Vaasa vs Gnistan Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 12 October 2026
🔊 On Thursday, VPS lost 6-0 to HJK, and they are currently bottom of the Veikkausliiga championship group. Gnistan, by contrast, have gone eight league matches without a defeat. That said, VPS have taken points off Gnistan this season: both meetings ended 1-1.
Head-to-Head
The last meeting between these two sides in the Veikkausliiga ended 1-1. Gnistan had 23 shots to VPS's 10 and put five on target to their three, but could not find a winner.
Across 13 official meetings, VPS have won five, Gnistan four, with four draws. The goal difference is almost level - 19:18 in favour of VPS.
Head-to-head statistics Vaasa - Gnistan
Vaasa PS Team Overview
VPS's last Veikkausliiga match ended in a 0-6 defeat away to HJK. Despite having 109 attacks to HJK's 79, VPS managed just one shot on target compared to HJK's ten.
VPS reached the championship group from sixth place and opened their campaign there with a one-goal win over Oulu. They then went three games in a row without a win and without scoring. Inter beat them by one goal, KuPS by two, and on Thursday HJK thrashed the Vaasa side. VPS have been modest in attack anyway: they have scored more than one goal in just one of their last 12 league matches. At home, VPS have lost four of their last six matches. One point separates them from fifth-placed Oulu.
Match Results: Vaasa PS
Gnistan Team Overview
In their previous Veikkausliiga fixture, Gnistan drew 0-0 with Inter Turku at home. The visitors had 64% possession and attempted 17 shots to Gnistan's 11, but their three shots on target came to nothing.
In early September, Gnistan lost their top scorer when Adeleke Akinyemi joined Azerbaijani side Neftchi. Without him, the team have not lost, but in four championship group matches they have drawn three times. The most recent of those draws was a goalless one against group leaders Inter. Gnistan are currently fourth, three points behind third-placed HJK. They are more dangerous away from home: in each of their last five league away matches they have scored at least twice. Across those five matches the team have picked up 13 points, beating Inter, HJK and Oulu twice.
Match Results: Gnistan
Total Goals Prediction
Five of the last five head-to-head meetings between VPS and Gnistan have produced fewer than three goals. The home side's attacking output only reinforces that picture: seven goals in their last ten matches. In their last ten home matches specifically, VPS have scored just four goals. We are not expecting a third goal in this fixture. Our pick is Total Goals - Under 2.5.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
IFK VPS's defence has been giving opponents plenty of opportunities lately, conceding 18 goals in their last ten matches. Gnistan tend to take advantage of such situations - both teams scored in 7 of the visitors' last 8 matches. The hosts also have reason to expect goals at their end: Gnistan have conceded in 18 of their last 20 away matches. We expect both sides to get on the scoresheet. The pick is Both Teams to Score - Yes.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes for this match are: 1-1 (12.4%), 1-0 (9.16%), and 2-1 (8.58%). A 1-1 draw is considered the most probable scoreline, with the chances of the other outcomes also fairly close together.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
VPS have not beaten Gnistan in six consecutive head-to-head matches. Gnistan have not lost by more than one goal in 18 consecutive Veikkausliiga matches. Recent form also favours Gnistan, who have taken points in eight consecutive league matches. VPS, meanwhile, have gone three matches in a row without scoring. We do not expect Gnistan to leave Vaasa without points. The bet is Gnistan not to lose. Predicted score: 1-1
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Betting Tips: Vaasa PS - Gnistan
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