Monterrey vs Pachuca Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 19 October 2026
🔊 Both Monterrey and Pachuca come into this match with plenty riding on it - both sides are outside the play-off places with half the season already gone. Monterrey are two points off the required position, Pachuca three. Neither team has been particularly consistent recently: the hosts have won two and lost three of their last five matches, while the visitors have won two, drawn one and lost two. In that context, every point matters for both sides.
What does the head-to-head record tell us to expect from this match?
In their previous Liga MX head-to-head meeting on 19 April 2026, Monterrey led at home after the first half 1-0 but went on to lose to Pachuca 3-1. The hosts had more shots - 13 to 9 - and created more dangerous attacks: 56 to 34.
Across 55 official meetings, Monterrey have won 24, Pachuca 19, with 12 draws. At home, Monterrey have won 15 of their 28 meetings with Pachuca, but lost the most recent one on home soil.
Head-to-head statistics Monterrey - Pachuca
Monterrey: Battling for a Playoff Spot
In their last Liga MX match on 11 October 2026, Monterrey drew 1-1 away to América. Their opponents had twice as many shots (14 to 7) and eight on target to Monterrey's two, but Monterrey held on for a point.
Monterrey have had an inconsistent season: four wins and four defeats in their last ten matches reflect a lack of stability. The team average 1.7 goals per game, but their defensive reliability is questionable - they are conceding 1.5 goals per match. Short-term form is equally mixed: two wins and three defeats in their last five matches, with their most recent result a loss. Motivation is high given the fight for a play-off place - they need to close the gap now.
Match Results: CF Monterrey
Pachuca are aiming for a win against Monterrey
In their last Liga MX match on 11 October 2026, Pachuca drew 3-3 at home with Necaxa, having trailed 1-2 at half-time. Pachuca had more of the ball (61% to 39%) and more shots (18 to 16), though they were behind on expected goals - 1.26 to 2.61.
Pachuca are also in the hunt for the play-offs and sit just below their opponents in the table, one point behind having played more games. Over their last ten matches they have won three, drawn four and lost three, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game - a balance that suggests a more cautious approach away from home. Their last five matches have brought two wins, one draw and two defeats, which reflects an inconsistent run of results.
Match Results: Pachuca
Total Goals Prediction
Monterrey have scored under 2.5 goals in 11 of their last 12 head-to-head meetings with Pachuca, which is a consistent trend. On top of that, their seasonal home average is 2.2 goals per game, and over their last 10 home matches it drops to 2.0, meaning Monterrey only occasionally exceed the two-goal mark. There are no significant contradictions in the statistics, so a bet on Monterrey Team Total - Under 2.5 at odds of 1.36* looks justified.
Corners Prediction
Monterrey have taken more than 4.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 matches, which is backed up by a long and current run. On top of that, they have a streak of 6 consecutive matches in which they have cleared the even higher line of 5.5 corners. This makes Monterrey Team Total Corners - Over 4.5 at 1.43* look like a reliable bet.
Reliable Bet
Monterrey have scored at home in 11 of their last 12 matches, which reflects a consistent trend. This season they average 2.2 goals per home game, and 2 goals per game across their last 10 home matches, making Monterrey Team Total - Over 0.5 at 1.13* a very reliable bet.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are: 1:0 (13.45%), 1:1 (10.25%) and 0:1 (8.78%). Of these, 1:0 has the highest probability, though the draw and a narrow away win are fairly close in likelihood. This reflects the cautious nature of the match, with a limited number of goals expected.
*Odds are approximate and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams are under pressure to close the gap on the play-off places, so they will push forward, which should mean plenty of battles and fouls. In Pachuca's last match, the referee showed 8 yellow cards, pointing to the kind of physical, combative play both sides tend to produce. Editorial prediction: Total Yellow Cards - Over 4.5.
Will this prediction come true?
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Betting Tips: CF Monterrey - Pachuca
in last 5 home games against Pachuca (Liga MX).
in 11 of last 12 games against Pachuca (Liga MX).in 7 of last 8 home games against Pachuca (Liga MX).in 10 of last 11 games.
in 7 of last 8 CF Monterrey games against Pachuca (Liga MX).in 7 of last 8 Pachuca games (Liga MX).Comparison of Teams Stats
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