Shimizu vs Gamba Osaka Prediction

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    πŸ”Š Shimizu and Gamba Osaka are set to face off in the final round of the regular season in the J1 League. Both sides enter the match as direct table neighbors-currently sitting 6th and 7th-which only adds to the stakes. With both clubs eyeing a strong finish, the situation calls for a result-oriented approach, potentially pointing to a low-scoring affair. But should we really expect a tight defensive battle, or could this clash produce goals? Let’s break it down.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 28 February 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Gamba Osaka):

    • ball possession percentage: 56% vs 44%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
    • fouls: 13 vs 7;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 4.

    πŸ“ŠStatistical preview of official matches between the teams Shimizu S Pulse and Gamba Osaka:

    • played 43 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 10, for the away team - 24, draws - 9;
    • number of goals - 51 against 75;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.21, in the 2nd half - 1.72;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.93.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    23%
    10 Wins
    20%
    9 Draws
    57%
    25 Wins
    Total games
    44
    Total Goals Avg
    2.93
    Both teams scored
    59%
    1.18
    Total average
    1.75
    0.64
    Yellow cards
    0.77
    Last matches
    24.05.26
    J1 League
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    -
    -
    5
    1
    8
    12
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    5
    1
    8
    12
    1
    4
    28.02.26
    J1 League
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    -
    -
    4
    4
    13
    7
    0
    0
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    5
    4
    -
    -
    4
    4
    13
    7
    0
    0
    15.06.25
    J1 League
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    1.84
    0.93
    1
    7
    11
    8
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.84
    0.93
    1
    7
    11
    8
    2
    1
    08.03.25
    J.League
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    Shimizu S-Pulse
    Shimizu S-Pulse
    1.18
    0.44
    4
    2
    16
    7
    4
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.18
    0.44
    4
    2
    16
    7
    4
    1
    14.08.22
    J.League
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    Shimizu S-Pulse
    Shimizu S-Pulse
    -
    -
    -
    -
    4
    11
    -
    -
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    -
    -
    4
    11
    -
    -
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    Shimizu S Pulse Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Fagiano Okayama, away team - Shimizu S Pulse). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.

    Here's the game statistics (Shimizu S Pulse vs Fagiano Okayama):

    • ball possession: 60% vs 40%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
    • fouls: 7 vs 9;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 4.

    In their last five outings, Shimizu have picked up three wins and suffered two defeats, indicating a relatively solid run of form. Over the course of the season, the team have struggled to find the net, averaging just 1.06 goals per game. Defensively, they have performed at a similar level, conceding slightly more than a goal per match. Notably, Shimizu have won their last two home fixtures via penalty shootouts, but that scenario won't suffice this time: while a win would draw them level on points with Gamba, they'd still trail on goal difference. The hosts need to secure victory within regular time.

    Match Results: Shimizu S Pulse

    Last matches
    06.06.26
    J1 League
    Yokohama Marinos
    Yokohama Marinos
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    -
    -
    1
    4
    6
    15
    0
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    1
    4
    6
    15
    0
    2
    L
    31.05.26
    J1 League
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Yokohama Marinos
    Yokohama Marinos
    -
    -
    10
    0
    8
    16
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    10
    0
    8
    16
    1
    0
    D
    24.05.26
    J1 League
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    -
    -
    5
    1
    8
    12
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    5
    1
    8
    12
    1
    4
    L
    17.05.26
    J1 League
    Fagiano Okayama
    Fagiano Okayama
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    -
    -
    2
    4
    9
    7
    0
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    4
    9
    7
    0
    1
    L
    10.05.26
    J1 League
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    -
    -
    4
    2
    10
    10
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    4
    3
    -
    -
    4
    2
    10
    10
    2
    3
    W
    Empty
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    Gamba Osaka Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the AFC Champions League Two tournament (home team - Al Nasr Riyadh, away - Gamba Osaka). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.

    Here are the match stats (Gamba Osaka vs Al Nasr Riyadh):

    • ball possession: 32% vs 68%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 9;
    • fouls: 19 vs 5;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 6.

    Gamba Osaka have struggled for consistency lately, picking up two wins and suffering three defeats in their last five matches. Over the course of the season, the visitors have posted a higher average goals-per-game rate (1.41) than their upcoming opponents, though they also concede more often (1.24 per game). However, the domestic league has taken a back seat for Gamba, as they have thrown all their energy into the AFC Champions League 2. There, they pulled off a stunning upset in the final, defeating Al-Nassr and Cristiano Ronaldo.

    Match Results: Gamba Osaka

    Last matches
    06.06.26
    J1 League
    Tokyo Verdy
    Tokyo Verdy
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    -
    -
    5
    0
    12
    9
    1
    3
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    3
    -
    -
    5
    0
    12
    9
    1
    3
    W
    30.05.26
    J1 League
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    Tokyo Verdy
    Tokyo Verdy
    -
    -
    8
    6
    7
    15
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    8
    6
    7
    15
    0
    0
    D
    24.05.26
    J1 League
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    -
    -
    5
    1
    8
    12
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    5
    1
    8
    12
    1
    4
    W
    16.05.26
    AFC Cup
    Al Nasr Riyadh
    Al Nasr Riyadh
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    -
    -
    9
    3
    5
    19
    2
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    9
    3
    5
    19
    2
    0
    W
    10.05.26
    J1 League
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    -
    -
    3
    1
    4
    17
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    1
    4
    17
    0
    2
    L
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 43;
    • home team wins - 10, away team wins - 24, draws - 9.

