Incheon vs Jeju Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 October 2026
🔊 The final round before the K League 1 split decides who finishes sixth and takes the last place in the Final A for the top six. Jeju currently sit sixth on 46 points, with Incheon three behind. The hosts need nothing less than a win: if the teams finish level on points, K League 1 uses goals scored as the tiebreaker, and Jeju are behind on that count. The two sides already produced a high-scoring affair in August, when Yoon Jong-hwan's team came back twice and took a 3-3 draw. Will Jeju's three-point cushion be enough?
Head-to-Head
Jeju and Incheon drew 3-3 in their most recent K League meeting. The score was already 2-2 at half-time; the hosts had more shots - 14 to 10 - but Incheon were more accurate, hitting the target seven times to Jeju's five.
Across 47 official meetings, Jeju have won 18 and Incheon 14, with 15 draws. The goal difference also favours Jeju, at 53-47.
Head-to-head statistics Incheon - Jeju
Incheon Team Overview
In their previous K League match, Incheon drew 1-1 away at Gangwon. The hosts had 15 shots to Incheon's 7 and won 7 corners to one, but couldn't find a winner.
Incheon returned to the top flight after just one season away, having won the K League 2, and are already pushing for a top-six finish. At the end of September the team managed by Yoon Jong-hwan were ninth, but they have not lost since then, picking up five points from three matches. The most notable result in that run was a 3-0 thrashing of Pohang, with all three goals scored before half-time. One of them was scored by Montenegrin forward Stefan Mugosa. He also opened the scoring from the penalty spot on 18 October away at Gangwon, a match Incheon came away from with a point.
Match Results: Incheon
Jeju Team Overview
In their last K League match, Jeju lost 2-3 away to Jeonbuk. Despite having more of the ball - 53% possession - they managed only 7 shots compared to 13 from the hosts.
Sixth-placed Jeju are looking to bounce back after two consecutive defeats that ended a five-match unbeaten run. Away at Seoul, they lost by a single goal, and manager Sérgio Costa described the result as undeserved, with a Kim Ryong-son goal ruled out for offside late in the match. Against Jeonbuk, Emerson Negueba scored twice from the penalty spot, but it still wasn't enough as the opposition replied with three. Away from home, though, Costa's side are rarely without a goal: Jeju have scored in 17 of their last 18 away matches.
Match Results: Jeju
Prediction for the 1st half
In the last six head-to-head meetings between Incheon and Jeju, both sides went into half-time level. We expect the first 45 minutes to end without a winner this time too. The bet is Half-Time Draw.
Match Result Prediction
Incheon have lost just one of their last eight home matches. We don't expect Jeju to end that run, and a draw would be enough for the hosts. The bet is Incheon not to lose.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely match outcomes are: 1-1 (13.21%), 1-0 (11.29%), and 0-0 (9.54%). Of these, a 1-1 draw has the highest probability.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
This match is unlikely to be dull: each of Incheon's last six home K League matches has produced at least two goals, and the hosts have scored in seven consecutive home games. Incheon can't afford to be cautious either - going into the final round before the split, a draw won't be enough for Yoon Jong-hwan's side. Jeju, meanwhile, managed to score even in both of their defeats in recent rounds. So we're expecting an open game, after which Incheon will move up to sixth place, though they're likely to concede in the process. The bet is Total Goals - Over 2.0.
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Betting Tips: Incheon - Jeju
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