Avellino vs Padova Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 October 2026
📢 Avellino and Padova come into this head-to-head meeting with contrasting starts to the new season. The hosts sit seventh in the table and are currently holding on to a play-off position, though consistency has still been an issue for them. The visitors are considerably lower down and are close to the relegation zone. Padova are struggling to pick up points and have yet to find the right balance between attack and defence. Avellino have also had their slip-ups, but on the whole look more convincing than their opponents and are hoping to strengthen their position with the advantage of home ground.
Head-to-Head
Avellino beat Padova 1-0 in their Serie B match on 07 March 2026. The hosts had 62% possession and attempted 19 shots to Padova's six, but the only goal came after the break.
In six official meetings, Padova have won three and Avellino one, with two draws. All seven of Padova's goals in those matches came in the first half.
Head-to-head statistics Avellino - Padova
Avellino have suffered just one defeat in their last five matches
Avellino's trip to Cesena on 18 October 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw in their most recent Serie B match. The visitors had the better of the possession - 62% - and attempted more shots, 20 to 18, though they were outshot on target 4-6.
Avellino have made a reasonably confident start to the season and sit seventh in the table after seven rounds with 11 points. In their last five matches, the team have won twice, drawn twice and lost once. Over a longer stretch the results look less convincing, though: across the previous ten matches Avellino have four wins and four defeats with two draws. In the current league campaign, however, the team are showing decent scoring form, averaging 1.71 goals per game compared to 1.3 over that ten-match stretch.
Match Results: Avellino
Padova suffer four defeats in their last five matches
In their last Serie B match on 17 October 2026, Padova lost at home to Virtus Entella 1-2, despite leading 1-0 at half-time. The hosts managed just six shots to their opponents' 18, and had only one shot on target compared to seven.
Padova are finding it hard to adapt to the demands of the new season and sit 15th in the table with seven points. Their last five matches have been particularly poor, with four defeats and just one win. The problems with results go back further, though: across their last ten matches, Padova have won four, drawn one and lost five. Their attack is also struggling. Over their last ten games they have averaged 1.1 goals per match, but in the league that figure drops to 0.86 goals per game. Their defence, meanwhile, is conceding 1.43 goals per match.
Match Results: Padova
Total Goals Prediction
Padova have scored under 1.5 goals in 17 of their last 18 matches - a very consistent trend. On top of that, Padova are averaging just 0.86 goals per match in the league this season (1 away), while Avellino concede an average of just 1 goal at home. All of this gives solid backing, both in terms of recent trends and current statistics, to the Padova Team Total - Under 1.5 Goals bet at 1.33*.
Corners Prediction
In eight consecutive home matches, Avellino have seen the corner count come in under 9.5 consistently. There are no clear contradictions in the current data, though no recent average corner statistics have been provided. Given the clear trend, a bet on Total Corners - Under 9.5 at odds of 1.83* looks justified.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12.88%), 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (8.26%). Our predicted score is 2-1.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Avellino are considered the favourites here, and the current standings support that assessment. The hosts have made a stronger start to the season, picking up positive results more consistently and remaining well placed in the race for the upper end of the table. Padova, by contrast, are out of form and keep dropping points, which is preventing them from climbing into mid-table. The home advantage adds further weight to the case for Avellino, who face an opponent going through a noticeable rough patch. The editor's main prediction is an Avellino win.
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Betting Tips: Avellino - Padova
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