Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Prediction 23 May 2026
🔊 Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit fourth in the West and are set to host Nagoya Grampus in the final round of the regular season. Nagoya Grampus remain in contention for the conference title and have shown more consistent form overall, though they suffered a heavy defeat in their last outing-a result that could take a toll on the squad’s confidence. Both sides have been prolific in front of goal this season, but defensive lapses have been an issue for each. The key factor here will be which team manages to strike the right balance between attacking firepower and defensive stability.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 18 March 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Nagoya Grampus):
- ball possession percentage: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus:
- played 48 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 20, for the away team - 18, draws - 10;
- number of goals - 71 against 58;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.15, in the 2nd half - 1.54;
- average total goals in the match - 2.69.
Head-to-head statistics Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Kyoto Sanga, away team - Sanfrecce Hiroshima). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:4.
Here's the game statistics (Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga):
- ball possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 1;
- fouls: 14 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 8 vs 2.
Over their last five matches, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have picked up two wins and suffered three defeats, with both victories coming in their most recent outings. Looking at their last ten fixtures, the side have claimed five wins and lost five times, underlining a lack of consistency over a longer run. They average 1.47 goals scored and 1.12 conceded per game, suggesting the hosts are likely to find the net at least once. Motivation is high for Hiroshima as they aim to break into the top three, though a slip could see them drop as low as sixth in the standings.
Match Results: Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Cerezo Osaka, away - Nagoya Grampus). The match concluded with a scoreline of 6:1.
Here are the match stats (Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka):
- ball possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 5 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 9.
Nagoya Grampus are holding onto second place largely thanks to their potent attacking unit: they average 1.71 goals per game this season, and that figure rises to 1.9 over the last ten rounds-a truly impressive return. However, their defensive line remains a concern, conceding an average of 1.41 goals per match. This vulnerability was on full display in the previous round, when Mihailo Petrović’s men shipped six goals against Cerezo Osaka, a result that cost them the top spot to Vissel Kobe.
Match Results: Nagoya Grampus
Match Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head record:
- Matches played - 48;
- Home wins - 20, Away wins - 18, Draws - 10.
Stats: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus
- Games in the competition: 17 vs 17;
- Wins: 9 vs 10;
- Win percentage: 53% vs 59%;
- Losses: 8 vs 7;
- Draws: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 matches:
- Wins: 5 vs 6;
- Losses: 5 vs 4;
- Draws: 0 vs 0.
- Nagoya Grampus have covered a +1.5 handicap in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head meetings.
- Nagoya Grampus have covered a +1.5 handicap in 10 of their last 11 J1 League fixtures.
- Nagoya Grampus have covered a +1.5 handicap in 7 of their last 8 away matches in the J1 League.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average total goals):
- Home side - 1.48, Away side - 1.21;
- Overall head-to-head average - 2.69 goals per match;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 29 times; at the home ground - 13 times.
Average total stats: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus
- In the competition: 2.59 vs 3.12;
- Goals scored: 1.47 vs 1.71;
- First half: 0.53 vs 0.76;
- Second half: 0.94 vs 0.94;
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima at home in the competition - 1.25;
- Nagoya Grampus away in the competition - 1.75;
- Last 10 matches: 1.4 (home - 1.2) vs 1.9 (away - 1.6).
- Over 2.5 goals has landed in 11 of the last 12 head-to-head meetings between these sides.
- Over 2.5 goals has hit in seven consecutive head-to-head clashes (J1 League).
- Over 2.5 goals has landed in five straight head-to-head matches at the home ground.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head record:
- Matches played - 48;
- Both teams scored all-time - 29 times;
- At the home ground - 13 times.
Stats: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus
- Games played in the competition: 17 vs 17;
- Matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 11 vs 11;
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima BTTS at home - 5 (63%);
- Nagoya Grampus BTTS away - 6 (75%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS games: 5 vs 7;
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
- Nagoya Grampus BTTS away - 4 (80%).
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima have both scored and conceded in 11 of their last 12 head-to-head encounters.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima have both scored and conceded in seven consecutive head-to-head meetings (J1 League).
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima have both scored and conceded at home in five straight head-to-head matches.
- Nagoya Grampus have both scored and conceded away from home in six of their last seven J1 League games.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
This clash promises plenty of excitement, with both sides delivering high-scoring performances throughout the season and showing a consistent preference for attacking football. Head-to-head encounters between these teams almost always feature a flurry of goals. Our editorial team is backing the over 2.5 goals market, with a possible 2-1 win for the visitors.
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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