Cagliari vs Fiorentina Prediction

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The main thing

    📢 How will the new season kick off for Cagliari and Fiorentina? Last season, the teams faced entirely different challenges: the "Viola" spent much of the campaign in the top six, eventually securing a spot in the UEFA Conference League qualifiers, while the "Islanders" battled until the final rounds to maintain their top-flight status. But as the new season begins, everything resets: the league table is wiped clean, and the opening matchday provides an opportunity for each club to make a statement and outline their ambitions. The clash will take place at the "Unipol Domus" in Cagliari.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The recent head-to-head history between Cagliari and Fiorentina shows a clear advantage for the Viola. In their last 34 official encounters, Cagliari have claimed victory 8 times, with another 8 matches ending in a draw, while Fiorentina have come out on top in 18 games. Their most recent clash took place at the end of April, where the Florence side secured an away win with a 2-1 scoreline. Interestingly, the hosts struck first, but the Viola managed to turn the game around and take all three points.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    25%
    9 Wins
    25%
    9 Draws
    50%
    18 Wins
    Total games
    36
    Total Goals Avg
    2.5
    Both teams scored
    50%
    0.97
    Total average
    1.53
    2.08
    Yellow cards
    2.06
    Last matches
    24.01.26
    Serie A
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    2.32
    0.94
    8
    3
    11
    17
    2
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2.32
    0.94
    8
    3
    11
    17
    2
    3
    24.08.25
    Serie A
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    0.91
    1.07
    3
    2
    18
    14
    4
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.91
    1.07
    3
    2
    18
    14
    4
    2
    23.04.25
    Serie A
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    0.3
    0.75
    4
    4
    15
    15
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.3
    0.75
    4
    4
    15
    15
    2
    2
    08.12.24
    Serie A
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    0.35
    0.77
    6
    4
    11
    16
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.35
    0.77
    6
    4
    11
    16
    3
    2
    23.05.24
    Serie A
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    -
    -
    4
    5
    17
    14
    2
    4
    2
    3
    0
    1
    2
    2
    -
    -
    4
    5
    17
    14
    2
    4
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    Cagliari Calcio Team Overview

    🔴 Overall, last season can be considered a success for the Islanders. The primary objective for the club was to maintain their status in the top flight, and they achieved it: the team finished 15th in the league, staying five points clear of the relegation zone. The battle was intense, but Cagliari managed to hold on, which in itself is an accomplishment.

    📌 The summer friendlies didn't offer much reason for optimism. In six matches, the team secured just two wins, alongside two draws and two losses. The opponents weren't particularly strong, and their only truly serious test against Galatasaray ended in a 1-3 defeat. In the Coppa Italia round of 64, Cagliari also failed to impress - their match against Virtus Entella ended in a 1-1 draw, and only a penalty shootout secured their progression (5-4).

    🔁 On the transfer market, the club spent over €30 million, but mostly on purchasing players who were already on loan with them. For instance, they bought central forward Roberto Piccoli from Atalanta for €12 million and goalkeeper Elia Caprile from Napoli for €8 million. Thus, there was no real significant strengthening of the squad; instead, they retained their familiar core. Changes also occurred on the coaching front: Fabio Pisacane took over as the new head coach. This is a serious challenge for him, as Cagliari once again faces the task of staying in Serie A, but doing so this season will be even more difficult.

    Match Results: Cagliari Calcio

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    Serie A
    Milan
    Milan
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    1.76
    2.64
    5
    5
    8
    9
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1.76
    2.64
    5
    5
    8
    9
    2
    2
    W
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    Torino
    Torino
    1.28
    1.19
    5
    1
    8
    13
    1
    1
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    1.28
    1.19
    5
    1
    8
    13
    1
    1
    W
    09.05.26
    Serie A
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    Udinese Calcio
    Udinese Calcio
    1.5
    1.85
    8
    4
    10
    13
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.5
    1.85
    8
    4
    10
    13
    1
    2
    L
    03.05.26
    Serie A
    Bologna
    Bologna
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    0.8
    0.82
    7
    2
    13
    12
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.8
    0.82
    7
    2
    13
    12
    2
    1
    D
    27.04.26
    Serie A
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    1.38
    1.23
    4
    6
    8
    11
    0
    0
    3
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1.38
    1.23
    4
    6
    8
    11
    0
    0
    W
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    Fiorentina Team Overview

