Atletico Grau vs AD Tarma Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 23 October 2026
🔊 Atlético Grau and Tarma meet in round 13 of the Clausura, with both sides struggling for form. The hosts sit 11th with 17 points, while the visitors are second-bottom with six. In the previous round, Atlético lost to Alianza Lima and Tarma were beaten by Los Chankas. Tarma also came out on top in the first-leg meeting, which gives the hosts reason to seek revenge here.
No draws in the last three matches
Tarma beat Atlético Grau 1-0 in their last head-to-head meeting in the Primera División on 02 May 2026. The only goal came before half-time. Tarma had nine shots on target to their opponents' three, and Atlético Grau were reduced to ten men after a red card.
Over their three La Liga head-to-head meetings, the sides have never drawn: Tarma have won twice and Atlético Grau once. All three wins were recorded by the home side. In terms of goals, the two teams are level - 5-5.
Head-to-head statistics Atletico Grau - AD Tarma
Atletico Grau: three matches without a win
Atlético Grau's last Primera División match ended in a 1-3 away defeat to Alianza Lima. After an even first half, they conceded two more goals and managed just 8 shots across the whole match compared to 18 for their opponents.
Atlético Grau have been inconsistent, picking up 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats in their last 10 matches. They have gone three rounds without a win, conceding 3 goals on two occasions during that run. Their home form is noticeably better, though - three wins and a draw in their previous four Clausura matches at home. On their own ground, the hosts could take advantage of Tarma's defensive weaknesses, which regularly show up away from home.
Match Results: Atletico Grau
Tarma have suffered 7 defeats in their last 10 matches.
With an equal shot count of 11-11, Tarma lost their last Primera División match away to Los Chancas 1-2. The score was level at 1-1 after the first half.
Tarma are going through a difficult spell - two wins, one draw and seven defeats in their last 10 matches. The defence has been particularly poor, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game over that run. The attack has offered little help either, averaging just 0.7 goals scored across the same period. In the previous round, the visitors lost again, extending their winless run to four matches.
Match Results: AD Tarma
Prediction for the 1st half
Tarma make defensive errors far too often, particularly away from home. In their last four away league matches, they have conceded 12 goals, seven of them before half-time. Atlético Grau are more assured at home and recently scored three against Alianza Atlético, winning 3-1. The pick is Atlético Grau to Score in the 1st Half at 1.72*.
Corners Prediction
Tarma rarely earn many corners away from home. In 7 of their last 8 away matches, they took no more than three corners. Atlético Grau's home matches are also not particularly high on corners - in 9 of their last 10 home games, the combined total was under nine. Our pick: Tarma Team Corners - Under 3.5 at 1.69*.
Safer Bet
Tarma have been struggling in front of goal, scoring no more than one in 12 of their last 13 matches. Their away record is even more modest - just 0.79 goals per game this season. Atlético Grau concede noticeably less at home than away, so it will not be easy for the visitors to score more than once. We're backing Tarma Team Total - Under 1.5 at 1.23*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the most likely scorelines for this match are 1-0 (15.99%), 0-0 (11.31%) and 2-0 (10.31%). A narrow home win by 1-0 has the highest probability, but the other outcomes are fairly close behind. This suggests the match is expected to be cautious and low-scoring.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Atletico Grau have a good opportunity to end their poor run and improve their position in the table. Tarma regularly fall apart defensively away from home, conceding several goals even against opponents who are not particularly prolific. The hosts are more assured on their own ground and are quite capable of taking advantage of the visitors' problems. Predicted score: 2-0. Main bet: Atletico Grau Team Total - Over 1.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Atletico Grau - AD Tarma
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