Burnley vs Wolves Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 May 2026
🔊 On May 24, Turf Moor will host a match where league standings are no longer at stake, but professional pride certainly is. Burnley and Wolverhampton head into the final round of the Premier League already knowing they’ll be starting next season in the Championship. Still, there’s a symbolic gap between 19th and 20th place in the table. The hosts are two points clear of the visitors, and a draw would guarantee they avoid finishing bottom. For Wolves, this is their last chance to climb off the foot of the table-a spot they’ve been stuck in since the opening weeks.
Head-to-Head
📊 Burnley are unbeaten against Wolverhampton at Turf Moor in their last seven encounters, recording four wins and three draws. Earlier this season, the sides produced a goal-filled thriller: back in October 2025, the Clarets edged out Wolves 3-2 at Molineux, with Zian Flemming bagging a brace.
Head-to-head statistics Burnley - Wolves
Burnley Team Overview
The 2025/26 campaign turned into a disaster for the Clarets. Scott Parker’s side managed to collect just 20 points and suffered immediate relegation to the Championship following their promotion. Parker was dismissed, but results hardly improved under his successor, Michael Jackson. Still, Burnley showed some fight in their final fixtures: a hard-fought draw with Aston Villa (2-2) and a narrow defeat to Arsenal (0-1) last time out prove the players are not simply going through the motions as the season winds down.
Against the Gunners, Burnley dug in and made life difficult for the newly-crowned champions, conceding the only goal of the match after the break. The interim head coach praised his squad’s commitment at his pre-match press conference ahead of the Wolves clash, stressing that Burnley aim to end the season on a high and hold onto 19th place. Up front, hopes rest on Zian Flemming, who has become the first Burnley player since Chris Wood in 2020/21 to hit double figures in the Premier League, netting 10 goals this term.
Match Results: Burnley
Wolverhampton Wanderers Team Overview
The Wolves are enduring their worst-ever Premier League campaign. They have managed just three wins in 37 matches-all of them at home-and have collected a meager 19 points. Wolverhampton have matched Sheffield United’s unwanted record by failing to win any of their opening 17 league fixtures, and they never truly recovered from that disastrous start. Their away form has been especially dismal: zero wins and only seven goals scored in 18 matches on the road.
However, in the previous round, Rob Edwards’ side managed to salvage a point in their final home game of the season, drawing 1-1 with Fulham thanks to a goal from Mateusz Mane. The 18-year-old winger has been the team’s lone bright spot, but he already appears to have one foot out the door. Manchester United, Liverpool, and Borussia Dortmund are all reportedly interested, and this could well be his final appearance in a Wolves shirt.
Match Results: Wolverhampton Wanderers
Latest news
Burnley
❌ The squad situation is far from ideal, but remains stable compared to previous rounds. Centre-back Jordan Beyer, holding midfielder Josh Cullen, and right-back Connor Roberts are all ruled out. The manager is likely to stick with the same starting eleven that put up a fight against Arsenal.
Wolverhampton Wanderers
🚫 Squad issues pale in comparison to the club’s current league position, and even those are far from critical. Young striker Leon Chivome and backup goalkeeper Sam Johnstone remain sidelined through injury. The return of first-choice keeper and captain Jose Sa, who featured in the previous round, brings added stability between the posts.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
Andrew Kitchen is the referee for this one, and so far this Premier League season he averages 3.7 bookings per game. He's only officiated three top-flight matches, but even in the Championship, his average sits at a modest 2.9 yellow cards over 29 appearances. With only a symbolic 19th place at stake, it's unlikely either side will be overly aggressive-especially considering Burnley are among the league’s most disciplined teams at home, picking up just 1.28 yellows per match at Turf Moor. The smart play here is on under 3 yellow cards at odds of 1.54*.
⚽ Goals Prediction
Despite featuring the league's two lowest-ranked sides, this fixture could well see plenty of goals. Burnley concede an average of 1.8 goals per game at home, while Wolves have managed just one clean sheet in their last 20 Premier League away matches. In fact, all of Wolves’ last four road games have gone over the total. According to Stats Insider’s analytical model, which simulated this match 10,000 times, there’s over a 60% chance both teams find the net and a 55% probability for the over to hit. With both defences struggling all season, a goalless draw seems off the cards. Backing both teams to score and over 2.5 goals at around 2.10* looks like a well-founded prediction.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Both sides rank bottom of the league for average corners won per game, with neither managing more than 3.6. However, with Burnley likely to push forward and Wolves looking to hit on the counter, the number of set pieces could exceed expectations. We’re anticipating an open contest and are backing over 9.5 corners at 1.87*. That mark has been surpassed in each of Burnley’s last six home matches.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across bookmakers.
Editors’ Prediction
The final matchday at Turf Moor brings together two struggling sides, but Burnley’s ship appears slightly steadier than Wolves’. The Clarets have not lost at home to Wolverhampton in their last seven head-to-head meetings, and recent performances suggest their players still have plenty of professional pride left to play for. Wolves have been woeful on the road and look unlikely to snap their dismal away run here. Our well-founded prediction is a 2-1 win for the hosts, making a Burnley (0) handicap victory the smart bet.
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Betting Tips: Burnley - Wolverhampton Wanderers
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