Cagliari vs Fiorentina Prediction
πCan Cagliari put up a fight against Fiorentina, or will the Serie A Matchday 33 follow a familiar script? The hosts, currently sitting in 15th place, are eager to solidify their position and avoid relegation. Meanwhile, the visitors, positioned in the upper part of the table, are eyeing European competition spots. Both teams showcase contrasting styles: Fiorentina favor an attacking approach with a high average goal count per match, while Cagliari focus on defense. The intrigue is heightened by their past encounters: the previous game ended with a narrow 1-0 victory for Fiorentina.
Head-to-Head
πStatistical preview of official encounters between Cagliari and Fiorentina:
- 33 matches played;
- home wins - 8, away wins - 17, draws - 8;
- goals scored - 31 for Cagliari, 51 for Fiorentina;
- average first-half total - 1, second-half - 1.48;
- average total goals per match - 2.48.
The last game took place on 08 December 2024 at Fiorentina's ground, ending in a 1-0 victory.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Cagliari Calcio Team Overview
πCagliari are currently sitting in fifteenth place in the Serie A standings, fighting to maintain their top-flight status. They've managed just two wins in their last ten matches, highlighting the team's inconsistent form. Their attacking line has been a weak spot, averaging only 0.9 goals over the past ten games. However, they have shown more resilience at home, with above-average scoring performances.
On April 12, Cagliari suffered a 3-1 away defeat to Inter. Roberto Piccoli scored the visitors' sole goal early in the second half, narrowing the deficit to 2-1. However, shortly after, reigning Italian champions restored their two-goal lead through a strike from Jan-Aurel Bisseck. This loss dropped Cagliari to 15th in the standings, reducing their gap from the relegation zone to six points.β
The team has just one personnel issue - Alessandro Deiola will miss the match due to suspension. His absence could affect their stability in midfield, where he often plays a key role as a holding midfielder.
Match Results: Cagliari Calcio

Fiorentina Team Overview
π The "Violas" continue their confident campaign this season, currently sitting eighth in Serie A with a shot at securing a spot in European competitions. Their gameplay is built on aggressive attacking moves, and over the last ten matches, they have averaged 1.7 goals scored while conceding 1.1 per game. Fiorentina rarely keeps a clean sheet on the road-both teams have found the net in nine out of their last ten away fixtures.
On April 13, Fiorentina played to a goalless draw against Parma at home. The team showed solid defensive performance, but their attack left much to be desired. On April 17, they drew 2-2 with Celje in the second leg of the UEFA Conference League quarter-finals, advancing to the semi-finals with a 4-3 aggregate score. Goals for the Italians came from Rolando Mandragora and Moise Kean. However, it was a tense match, and the "Violas" had to put in considerable effort to avoid extra time. They will face Real Betis in the semi-finals.
It's worth noting that Fiorentina have two key absences. Andrea Colpani is doubtful due to a foot injury. The situation is more serious for Edoardo Bove, who is sidelined indefinitely with heart issues-his return remains uncertain.
Match Results: Fiorentina
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 33;
- home team wins - 8, away team wins - 17, draws - 8.
Statistics: Cagliari Calcio vs Fiorentina
- number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- number of wins: 7 vs 15;
- win percentage: 22% vs 47%;
- number of losses: 16 vs 9;
- number of draws: 9 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 2 vs 5;
- number of losses: 5 vs 2;
- number of draws: 3 vs 3.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.94, the guests - 1.55;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.48;
- both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Cagliari Calcio vs Fiorentina
- average total in the tournament: 2.47 vs 2.53;
- average total goals scored: 1 vs 1.53;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.28 vs 0.88;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.72 vs 0.66;
- Cagliari Calcio: average total at home in the tournament - 1.19;
- Fiorentina: average total away in the tournament - 1.47;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 1.4) vs 1.7 (away - 1.75).
- Cagliari Calcio have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 games against Fiorentina (Serie A).
- Cagliari Calcio have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 games (Serie A).
Prediction on corners
Cagliari Calcio: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.91; at home field - 5.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; at home field - 4.6.
Fiorentina: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.88, away - 3.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.6; away - 3.75.
- Fiorentina have taken over 3.5 corners in 12 of last 13 games against Cagliari Calcio (Serie A).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4 (2 for home team and 2 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.5 (1.75 for home team and 2.75 for away team).
Cagliari Calcio: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.59; at home - 1.06;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; at home - 0.8.
Fiorentina: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.88, away - 2.13;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; away - 3.
- Over 3.5 yellow cards in 7 of last 8 Fiorentina away games (Serie A).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 33;
- both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
- on the home teamβs field - 9 times.
Statistics: Cagliari Calcio vs Fiorentina
- number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 16 vs 16;
- number of BTTS matches for Cagliari Calcio at home - 7 (44%);
- number of BTTS matches for Fiorentina away - 8 (53%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Cagliari Calcio at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Fiorentina away - 4 (100%).
- Fiorentina have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 away games.
- Fiorentina have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 away games (Serie A).
Editorial Prediction
The clash between Cagliari and Fiorentina is unlikely to be a breakthrough for the hosts' attack. Cagliari continue to struggle in the final third, scoring under 1.5 goals in seven of their last eight Serie A matches. This trend is mirrored in their head-to-head encounters with Fiorentina, where they have failed to score more than one goal in seven of the last eight meetings. Given these patterns, betting on Cagliari's individual total under 1.5 goals seems like a well-founded prediction, especially considering the noticeable difference in class between the teams.