AZ Alkmaar vs Breda Prediction 17 May 2026
π Can AZ Alkmaar extend their unbeaten run in the Eredivisie? The streak currently stands at six matches, though AZ have been held to draws in their last three outings. In the final round, Alkmaar will host NAC Breda, the leagueβs second-bottom side, who have already been relegated from the Dutch top flight. Can the hosts break their run of stalemates and finish the season on a high? Our editorial team assesses the odds and delivers their prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 31 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - NAC Breda):
- ball possession percentage: 39% vs 61%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 7;
- fouls: 8 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 5;
- shots on target: 6 vs 8.
πStatistical preview of official matches between the teams AZ Alkmaar and NAC Breda:
- played 30 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 16, for the away team - 9, draws - 5;
- number of goals - 60 against 34;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.03, in the 2nd half - 2.1;
- average total goals in the match - 3.13.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
AZ Alkmaar Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Feyenoord Rotterdam, away team - AZ Alkmaar). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here's the game statistics (AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord Rotterdam):
- ball possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 7;
- fouls: 9 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 5.
AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in their last six league matches, though they've managed just two wins alongside four draws during this run. Recently, AZ lifted the KNVB Cup in style, thrashing NEC Nijmegen 5-1 in the final. On average, Alkmaar score 1.67 goals per game while conceding 1.45. AZ have built a reputation as a formidable home side, going 12 matches without defeat across all competitions at their own ground.
Match Results: AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - NAC Breda, away - Heerenveen). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here are the match stats (NAC Breda vs Heerenveen):
- ball possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 10 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
NAC Breda sit near the bottom of the Eredivisie table and have already been condemned to relegation, meaning they will spend next season in the second tier. Their struggles stem from a lack of consistency-over the last 10 matches, NAC have managed just two wins. The teamβs attacking output is poor, averaging only 0.97 goals per game, while their defensive record remains worrying with 1.67 goals conceded on average. Away form has also been a major issue, with Breda picking up just a single point from their last five matches on the road.
Match Results: NAC Breda
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head record:
- Matches played - 30;
- Home wins - 16, Away wins - 9, Draws - 5.
Stats: AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda
- Matches in the competition: 33 vs 33;
- Wins: 14 vs 6;
- Win percentage: 42% vs 18%;
- Losses: 10 vs 17;
- Draws: 9 vs 10.
Last 10 matches:
- Wins: 4 vs 2;
- Losses: 2 vs 5;
- Draws: 4 vs 3.
- AZ Alkmaar have come out on top in 9 of the last 10 Eredivisie meetings between these sides.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average total goals):
- Home side - 2, Away side - 1.13;
- Overall head-to-head average - 3.13;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 19 times; at the home ground - 10 times.
Average totals: AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda
- In this competition: 3.12 vs 2.64;
- Goals scored per match: 1.67 vs 0.97;
- First half: 0.91 vs 0.42;
- Second half: 0.76 vs 0.55;
- AZ Alkmaar at home in this competition - 2.25;
- NAC Breda away in this competition - 0.75;
- Last 10 matches: AZ Alkmaar - 1.9 (home - 2.8) vs NAC Breda - 0.8 (away - 0.4).
- NAC Breda have seen under 3.5 goals in each of their last six Eredivisie fixtures.
Corner Prediction
AZ Alkmaar: Stats
- This season: average corners per match - 5.73; at home - 5.81;
- Last 10 matches: average corners - 5.9; at home - 5.
NAC Breda: Stats
- This season: average corners per match - 5.79; away - 5.44;
- Last 10 matches: average corners - 6.9; away - 6.
- NAC Breda have registered over 3.5 corners in 12 of their last 13 away Eredivisie matches.
- NAC Breda have hit over 3.5 corners in each of their last ten Eredivisie fixtures.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- Matches played - 30;
- Both teams have scored all-time - 19 times;
- At the home ground - 10 times.
Stats: AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda
- Matches in this competition: 33 vs 33;
- Matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 21 vs 15;
- AZ Alkmaar BTTS at home - 12 (75%);
- NAC Breda BTTS away - 7 (44%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 4 vs 3;
- AZ Alkmaar BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
- NAC Breda BTTS away - 2 (40%).
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent results (current season):
- The most common scoreline in the competition: 1-1 (34/297, 11.4%);
- AZ Alkmaarβs most frequent home result: 2-2 (3/16, 18.8%);
- NAC Bredaβs most frequent away result: 2-1 (3/16, 18.8%).
Based on statistical analysis and probability distribution, the algorithm projects the top three outcomes:
2-1 - 10.2% (odds: 7.6)
2-0 - 10.07% (odds: 7.8)
1-0 - 8.56% (odds: 10)
β Editorβs Prediction
AZ Alkmaar head into the final stretch of the season unbeaten, but recent performances suggest they are playing it safe rather than pushing for victories-evidenced by four draws and just two wins in their last six outings. NAC Breda have already been relegated from the Eredivisie. Their lackluster attack and defensive frailties have made it tough for them to compete, even against mid-table opposition. Still, for a side languishing at the bottom, Breda have managed to keep their goals conceded relatively low. AZ, meanwhile, are not exactly prolific in front of goal either. This fixture doesnβt look set for a goal-fest. Our prediction: under 3.5 total goals.
Betting Tips: AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
