Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC Prediction 24 May 2026
🔊 Chicago Fire head into this clash having lost three of their last five outings. Toronto, meanwhile, sit much lower in the table, occupying 11th place and struggling for form-managing just a single draw alongside four defeats in their last five matches. Both sides have shown plenty of attacking intent, as reflected in their goal-scoring and conceding records over the past ten games.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 05 October 2025 and ended in a 2-2 draw. Here’s a comparative breakdown of the key stats from that match (Chicago Fire played at home):
- possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corners: 8 vs 9;
- fouls: 14 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 6.
📊 Statistical preview of official head-to-head encounters between Chicago Fire and Toronto:
- They have faced each other 37 times;
- Chicago have claimed 11 wins at home, while Toronto have secured 13 victories; 13 matches have ended in draws;
- Total goals scored: Chicago 55, Toronto 59;
- Average goals in the first half: 1.22; in the second half: 1.86;
- The average total goals per match stands at 3.08.
Head-to-head statistics Chicago Fire - Toronto FC

Chicago Fire Team Overview
Their most recent official fixture took place on in MLS action, with Montreal Impact hosting Chicago Fire. The visitors came away with a 2-0 victory.
Here’s a look at the key stats from the match (Chicago Fire vs Montreal Impact):
- Possession: 41% vs 59%;
- Corners: 3 vs 16;
- Fouls: 13 vs 14;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 5.
Chicago Fire have delivered inconsistent results over a short stretch, dropping three of their last five matches. However, their longer-term form inspires more confidence: six wins and just three defeats in their previous ten outings. On average, the team scores 2.1 goals per game while conceding 1.3, a balance that consistently leads to high-scoring encounters. Defensive frailties remain an issue, often resulting in both teams finding the net-even against opponents who are struggling for form. Low-scoring games are a rarity for the club, a trend reflected in their overall goal statistics.
Match Results: Chicago Fire

Toronto Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in MLS action, with Charlotte hosting Toronto. The game ended 3-1.
Here’s a breakdown of the key stats (Toronto vs Charlotte):
- Possession: 54% vs 46%;
- Corners: 3 vs 7;
- Fouls: 13 vs 8;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 6.
Toronto are going through a rough patch, with just two wins in their last ten matches-a clear sign of a dip in form. Defensively, the team look vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.3 goals per game over that stretch, while their own scoring rate stands at 1.8 goals per outing. Despite the disappointing results, Toronto have managed to find the net at least once in twelve consecutive fixtures and are frequently involved in high-scoring affairs; both teams have scored in eleven of their last twelve games.
Match Results: Toronto
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 37;
- home team wins - 11, away team wins - 13, draws - 13.
Statistics: Chicago Fire vs Toronto
- matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
- wins: 7 vs 3;
- win percentage: 54% vs 23%;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 2;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 1 vs 4.
- Toronto won with a +1.5 handicap in 14 of last 15 away games against Chicago Fire.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.49, the guests - 1.59;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.08;
- both teams scored: overall - 27; at the home team's field - 12.
Statistics: Chicago Fire vs Toronto
- average total in the tournament: 3.08 vs 3.69;
- average total goals scored: 1.92 vs 1.62;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.77 vs 0.31;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.15 vs 1.31;
- Chicago Fire: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Toronto: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.1 (home - 1.83) vs 1.8 (away - 1).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Chicago Fire games.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Toronto games.
Prediction on corners
Chicago Fire: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.69; at home field - 5.57;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.5; at home field - 5.17.
Toronto: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.85, away - 4.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.8; away - 3.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 37;
- both teams scored all-time - 27 times;
- on the home team’s field - 12 times.
Statistics: Chicago Fire vs Toronto
- number of matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 11;
- number of BTTS matches for Chicago Fire at home - 3 (43%);
- number of BTTS matches for Toronto away - 2 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 10;
- BTTS matches for Chicago Fire at home - 3 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Toronto away - 1 (100%).
- Toronto have scored and conceded in last 11 games.
- Toronto have scored and conceded in last 10 games (MLS).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (18/203, 8.9%);
- Chicago Fire at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (2/7, 28.6%);
- Toronto away most often play: 0:1 , 3:0 , 3:1 , 3:2 (1/4, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 10.23% (odds 7.5)
1:1 - 8.97% (odds 8.5)
2:0 - 8.75% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Chicago Fire’s current form suggests they will be aggressive in attack-they have been scoring consistently, even as their defensive lapses persist. Toronto, meanwhile, are riding an impressive streak of both teams scoring in their last eleven matches. The average goals per game for both sides points to an open contest with little caution at the back. All signs from this season’s stats and recent trends indicate that the smart bet for this fixture is on both teams to find the net. Prediction - both teams to score.