Verl
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0
    W
    25.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Leipzig
    Leipzig
    Ingolstadt
    Ingolstadt
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    W
    Empty
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    Bayer Leverkusen Team Overview

    🔴 Leverkusen have solidified their hold on fourth place by defeating arch-rivals Cologne 2-0 in the "Rhine Derby," bouncing back after consecutive losses to title contenders Borussia Dortmund (1-2) and struggling Augsburg (0-2). In the clash against the "Billy Goats," goals were elusive through conventional means until Marten Terrier's individual brilliance made the difference. The Frenchman broke the deadlock with a stunning "scorpion kick" following Arthur's cross, and six minutes later, captain Robert Andrich headed in Aleix Garcia's corner.

    ⚫ If they manage to win in Leipzig, the "Pharmacists" will level on points with the hosts and could potentially climb to second place. For this to happen, Borussia Dortmund must lose to Borussia Mönchengladbach, and Bayer need to improve their goal difference, which currently trails both Leipzig and Dortmund.

    🔗 Achieving this won't be easy, as Leverkusen have been less convincing on the road: three wins, one draw, and two losses with a negative goal difference (12 scored, 13 conceded). Moreover, Bayer have conceded in all five of their away league matches.

    Match Results: Bayer Leverkusen

    Last matches
    22.08.26
    DFB Pokal
    Wehen Wiesbaden
    Wehen Wiesbaden
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    0.26
    2.12
    4
    3
    15
    12
    2
    0
    0
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0.26
    2.12
    4
    3
    15
    12
    2
    0
    W
    15.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Newcastle United
    Newcastle United
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    -
    -
    3
    3
    8
    17
    0
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    3
    8
    17
    0
    1
    W
    12.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    -
    -
    8
    2
    -
    -
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    2
    -
    -
    0
    0
    L
    08.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Sevilla
    Sevilla
    -
    -
    3
    1
    11
    17
    2
    4
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    3
    1
    11
    17
    2
    4
    W
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    RW Essen
    RW Essen
    -
    -
    5
    2
    13
    17
    2
    4
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    2
    13
    17
    2
    4
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    Leipzig

    🎙 Ole Werner on the upcoming match against Bayer: "After a challenging start to the season, Bayer are once again leveraging their strengths. Like us, they revamped their squad over the summer, bringing in many intriguing players. They are a fantastic team that excels in interplay, often utilizing short passes and attacking with high dynamism whenever the opportunity arises. We have a few lineup questions, but we have a clear understanding of the style of football they will play."

    ❌ Leipzig have lost the in-form Yann Diomande (Ivory Coast) and Amadou Haidara (Mali), who have departed for the Africa Cup of Nations. Ridle Baku and Romulo are ready to take the field, but their playing time will be decided right before the match. Johan Bakayoko is sidelined again due to muscle issues. Antonio Nusa (left ankle injury), Ezequiel Banzuzi (muscle injury), Benjamin Henrichs (lack of match fitness), Viggo Gebel (torn anterior cruciate ligament), Kevin Kampl (personal reasons), and Assan Ouedraogo (tendon injury) are also unavailable.

    Bayer Leverkusen

    🎙 Kasper Hjulmand after the victory over Cologne: "It was a tough match. We needed to be extremely efficient to secure the three points. The substitutes made a significant impact on the game. I'm proud of the team-this win was crucial for us after the defeat in Augsburg."

    ❌ Bayer are among the hardest-hit German clubs due to the Africa Cup of Nations: Ibrahim Maza (Algeria), Edmond Tapsoba (Burkina Faso), and Eliesse Ben Seghir (Morocco) have already joined their national teams. Christian Koufane (Cameroon) will link up with his national side after this match. Exequiel Palacios is still recovering from a groin injury, while Jarell Quansah will miss the game due to an accumulation of yellow cards. Lucas Vazquez and Ernest Poku remain doubtful.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The appointed referee for the match is Benjamin Brand. In his last ten matches, he has averaged 3.2 yellow cards per game. Leipzig are tied for 14th in the league for average cautions with 1.6, while Bayer sit sixth with an average of 2.1. Given these stats, a bet on over 3.5 yellow cards seems reasonable-this outcome has occurred in five of the last six head-to-head encounters.

