Cagliari vs Fiorentina Prediction

    🎈Can Cagliari put up a fight against Fiorentina, or will the Serie A Matchday 33 follow a familiar script? The hosts, currently sitting in 15th place, are eager to solidify their position and avoid relegation. Meanwhile, the visitors, positioned in the upper part of the table, are eyeing European competition spots. Both teams showcase contrasting styles: Fiorentina favor an attacking approach with a high average goal count per match, while Cagliari focus on defense. The intrigue is heightened by their past encounters: the previous game ended with a narrow 1-0 victory for Fiorentina.

    Head-to-Head

    πŸ“ŠStatistical preview of official encounters between Cagliari and Fiorentina:

    • 33 matches played;
    • home wins - 8, away wins - 17, draws - 8;
    • goals scored - 31 for Cagliari, 51 for Fiorentina;
    • average first-half total - 1, second-half - 1.48;
    • average total goals per match - 2.48.

    The last game took place on 08 December 2024 at Fiorentina's ground, ending in a 1-0 victory.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    25%
    9 Wins
    25%
    9 Draws
    50%
    18 Wins
    Total games
    36
    Total Goals Avg
    2.5
    Both teams scored
    50%
    0.97
    Total average
    1.53
    2.08
    Yellow cards
    2.06
    Last matches
    24.01.26
    Serie A
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    2.32
    0.94
    8
    3
    11
    17
    2
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2.32
    0.94
    8
    3
    11
    17
    2
    3
    24.08.25
    Serie A
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    0.91
    1.07
    3
    2
    18
    14
    4
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.91
    1.07
    3
    2
    18
    14
    4
    2
    23.04.25
    Serie A
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    0.3
    0.75
    4
    4
    15
    15
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.3
    0.75
    4
    4
    15
    15
    2
    2
    08.12.24
    Serie A
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    0.35
    0.77
    6
    4
    11
    16
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.35
    0.77
    6
    4
    11
    16
    3
    2
    23.05.24
    Serie A
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    -
    -
    4
    5
    17
    14
    2
    4
    2
    3
    0
    1
    2
    2
    -
    -
    4
    5
    17
    14
    2
    4
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    Cagliari Calcio Team Overview

    πŸŽ‰Cagliari are currently sitting in fifteenth place in the Serie A standings, fighting to maintain their top-flight status. They've managed just two wins in their last ten matches, highlighting the team's inconsistent form. Their attacking line has been a weak spot, averaging only 0.9 goals over the past ten games. However, they have shown more resilience at home, with above-average scoring performances. 

    On April 12, Cagliari suffered a 3-1 away defeat to Inter. Roberto Piccoli scored the visitors' sole goal early in the second half, narrowing the deficit to 2-1. However, shortly after, reigning Italian champions restored their two-goal lead through a strike from Jan-Aurel Bisseck. This loss dropped Cagliari to 15th in the standings, reducing their gap from the relegation zone to six points.​

    The team has just one personnel issue - Alessandro Deiola will miss the match due to suspension. His absence could affect their stability in midfield, where he often plays a key role as a holding midfielder.

    Match Results: Cagliari Calcio

    Last matches
    24.05.26
    Serie A
    Milan
    Milan
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    1.76
    2.64
    5
    5
    8
    9
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1.76
    2.64
    5
    5
    8
    9
    2
    2
    W
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    Torino
    Torino
    1.28
    1.19
    5
    1
    8
    13
    1
    1
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    1.28
    1.19
    5
    1
    8
    13
    1
    1
    W
    09.05.26
    Serie A
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    Udinese Calcio
    Udinese Calcio
    1.5
    1.85
    8
    4
    10
    13
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.5
    1.85
    8
    4
    10
    13
    1
    2
    L
    03.05.26
    Serie A
    Bologna
    Bologna
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    0.8
    0.82
    7
    2
    13
    12
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.8
    0.82
    7
    2
    13
    12
    2
    1
    D
    27.04.26
    Serie A
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    1.38
    1.23
    4
    6
    8
    11
    0
    0
    3
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1.38
    1.23
    4
    6
    8
    11
    0
    0
    W
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    Fiorentina Team Overview

    🎁 The "Violas" continue their confident campaign this season, currently sitting eighth in Serie A with a shot at securing a spot in European competitions. Their gameplay is built on aggressive attacking moves, and over the last ten matches, they have averaged 1.7 goals scored while conceding 1.1 per game. Fiorentina rarely keeps a clean sheet on the road-both teams have found the net in nine out of their last ten away fixtures.

    On April 13, Fiorentina played to a goalless draw against Parma at home. The team showed solid defensive performance, but their attack left much to be desired. On April 17, they drew 2-2 with Celje in the second leg of the UEFA Conference League quarter-finals, advancing to the semi-finals with a 4-3 aggregate score. Goals for the Italians came from Rolando Mandragora and Moise Kean. However, it was a tense match, and the "Violas" had to put in considerable effort to avoid extra time. They will face Real Betis in the semi-finals.

    It's worth noting that Fiorentina have two key absences. Andrea Colpani is doubtful due to a foot injury. The situation is more serious for Edoardo Bove, who is sidelined indefinitely with heart issues-his return remains uncertain.