    🟣 Last season, the "Viola" kicked off with remarkable confidence: an extended unbeaten streak positioned them as one of the "dark horses" in the title race. However, in the second half of the campaign, the team experienced a dramatic decline, ultimately finishing sixth and securing only a spot in the Conference League qualifiers. While this outcome wasn't disastrous, it certainly fell short of the club's ambitions.

    📌 Their summer preparations were mixed. Fiorentina managed just two victories in five friendly matches, both against lower-division Italian teams. Nevertheless, there was a bright spot in European competition: in the first leg of the final round of the Conference League qualifiers, the "Viola" thrashed Polissya 3-0 on neutral ground, despite playing the entire second half with ten men. 

    🔁 The club was quite active in the transfer market, spending around €60 million, with their marquee signing being 24-year-old Swiss midfielder Simon Sohm, who joined from Parma for €15 million. Stefano Pioli has been appointed as the new head coach, tasked with stabilizing the team's performance and steering them back into contention for higher positions.

    Match Results: Fiorentina

    Last matches
    22.05.26
    Serie A
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    0.84
    1.82
    3
    3
    11
    14
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.84
    1.82
    3
    3
    11
    14
    0
    2
    D
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Juventus Turin
    Juventus Turin
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    1
    2.27
    0.63
    6
    2
    16
    12
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    2.27
    0.63
    6
    2
    16
    12
    1
    3
    W
    10.05.26
    Serie A
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    Genoa
    Genoa
    1.2
    0.67
    4
    3
    13
    14
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.2
    0.67
    4
    3
    13
    14
    0
    0
    D
    04.05.26
    Serie A
    Roma
    Roma
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    2.34
    0.12
    4
    5
    12
    10
    2
    2
    4
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2.34
    0.12
    4
    5
    12
    10
    2
    2
    L
    26.04.26
    Serie A
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    Sassuolo Calcio
    Sassuolo Calcio
    1.87
    1.12
    7
    4
    13
    12
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.87
    1.12
    7
    4
    13
    12
    2
    1
    D
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    Latest news

    Cagliari Calcio

    📣 Ahead of the match against Fiorentina, head coach Fabio Pisacane noted that the friendly matches have helped identify the team's weaknesses: "Regardless of who takes the field on Saturday, the scrimmages have given us material to work on what isn't clicking yet. I can't pinpoint the exact percentage of the team's readiness, but we will certainly strive to give it our all."

    🚫 Cagliari have doubts over the participation of two players. Gianluca Gaetano is dealing with a knee injury and isn't fully fit, leaving his involvement in the match uncertain. Leonardo Pavoletti is in a similar situation; the forward is experiencing physical discomfort, and the club's medical staff will assess his readiness closer to the game. 

    Fiorentina

    📣 After a commanding 3-0 victory in the first leg of the Conference League playoffs, Stefano Pioli highlighted that the positive energy surrounding the team has been evident from the very start of his tenure: "Undoubtedly, I felt this even before my first day. Right after signing the contract, I called everyone - and everyone was pleased, including my coaching staff. I think this feeling was mutual. We found ourselves in the right place at the right time and fully understand that a serious challenge lies ahead, with very ambitious goals. I want to especially thank the fans - they have supported us from day one. The atmosphere is truly very positive."

    🚫 Fiorentina face more localized setbacks. Rolando Mandragora's participation is in doubt as he deals with physical discomfort. The midfielder might not take the field if he doesn't fully recover, which would force the coach to explore alternative options in the midfield. 