    Statistics: Shimizu S Pulse vs Gamba Osaka

    • matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
    • wins: 8 vs 9;
    • win percentage: 47% vs 53%;
    • losses: 9 vs 8;
    • draws: 0 vs 0.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 5 vs 5;
    • losses: 5 vs 5;
    • draws: 0 vs 0.
    Trends
    • Gamba Osaka have drawn in 4 of last 5 away games (J1 League).
    👉Prediction: Draw (odds: 3.3)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.19, the guests - 1.74;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.93;
    • both teams scored: overall - 25; at the home team's field - 14.

    Statistics: Shimizu S Pulse vs Gamba Osaka

    • average total in the tournament: 2.18 vs 2.65;
    • average total goals scored: 1.06 vs 1.41;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.35 vs 0.71;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.71 vs 0.71;
    • Shimizu S Pulse: average total at home in the tournament -  1.13;
    • Gamba Osaka: average total away in the tournament - 1.13;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.2) vs 1.5 (away - 1.4).
    Trends
    • Under 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Shimizu S Pulse games against Gamba Osaka (J1 League).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (2.5) (odds: 1.82)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 43;
    • both teams scored all-time - 25 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 14 times.

    Statistics: Shimizu S Pulse vs Gamba Osaka

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 10;
    • number of BTTS matches for Shimizu S Pulse at home - 6 (75%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Gamba Osaka away - 6 (75%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
    • BTTS matches for Shimizu S Pulse at home - 4 (80%);
    • BTTS matches for Gamba Osaka away - 3 (60%).
    Trends
    • Gamba Osaka have scored and conceded in last 5 away games (J1 League).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 1.72)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (31/171, 18.1%);
    • Shimizu S Pulse at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (4/8, 50%);
    • Gamba Osaka away most often play: 1:1 , 2:2 (2/8, 25%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 11.87% (odds 5.75)
    0:1 - 10.06% (odds 6.7)
    1:0 - 9.36% (odds 7.07)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1) (odds: 5.75)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Both teams have shown average attacking form, but what stands out is Gamba’s recent run of away fixtures featuring goals at both ends. Backing both teams to score (yes) looks like a solid bet here. In their previous head-to-head, the sides traded goals twice, but this time around, a more cautious affair seems likely, with a 1-1 draw a reasonable prediction.

    Our choice
    Both Teams To Score (Yes) at odds of -139*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (23 May 2026, 01:03)

    Betting Tips: Shimizu S Pulse - Gamba Osaka

    Gamba Osaka have drawn
    gamba-osaka-1in 4 of last 5 away games (J1 League).
    Draw
    Bovada
    +215
    Gamba Osaka have not won
    gamba-osaka-1in 7 of last 8 games (J1 League).
    gamba-osaka-1in last 6 away games (J1 League).
    Shimizu S Pulse will not lose
    -222
    Shimizu S Pulse have not won
    shimizu-s-pulsegamba-osaka-1in 13 of last 14 home games against Gamba Osaka (J1 League).
    shimizu-s-pulsegamba-osaka-1in last 8 home games against Gamba Osaka.
    Gamba Osaka have not lost
    gamba-osaka-1in 6 of last 7 away games.
    Gamba Osaka will not lose
    -222
    Shimizu S Pulse have conceded
    shimizu-s-pulsegamba-osaka-1in 16 of last 18 home games against Gamba Osaka (J1 League).
    shimizu-s-pulsegamba-osaka-1in 7 of last 8 home games against Gamba Osaka.
    shimizu-s-pulsein 11 of last 12 games (J1 League).
    shimizu-s-pulsein 9 of last 10 home games (J1 League).
    Gamba Osaka have scored
    gamba-osaka-1in 8 of last 9 games.
    gamba-osaka-1in last 7 away games.
    Gamba Osaka will score goal
    Everygame
    -278
    View more facts

    Shimizu - Gamba Osaka Table position

    West
    gWDLGDPForm
    4.
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    1884629-2130
    5.
    Gamba Osaka
    Gamba Osaka
    1858526-2228
    6.
    Fagiano Okayama
    Fagiano Okayama
    1866624-2526
    7.
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    1848619-2124
    8.
    Kyoto Sanga
    Kyoto Sanga
    1855819-2623

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 8
    Conceded - 16
    -8
    +6
    17 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    5
    1
    Draw
    1
    6
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    8
    Scored
    17
    16
    Conceded
    11
    2.4
    Match goals average
    2.8
    0.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    1.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    7
    Both teams scored
    7
    113'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    53'
    View all stats