Cruz Azul vs Juarez Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 18 October 2026
🔊 Cruz Azul go into this match with strong motivation: they are in the play-off places and looking to hold their position. Juárez, by contrast, sit bottom of the table with little to play for. The two sides are in noticeably different form - the hosts have been alternating between good and poor results, while the visitors have been going through a difficult run without any consistency. The trends point to Cruz Azul's opponents scoring frequently, and to Juárez's away matches producing goals.
What does the head-to-head record say about Cruz Azul and Juárez?
Cruz Azul beat Juárez away 4-3 in their Liga MX match 31 January 2026, leading 3-1 at half-time. Juárez had the better of the possession (58% to 42%) and held an advantage in expected goals - 2.49 to 1.69.
Cruz Azul have won 11 of their 15 official meetings with Juárez, drawing two and losing two. Their home record is particularly impressive: nine wins from nine matches, with an aggregate score of 21-4.
Head-to-head statistics Cruz Azul - Juarez
Cruz Azul: Attack Delivers, Defense Falters
Thirty shots were not enough to give Cruz Azul victory in their last Liga MX match: on 12 October 2026 they drew 3-3 away to UNAM Pumas. Cruz Azul were trailing 1-2 at half-time, and by the end of the match they had outplayed their opponents in both possession (68% to 32%) and shots (30 to 9).
Cruz Azul's form has been inconsistent - two wins and three defeats in their last five matches. Over their last ten games, they have three wins, five defeats and two draws. Their average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game shows a defence that gives opponents room, even alongside a relatively productive attack (2 goals per game on average this season). Their league position demands full focus: the team are already among the play-off contenders, but the narrow gap to their nearest rivals makes every point count.
Match Results: Cruz Azul
What can we expect from Juárez going forward?
In their previous Liga MX match on 10 October 2026, Juárez drew 1-1 at home with Tijuana, having trailed 0-1 at half-time. Despite taking fewer shots - 9 against 13 - the hosts were more accurate, putting 6 on target compared to Tijuana's 4.
Juárez are going through a prolonged slump: just one win and four defeats in their last five matches, while across their last ten they have managed only two wins against seven losses. Their averages reflect weakness in both attack (0.73 goals scored) and defence (2.36 conceded per game across the season; 2.3 over the ten-match stretch). Away from home, Juárez have regularly been involved in high-scoring matches, as shown by a run of consecutive away games going over 2.5 goals, though they currently have no motivation from a standings perspective - the club sit bottom of the table with no realistic chance of catching their rivals.
Match Results: Juarez
Prediction for the 1st half
Cruz Azul have scored in the first half in six consecutive home meetings against Juárez. It is a consistent trend, backed up by the hosts' reliable scoring in the opening 45 minutes. The price on Cruz Azul Team Total - Over 0.5 in the 1st Half is 1.44*.
Match Result Prediction
Cruz Azul have won nine consecutive home meetings against Juárez, which points to consistent dominance over this opponent on their own ground. Cruz Azul also have a positive win record this season - five wins against four defeats - while Juárez have managed just one win and nine defeats, which clearly favours the hosts. Taking into account the difference in average goals scored as well (2 for Cruz Azul versus 0.73 for Juárez), we are backing a Cruz Azul win at 1.30*.
Total Goals Prediction
In Juárez's last five matches, Total Goals - Under 3.5 has come in every time, pointing to low-scoring affairs. On top of that, Juárez's average goals per match this season is just 0.73, while Cruz Azul's is 2, which also fits within the under-3-goals-per-match range. This makes a bet on Total Goals - Under 3.5 a reasonable one at odds of 1.55*.
Corners Prediction
Cruz Azul have taken fewer than 6.5 corners in five consecutive matches, which points to a consistent trend in this area. With no contradicting trends and odds of 1.97*, a bet on Cruz Azul Team Total Corners - Under 6.5 looks justified.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 2-0 (10.01%), 2-1 (9.33%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The 2-0 outcome has the highest probability, though the gap between all three options is relatively small. This reflects an expectation of a predominantly low-scoring game with Cruz Azul having the advantage.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Cruz Azul's form has been inconsistent, though they remain highly motivated as they look to secure a play-off position late in the season. The team frequently makes defensive errors - conceding almost two goals per game backs this up statistically, and it fits the trend: Cruz Azul have allowed opponents to score at least once in the majority of their recent Liga MX matches. Juárez's attack has not been particularly effective this season, but given the hosts' weak defence and the consistency of this pattern - conceding at least once almost every time - the editorial selection is Both Teams to Score - Yes.
Will this prediction come true?
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Betting Tips: Cruz Azul - Juarez
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