Fluminense vs Palmeiras Prediction 23 July 2025
🔊 Two clubs with lofty ambitions but different objectives on the pitch. Fluminense are looking to regroup after two losses, while Palmeiras aim to maintain their momentum and avoid any slip-ups on the road. The match promises to be restrained in pace but intense in meaning. Every foul and pass here could decide the outcome. Who will emerge victorious in this tactical duel at the legendary Maracanã? Our prediction is front and center for you below.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between the teams took place on 08 December 2024 and ended with a 0-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that match (Palmeiras were the home side):
- possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corners: 11 vs 2;
- fouls: 11 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
- shots on target: 3 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Fluminense and Palmeiras:
- 38 matches played;
- home team wins - 16, away team wins - 17, draws - 5;
- goals scored - 37 for Fluminense, 47 for Palmeiras;
- average total goals in the first half - 1.16, in the second half - 1.05;
- average total goals per match - 2.21.
Head-to-head statistics Fluminense - Palmeiras

Fluminense Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on during the 15th round of Brazil's Serie A, with Flamengo hosting Fluminense. The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Fluminense vs Flamengo):
- possession: 32% vs 68%;
- corners: 3 vs 8;
- fouls: 6 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 3.
🟢 Fluminense fell to Flamengo in the derby on July 20, losing narrowly 1-0, and it was a deserved defeat. The "Tricolor" had just 36% possession, played defensively, and barely threatened. Their defense held firm until the 85th minute but collapsed late on. Since the Club World Cup, the team looks fatigued and creatively drained. They're lacking creativity, freshness, and have been ineffective in front of goal with almost no control over the game.
🔴 Ahead of their clash with Palmeiras, Fluminense sit in 8th place with 20 points-right in that spot where a single win could turn everything around, while a loss could push them into the murky middle of the table. If Flu triumphs, they could close in on the top six and potentially finish the round in 7th place, overtaking Mirassol (should they drop points against Ceará) and edging closer to the Copa Libertadores zone. However, another stumble could see them stuck in mid-table, losing momentum and morale.
Match Results: Fluminense

Palmeiras Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on during the 15th round of Brazil's Serie A, where Palmeiras hosted Atlético Mineiro. The game ended in a 3-2 victory.
Here's the match statistics (Palmeiras vs Atlético Mineiro):
- possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corners: 9 vs 0;
- fouls: 22 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 7 vs 2.
🟢 On July 20, the team clinched a victory at home against Atlético Mineiro, delivering what was arguably one of the most intense matches of Round 15 (3-2). The game swung back and forth from start to finish. The first half ended in a hard-fought draw at 1-1: Lucas Evangelista's goal was answered by Hulk for the visitors. After the break, Palmeiras stepped up their game, scoring twice-one being an own goal and the other by Mauricio-and seemed to have wrapped up the match confidently. But in the 90+1 minute, Hulk once again made his presence felt, narrowing the gap and causing a stir among the fans.
⚪ Until the final whistle, Palmeiras had to work hard off the ball, but they held firm. It wasn't a flawless performance-mistakes, gaps in midfield, unnecessary fouls-all remained. Yet in the race for the title, what's crucial now isn't the purity of victories, but their frequency. Palmeiras secured theirs. The team currently sits fourth, and a win over Fluminense would offer a chance to solidify their position in the top four, keeping Botafogo and Bahia at bay. In this upcoming encounter, points are more than just numbers. They are a pivotal foundation for the second half of the championship.
Match Results: Palmeiras
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 38;
- Home wins - 16, Away wins - 17, Draws - 5.
Statistics: Fluminense vs Palmeiras
- Matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
- Wins: 6 vs 8;
- Win percentage: 46% vs 62%;
- Losses: 5 vs 3;
- Draws: 2 vs 2.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 5 vs 4;
- Losses: 3 vs 3;
- Draws: 2 vs 3.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- The home team scores an average of 0.97, while the away team scores 1.24;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.21;
- Both teams have scored: overall - 16 times; at the home field - 8 times.
Statistics: Fluminense vs Palmeiras
- Average total in the tournament: 2.31 vs 2.08;
- Average goals scored: 1.15 vs 1.23;
- Average in the first half: 0.31 vs 0.38;
- Average in the second half: 0.85 vs 0.85;
- Fluminense: average total at home in the tournament - 1.33;
- Palmeiras: average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.33) vs 1.7 (away - 1.5).
- Palmeiras have scored less than 1.5 goals away in eight consecutive head-to-head matches (Serie A).
Corners Prediction
Fluminense: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.54; at home - 6.33;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.5; at home - 6.33.
Palmeiras: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 6.54, away - 7.83;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 7.2; away - 10.
- Fluminense have taken fewer than 5.5 corners at home in seven consecutive head-to-head matches (Serie A).
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.74 (1.87 for the home team and 1.87 for the away team);
- Average total yellow cards at the home field - 4 (1.95 for the home team and 2.05 for the away team).
Fluminense: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 1.69; at home - 1.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.8; at home - 1.5.
Palmeiras: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.54, away - 2.17;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.6; away - 2.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 38;
- Both teams have scored overall - 16 times;
- At the home field - 8 times.
Statistics: Fluminense vs Palmeiras
- Total matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 6;
- BTTS for Fluminense at home - 4 (67%);
- BTTS for Palmeiras away - 4 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 2 vs 5;
- BTTS for Fluminense at home - 2 (33%);
- BTTS for Palmeiras away - 2 (100%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Despite the significance of the match and the home advantage, Fluminense enter this clash under less than ideal conditions-both physically and mentally. In contrast, Palmeiras are showcasing better football without hitting their peak form. A lively, high-paced game is anticipated, with both teams having the potential to score. Fluminense haven't found the net in their last three matches, and we believe this streak will end in the upcoming home game. Palmeiras are also gaining momentum following the Club World Cup and have been consistently finding the back of the net. Our prediction: over 1.5 goals in the match.