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    The last head-to-head between Cagliari and Fiorentina in Sardinia was truly an entertaining and high-scoring affair: the visitors managed to turn the game around and secured a 2-1 victory. Considering the current form of both teams, evident from their preseason matches where defensive lapses were common, there is every reason to expect a similar scenario. Both sides boast players capable of capitalizing on defensive errors, making a bet on both teams to score a logical choice.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Cagliari rarely takes the initiative in matches against Fiorentina, which means they seldom engage in prolonged positional attacks and infrequently reach the corner flag. This trend is clear in the statistics: in 6 of their last 7 Serie A meetings, the "islanders" have taken no more than four corners. Given the usual pattern of their encounters, a bet on Cagliari's individual total under 4.5 corners appears well-founded.

    Editorial Prediction

    Fiorentina enter the match as favorites, and rightfully so. In terms of squad strength, ambitions, and financial capabilities, the Viola clearly outclass Cagliari. Additionally, they boast a more balanced attack and midfield, making their play more varied and dangerous for any opponent. Another point in their favor is last season's head-to-head record: the Florence club defeated the Islanders both at home (1-0) and away (2-1). All this suggests that Stefano Pioli's side have an excellent chance to kick off the new season with a win. However, surprises are always possible in the opening round, so we prefer to play it safe. Our bet is on a Fiorentina win with a handicap (0). Nonetheless, we predict the game will end with a scoreline of 1-2.

    Our choice
    Fiorentina Handicap (0) at odds of -161*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (22 August 2025, 22:00)

    Betting Tips: Cagliari Calcio - Fiorentina

    Cagliari Calcio have not won
    cagliari-calcioacf-fiorentina-1in last 9 games against Fiorentina (Serie A).
    Fiorentina will not lose
    Everygame
    -270
    Cagliari Calcio have scored
    cagliari-calcioin 9 of last 10 home games.
    cagliari-calcioin 8 of last 9 home games (Serie A).
    Fiorentina have conceded
    acf-fiorentina-1in last 17 away games.
    acf-fiorentina-1in last 12 away games (Serie A).
    acf-fiorentina-1in 10 of last 11 games.
    Cagliari Calcio will score goal
    MyBookie
    -222
    Under 3.5 goals scored
    cagliari-calcioacf-fiorentina-1in 8 of last 9 Cagliari Calcio games against Fiorentina (Serie A).
    cagliari-calcioin 15 of last 17 Cagliari Calcio games (Serie A).
    cagliari-calcioin last 9 Cagliari Calcio home games.
    cagliari-calcioin last 8 Cagliari Calcio home games (Serie A).
    cagliari-calcioin 6 of last 7 Cagliari Calcio games.
    acf-fiorentina-1in 6 of last 7 Fiorentina away games.
    in 9 of last 10 Simone Sozza games.
    in last 5 Simone Sozza games (in the Serie A).
    Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -455
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    cagliari-calcioin 10 of last 11 Cagliari Calcio home games.
    cagliari-calcioin 9 of last 10 Cagliari Calcio home games (Serie A).
    cagliari-calcioin last 8 Cagliari Calcio games.
    cagliari-calcioin last 7 Cagliari Calcio games (Serie A).
    acf-fiorentina-1in 10 of last 11 Fiorentina games.
    acf-fiorentina-1in 9 of last 10 Fiorentina away games.
    in 14 of last 15 Simone Sozza games.
    in last 13 Simone Sozza games (in the Serie A).
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -250
    View more facts

    Cagliari - Fiorentina Table position

    Serie A 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    12.
    Torino
    Torino
    381291744-6345
    13.
    Parma
    Parma
    3811121528-4645
    14.
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    3811101740-5343
    15.
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    389151441-5042
    16.
    Genoa
    Genoa
    3810111741-5141
    17.
    Lecce
    Lecce
    381082028-5038

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 10
    Conceded - 15
    -5
    -2
    8 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    4
    1
    Draws
    4
    5
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    10
    Scored
    8
    15
    Conceded
    10
    2.5
    Match goals average
    1.8
    1
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.8
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    5
    Both teams scored
    3
    90'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    113'
    View all stats