    ⚽ Goal Predictions

    Bayer are the second-highest scoring team in the league with 30 goals, trailing only Bayern Munich's 51. Leipzig, Hoffenheim, and Eintracht share third place with 29 goals each. We suggest betting on both teams to score (yes), a prediction that has hit in the last four consecutive head-to-head matches, with a total of 19 goals scored between the sides in those games.

    🚩 Corner Predictions

    Leipzig lead the Bundesliga in average corners per match with 6.1, while Bayer are eighth with 5.1. Considering the attacking prowess of both teams, we recommend betting on over 9.5 corners-this wager has been successful in seven of Leipzig's last eight matches.

    Editor's Prediction

    Note that in Bayer's last five matches, their individual total of over 1.5 goals has consistently hit the mark. However, given Leipzig's impressive home form and Bayer Leverkusen's less than stellar away record, our main bet leans towards a more universal option - total over 2.5 goals.

    This outcome has occurred in the last four head-to-head encounters in a row, as well as in seven out of Bayer's last eight Bundesliga away games since the end of last season. Despite a significant list of absentees on both sides, we expect an open and high-scoring match, where a winner might not be decided. A 2-2 draw seems like a realistic scenario and could mark Leipzig's first points dropped at the Red Bull Arena this season.

    Total goals Over (2,5)
    Everygame
    Place a bet-189
    Published: 19/12/2025, 11:54

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    Betting Tips: Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen

    Leipzig have won:
    rb-leipzig-1in last 7 home games.
    rb-leipzig-1in last 6 home games (Bundesliga).
    Leipzig Win
    MyBookie
    +115
    Bayer Leverkusen have not lost:
    bayer-leverkusen-1in 15 of last 17 away games (Bundesliga).
    bayer-leverkusen-1in 14 of last 16 away games.
    Bayer Leverkusen will not lose
    Everygame
    -135
    Leipzig have not lost:
    rb-leipzig-1in 11 of last 12 home games.
    rb-leipzig-1in 10 of last 11 home games (Bundesliga).
    Leipzig will not lose
    Everygame
    -294
    Leipzig have scored:
    rb-leipzig-1bayer-leverkusen-1in 16 of last 17 games against Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga).
    rb-leipzig-1bayer-leverkusen-1in last 9 home games against Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga).
    rb-leipzig-1in last 23 home games.
    rb-leipzig-1in last 18 home games (Bundesliga).
    rb-leipzig-1in 14 of last 15 games.
    rb-leipzig-1in 12 of last 13 games (Bundesliga).
    Bayer Leverkusen have conceded:
    bayer-leverkusen-1in last 9 away games (Bundesliga).
    Leipzig will score goal
    Everygame
    -714
    View more facts

    Leipzig - Leverkusen Table position

    Bundesliga 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Borussia Dortmund
    Borussia Dortmund
    34227570-3473
    3.
    Leipzig
    Leipzig
    34205966-4765
    4.
    Stuttgart
    Stuttgart
    34188871-4962
    5.
    Hoffenheim
    Hoffenheim
    34187965-5261
    6.
    Bayer Leverkusen
    Bayer Leverkusen
    34178968-4759
    7.
    Freiburg
    Freiburg
    341381351-5747

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    7 - Wins
    0 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 24
    Conceded - 13
    +11
    +7
    23 - Scored
    16 - Conceded
    7
    Wins
    5
    0
    Draws
    2
    3
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    24
    Scored
    23
    13
    Conceded
    16
    3.7
    Match goals average
    3.9
    2.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.3
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.6
    6
    Both teams scored
    7
    38'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    39'
    View all stats