Stjarnan vs Valur Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 October 2026
🔊 The final round of the Besta-deild will be the last match in charge for the current managers of Stjarnan and Valur. On 13 October, Stjarnan announced the return of Runar Paul Sigmundsson, who in 2014 led the club to their first Icelandic title. However, he will not take charge until next season. In the meantime, Stjarnan have lost three matches in a row. Can the hosts end that run on the final day?
Head-to-Head
Stjarnan Gardabaer beat Valur Reykjavik 3-2 in their most recent head-to-head meeting in the top flight. Shots on target were level at 6-6, though the visitors had more attempts overall: 25-17.
Across 47 head-to-head meetings, the two sides have won almost the same number of times: 17 for Stjarnan Gardabaer and 16 for Valur Reykjavik. A further 14 matches ended in draws. Valur Reykjavik have scored more goals overall - 86 against 74 - and both teams found the net in 36 of those meetings.
Head-to-head statistics Stjarnan - Valur
Stjarnan Gardabae Team Overview
Stjarnan Gardabaer lost their previous Úrvalsdeild match away to Thor Akureyri, going down 3-1. They had more of the ball (60%) and more shots (23-17), but were edged out on shots on target (8-9).
Stjarnan are seeing out the season without a permanent manager. The club dismissed two head coaches over the summer, and since the end of August the team has been led by the assistants of the last one, including Olgeirr Sigurgeirsson and Brynjar Kristmundsson. Results under the caretaker setup have been poor: Stjarnan have conceded 11 goals in their last three matches. "Nobody wants to leave this season with four defeats in a row," said Brynjar after the match against Thor. The team are second in the lower group, which means eighth in the overall table, and FH are just a point behind them. On Saturday, Alex Thor Hjuksson will be suspended due to yellow card accumulation.
Match Results: Stjarnan Gardabae
Valur Reykjavik Team Overview
In their last match, Valur Reykjavik thrashed Akureyri 4-1. The score was 1-1 at half-time, but the hosts added three more in the second half. With 42% possession, they managed 10 shots on target compared to three from their opponents.
Valur showed both sides of themselves within the space of a week. On 10 October they lost at home to FH (3-5), trailing by three goals at half-time. "They deserved to win," admitted Chris Brazell, who has been in charge of Valur since July. A week later came a 4-1 thrashing of KA, with Dagur Orri Gardarsson scoring twice. With 34 points, the visitors lead the lower group, with Stjarnan three points behind. Brazell will not be managing Valur next season, so Saturday will be his farewell.
Match Results: Valur Reykjavik
Prediction for the 1st half
In six consecutive head-to-head matches, Stjarnan Gardabaer and Valur Reykjavik have combined to score at least two goals in the first half. We expect a lively start this time as well. The bet is Total Goals First Half - Over 1.5.
Safer Bet
At home, Stjarnan Gardabaer have lost just one of their last nine matches. A draw would be enough for the hosts. The pick is Stjarnan Gardabaer not to lose.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-1 (9.23%), 2-1 (8.23%) and 1-0 (7.6%). The 1-1 draw has the highest probability, though the 2-1 and 1-0 outcomes for the home side are fairly close in likelihood.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Stjarnan are not a team that produces high-scoring games: in 7 of their last 8 home matches, the combined total has been fewer than five goals. Valur have been similarly restrained on the road: in 9 of their last 10 away matches in Besta-deild, the fifth goal has not been reached. There is also a ceiling when these two meet: Stjarnan have not scored more than three goals against Valur in 41 consecutive head-to-head meetings. That said, the hosts are unlikely to be shut out - they have scored against Valur in nine consecutive head-to-head meetings. We expect Stjarnan's losing run to extend to four matches, and the game to finish without a fifth goal. The bet is Total Goals - Under 4.5.
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Betting Tips: Stjarnan Gardabae - Valur Reykjavik
in 8 of last 9 home games.
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