Guadalajara vs Necaxa Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 September 2025
📢 The clash between Guadalajara and Necaxa promises to be intriguing, given both teams' inconsistency this Liga MX season. The hosts have been struggling with their goal-scoring form, as evidenced by just 2 wins in their last 9 matches. However, they have a chance to turn things around in front of their home fans. Necaxa, on the other hand, have also been lacking stability, but a recent victory might boost their confidence. Read the prediction for their matchup below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place in January and ended with a 3-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Necaxa were the home side):
- possession percentage: 44% vs 56%;
- corners: 4 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Guadalajara and Necaxa:
- 32 matches played;
- home victories - 18, away wins - 7, draws - 7;
- goals scored - 59 to 37;
- average goals in the first half - 1.31, second half - 1.69;
- average total goals per match - 3.
Head-to-head statistics Guadalajara - Necaxa
Guadalajara Chivas Team Overview
The last official match took place in the Liga MX, with Guadalajara hosting Toluca. The game ended with a scoreline of 0-3.
Here's the match statistics (Guadalajara vs Toluca):
- possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 6;
- fouls: 17 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 11.
Guadalajara are going through a tough stretch, sitting 13th in the standings after losing five of their last nine matches (form: LWDLL). Their home performance has been disappointing, with no wins in their last six home games. Los Rojiblancos have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in seven of their previous eight matches at their stadium. They also struggle both offensively, averaging only 1.22 goals per game, and defensively, conceding around 1.78 goals on average.
Match Results: Guadalajara Chivas
Necaxa Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place in the Liga MX tournament (with Necaxa as the home team and Puebla as the visitors). The match concluded with a score of 1-0.
Here are the game statistics (Necaxa vs Puebla):
- possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 8;
- fouls: 6 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 5.
Necaxa sit just above their rivals in 12th place in the Liga MX table. Their form has been inconsistent, with a record of DWDLL, securing only two wins alongside three draws and four losses in their last nine matches. Despite this, they have shown some improvement with a recent 3-2 away victory against Guadalajara earlier this summer. While their attack isn't the most prolific, averaging 0.89 goals per game, it still has the potential to surprise.
Match Results: Necaxa
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 32;
- Home victories - 18, Away victories - 7, Draws - 7.
Statistics: Guadalajara vs Necaxa
- Matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- Wins: 2 vs 2;
- Win percentage: 22% vs 22%;
- Losses: 5 vs 4;
- Draws: 2 vs 3.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 3 vs 2;
- Losses: 5 vs 5;
- Draws: 2 vs 3.
- Necaxa have covered the +1.5 spread in 11 of their last 12 away head-to-heads against this opponent (Liga MX).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- The home team averages - 1.84 goals, the visitors - 1.16;
- Average total goals in head-to-heads - 3;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 19 times; at the home team's ground - 10 times.
Statistics: Guadalajara vs Necaxa
- Average total in the tournament: 3 vs 2.44;
- Average goals scored: 1.22 vs 0.89;
- Average total in the first half: 0.33 vs 0.56;
- Average total in the second half: 0.89 vs 0.33;
- Guadalajara: average home total in the tournament - 1.2;
- Necaxa: average away total in the tournament - 0.5;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 0.67) vs 1 (away - 0.8).
- Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in 15 of Guadalajara's last 16 home matches (Liga MX).
- Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in 7 of Guadalajara's last 8 matches.
- Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in 6 of Guadalajara's last 7 Liga MX matches.
- Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in Necaxa's last 7 consecutive matches (Liga MX).
- Total under 3.5 goals has occurred in Necaxa's last 6 consecutive matches.
Corners Prediction
Guadalajara: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 6.67; at home - 6.4;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 6.1; at home - 5.83.
Necaxa: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.11, away - 3.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.3; away - 3.6.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head
- Average yellow cards in head-to-heads - 2 (1 for the home team and 1 for the visitors);
- Average yellow cards at the home ground - 2.41 (0.76 for the home team and 1.65 for the visitors).
Guadalajara: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.33; at home - 2.8;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.5; at home - 2.67.
Necaxa: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.56, away - 2.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.2; away - 2.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 32;
- Both teams have scored all-time - 19 times;
- At the home team's ground - 10 times.
Statistics: Guadalajara vs Necaxa
- Total matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- Total matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 5;
- Guadalajara's BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
- Necaxa's BTTS away - 2 (50%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
- Guadalajara's BTTS at home - 3 (50%);
- Necaxa's BTTS away - 3 (60%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams have been showing inconsistent form and defensive issues, which increases the likelihood of both sides finding the back of the net in this match. While Guadalajara enjoy home advantage, their current form makes betting on their success risky, especially considering their trend of failing to secure home wins for six consecutive games and their poor conversion rate in front of goal (less than 1.5 goals). Considering the recent head-to-head stats and the hosts' tendency for low-scoring home games (with totals under 3.5 almost always hitting), backing both teams to score seems like the most insightful choice for this encounter. The predicted scoreline is 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Guadalajara Chivas - Necaxa
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in 13 of last 14 home games against Necaxa (Liga MX).in 7 of last 8 games.
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