Avellino vs Padova Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 7 March 2026
📢 What can we expect from the clash between Avellino and Padova in the 29th round of Serie B? Avellino are in a slump, winless in six matches, which is impacting their league position. Meanwhile, Padova display more consistent form and sit higher in the standings. Both teams struggle offensively, but defense will be the crucial factor for the hosts.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 30 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Padova):
- ball possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 1;
- fouls: 14 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 5.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Avellino and Padova:
- played 5 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 0, for the away team - 3, draws - 2;
- number of goals - 4 against 7;
- average total in the 1st half - 2, in the 2nd half - 0.2;
- average total goals in the match - 2.2.
Head-to-head statistics Avellino - Padova
Avellino Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Venezia, away team - Avellino). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:0.
Here's the game statistics (Avellino vs Venezia):
- ball possession: 27% vs 73%;
- corner kicks: 0 vs 3;
- fouls: 8 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 0 vs 5.
Avellino are going through tough times, having failed to secure a victory in their last six matches, which leaves them sitting 14th in the table. Their form is far from ideal, with two draws and three losses in their last five outings. Over the past ten games, they've averaged just 0.9 goals per game while conceding 1.6 goals-a significant issue for the team, particularly given their current streak.
Match Results: Avellino
Padova Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Padova, away - Spezia Calcio). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.
Here are the match stats (Padova vs Spezia Calcio):
- ball possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 10.
Padova find themselves in a more comfortable position, sitting 10th in the standings, thanks to their relatively stable form. Over the last five matches, they have secured two wins and two draws, with just one loss. Despite an average scoring rate of 1.3 goals per game, the team showcases disciplined defense, conceding 1.5 goals per match, which helps them maintain their spot near the middle of the table.
Match Results: Padova
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 5;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 3, draws - 2.
Statistics: Avellino vs Padova
- matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 28;
- wins: 7 vs 8;
- win percentage: 25% vs 29%;
- losses: 12 vs 10;
- draws: 9 vs 10.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 3;
- losses: 6 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
- Avellino have not won in last 6 games (Serie B).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.8, the guests - 1.4;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.2;
- both teams scored: overall - 3; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Avellino vs Padova
- average total in the tournament: 2.71 vs 2.32;
- average total goals scored: 1.07 vs 1.07;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.57 vs 0.46;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 0.61;
- Avellino: average total at home in the tournament - 1.29;
- Padova: average total away in the tournament - 0.93;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 1.17) vs 1.3 (away - 1.25).
- Avellino have scored under 1.5 goals in last 6 games (Serie B).
Prediction on corners
Avellino: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.29; at home field - 5.14;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.5; at home field - 6.
Padova: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.07, away - 3.86;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; away - 2.75.
- Avellino have taken over 4.5 corners in last 6 home games (Serie B).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 5;
- both teams scored all-time - 3 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Avellino vs Padova
- number of matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 28;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 16;
- number of BTTS matches for Avellino at home - 8 (57%);
- number of BTTS matches for Padova away - 6 (43%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Avellino at home - 4 (67%);
- BTTS matches for Padova away - 2 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (45/280, 16.1%);
- Avellino at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 2:1 (2/14, 14.3%);
- Padova away most often play: 0:1 , 1:0 (3/14, 21.4%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.66% (odds 5.5)
1:0 - 10.62% (odds 7)
0:0 - 8.93% (odds 7.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Avellino are considered the favorites for this matchup, but their recent form raises some concerns. The hosts have been unable to secure a win in their last six matches, which significantly dampens confidence ahead of this game. Against this backdrop, Padova are more than capable of putting up a fight and capitalizing on their opponent's slump. In this context, it seems more reasonable to back Padova not to lose.
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Betting Tips: Avellino - Padova
in last 6 games (Serie B).
in last 5 games against Padova.in 17 of last 19 Padova games (Serie B).in 12 of last 13 Padova away games (Serie B).in 13 of last 14 games (Serie B).in 10 of last 11 home games (Serie B).Comparison of Teams Stats
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