    Match Results: Fiorentina

    Last matches
    22.05.26
    Serie A
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    Atalanta
    Atalanta
    0.84
    1.82
    3
    3
    11
    14
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.84
    1.82
    3
    3
    11
    14
    0
    2
    D
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Juventus Turin
    Juventus Turin
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    1
    2.27
    0.63
    6
    2
    16
    12
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    2.27
    0.63
    6
    2
    16
    12
    1
    3
    W
    10.05.26
    Serie A
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    Genoa
    Genoa
    1.2
    0.67
    4
    3
    13
    14
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.2
    0.67
    4
    3
    13
    14
    0
    0
    D
    04.05.26
    Serie A
    Roma
    Roma
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    2.34
    0.12
    4
    5
    12
    10
    2
    2
    4
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2.34
    0.12
    4
    5
    12
    10
    2
    2
    L
    26.04.26
    Serie A
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    Sassuolo Calcio
    Sassuolo Calcio
    1.87
    1.12
    7
    4
    13
    12
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.87
    1.12
    7
    4
    13
    12
    2
    1
    D
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 33;
    • home team wins - 8, away team wins - 17, draws - 8.

    Statistics: Cagliari Calcio vs Fiorentina

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
    • number of wins: 7 vs 15;
    • win percentage: 22% vs 47%;
    • number of losses: 16 vs 9;
    • number of draws: 9 vs 8.

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of wins: 2 vs 5;
    • number of losses: 5 vs 2;
    • number of draws: 3 vs 3.
    👉Prediction: Fiorentina Handicap (0)(odds: 1.74)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 0.94, the guests - 1.55;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.48;
    • both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 9.

    Statistics: Cagliari Calcio vs Fiorentina

    • average total in the tournament: 2.47 vs 2.53;
    • average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.53;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.28 vs 0.88;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.72 vs 0.66;
    • Cagliari Calcio: average total at home in the tournament -  1.19;
    • Fiorentina: average total away in the tournament - 1.47;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 1.4) vs 1.7 (away - 1.75).
    Trends
    • Cagliari Calcio have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 games against Fiorentina (Serie A).
    • Cagliari Calcio have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 games (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Cagliari Calcio Total goals Under (1.5)(odds: 1.41)

    Prediction on corners

    Cagliari Calcio: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.91; at home field - 5.75;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; at home field - 4.6.

    Fiorentina: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.88, away - 3.33;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.6; away - 3.75.
    Trends
    • Fiorentina have taken over 3.5 corners in 12 of last 13 games against Cagliari Calcio (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Fiorentina Total Over (3.5)(odds: 1.45)

    Prediction on cards

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4 (2 for home team and 2 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.5 (1.75 for home team and 2.75 for away team).

    Cagliari Calcio: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.59; at home - 1.06;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; at home - 0.8.

    Fiorentina: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.88, away - 2.13;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; away - 3.
    Trends
    • Over 3.5 yellow cards in 7 of last 8 Fiorentina away games (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Over (3.5)(odds: 1.81)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 33;
    • both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 9 times.

    Statistics: Cagliari Calcio vs Fiorentina

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 16 vs 16;
    • number of BTTS matches for Cagliari Calcio at home - 7 (44%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Fiorentina away - 8 (53%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for Cagliari Calcio at home - 3 (60%);
    • BTTS matches for Fiorentina away - 4 (100%).
    Trends
    • Fiorentina have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 away games.
    • Fiorentina have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 away games (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.85)

    Editorial Prediction

    The clash between Cagliari and Fiorentina is unlikely to be a breakthrough for the hosts' attack. Cagliari continue to struggle in the final third, scoring under 1.5 goals in seven of their last eight Serie A matches. This trend is mirrored in their head-to-head encounters with Fiorentina, where they have failed to score more than one goal in seven of the last eight meetings. Given these patterns, betting on Cagliari's individual total under 1.5 goals seems like a well-founded prediction, especially considering the noticeable difference in class between the teams.

    Our choice
    Cagliari Calcio Total goals Under (1.5) at odds of -244*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (19 April 2025, 13:24)

    Betting Tips: Cagliari Calcio - Fiorentina

    Fiorentina have not won
    acf-fiorentina-1in 7 of last 8 away games (Serie A).
    Cagliari Calcio will not lose
    Everygame
    -200
    Cagliari Calcio have not won
    cagliari-calcioacf-fiorentina-1in last 8 games against Fiorentina (Serie A).
    cagliari-calcioin 7 of last 8 games (Serie A).
    Fiorentina have not lost
    acf-fiorentina-1in last 7 games.
    Fiorentina will not lose
    Everygame
    -256
    Under 3.5 goals scored
    cagliari-calcioacf-fiorentina-1in 7 of last 8 Cagliari Calcio games against Fiorentina (Serie A).
    cagliari-calcioin 10 of last 11 Cagliari Calcio games (Serie A).
    cagliari-calcioin 8 of last 9 Cagliari Calcio home games (Serie A).
    acf-fiorentina-1in 14 of last 15 Fiorentina games (Serie A).
    in 12 of last 13 Livio Marinelli games.
    Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -455
    Cagliari Calcio have conceded
    cagliari-calcioacf-fiorentina-1in 7 of last 8 home games against Fiorentina (Serie A).
    cagliari-calcioin 7 of last 8 home games (Serie A).
    Fiorentina have scored
    acf-fiorentina-1in 9 of last 10 games.
    Fiorentina will score goal
    Everygame
    -278
    View more facts

    Cagliari - Fiorentina Table position

    Serie A 24/25
    gWDLGDPForm
    5.
    Roma
    Roma
    38209956-3569
    6.
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    381981160-4165
    7.
    Lazio Rome
    Lazio Rome
    381811961-4965
    14.
    Hellas Verona
    Hellas Verona
    381072134-6637
    15.
    Cagliari Calcio
    Cagliari Calcio
    38992040-5636
    16.
    Parma
    Parma
    387151644-5836

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 10
    Conceded - 15
    -5
    -2
    8 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    4
    1
    Draws
    4
    5
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    10
    Scored
    8
    15
    Conceded
    10
    2.5
    Match goals average
    1.8
    1
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.8
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    5
    Both teams scored
    3
    90'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    113'
    View all stats