AZ Alkmaar vs Breda Prediction 24 April 2025
πCan AZ Alkmaar live up to their billing as favorites against NAC Breda in the 30th round of the Eredivisie? Both clubs are in contrasting forms, yet each is eager to climb the Eredivisie standings. AZ Alkmaar have recently hit a rough patch, dropping several points, but they remain formidable at home with their attacking style of play. On the other hand, NAC Breda are fighting to escape the relegation zone and aim to deliver a strong performance on the road. This match could be pivotal for both teams: will AZ solidify their position, or will NAC spring a surprise?
Head-to-Head
πStatistical preview of official encounters between AZ Alkmaar and NAC Breda:
- 28 matches played;
- home wins - 15, away wins - 9, draws - 4;
- goal tally - 58 to 33;
- average goals in the first half - 1.11, in the second half - 2.14;
- average total goals per match - 3.25.
The last game took place on 15 December 2024 at NAC Breda's ground and ended with a 1-2 scoreline.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

AZ Alkmaar Team Overview
AZ Alkmaar currently hold the sixth spot in the Eredivisie standings, striving to maintain their position among the league's front-runners. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins, five losses, and three draws in their last 10 outings. AZ Alkmaar play an attacking brand of football, focusing on ball possession and averaging 1.62 goals per match. However, their defense remains a concern, conceding an average of 1.14 goals. The head-to-head record against NAC Breda highlights AZ's dominance, as they have emerged victorious in the last eight encounters.
Match Results: AZ Alkmaar

NAC Breda Team Overview
NAC Breda are fighting for survival, currently sitting in fifteenth place in the Dutch league standings. The team has been struggling to find form, with their last ten matches yielding just four draws and six losses, without a single win. The "Yellow-Greens" face challenges both in attack and defense, averaging only 0.7 goals per match while conceding 1.6. However, they managed to put up a fight against AZ Alkmaar in the first round, losing narrowly 2-1, which adds an element of intrigue to the upcoming match.
Match Results: NAC Breda
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- home team wins - 15, away team wins - 9, draws - 4.
Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda
- number of matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 29;
- number of wins: 13 vs 8;
- win percentage: 45% vs 28%;
- number of losses: 9 vs 14;
- number of draws: 7 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 2 vs 0;
- number of losses: 5 vs 4;
- number of draws: 3 vs 6.
- NAC Breda won with a +2.5 handicap in 13 of last 14 away games.
- NAC Breda won with a +2.5 handicap in 11 of last 12 away games (Eredivisie).
- NAC Breda won with a +2.5 handicap in last 8 games.
- NAC Breda won with a +2.5 handicap in last 7 games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.07, the guests - 1.18;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.25;
- both teams scored: overall - 18; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda
- average total in the tournament: 2.76 vs 2.76;
- average total goals scored: 1.62 vs 1.07;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.62 vs 0.52;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 0.55;
- AZ Alkmaar: average total at home in the tournament - 1.79;
- NAC Breda: average total away in the tournament - 0.86;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1) vs 0.7 (away - 0.6).
- AZ Alkmaar have scored over 1.5 goals in last 6 games against NAC Breda (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
- Under 10.5 corners in 7 of last 8 AZ Alkmaar home games.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.64 (1.32 for home team and 1.32 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.33 (1.13 for home team and 1.2 for away team).
AZ Alkmaar: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.52; at home - 1.21;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; at home - 2.
NAC Breda: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.66, away - 1.71;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; away - 1.8.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
- on the home teamβs field - 9 times.
Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda
- number of matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 29;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 16 vs 17;
- number of BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar at home - 8 (57%);
- number of BTTS matches for NAC Breda away - 7 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for NAC Breda away - 3 (60%).
- NAC Breda have scored and conceded in last 6 games.
- NAC Breda have scored and conceded in last 5 games (Eredivisie).
Editor's Prediction
The clash between AZ Alkmaar and NAC Breda is likely to be dominated by the hosts, particularly in their attacking play. AZ consistently performs well in head-to-head encounters with this opponent, having scored more than 1.5 goals in each of their last six Eredivisie meetings. This trend indicates that AZ Alkmaar are comfortable breaking down their opponent's defense and securing points through aggressive forward play. Given these trends, betting on AZ Alkmaar's individual total of over 1.5 goals appears to be a well-founded prediction.