Hearts vs Celtic Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 25 January 2026
🔊 This Sunday, the 23rd round of the Scottish Premiership brings us a thrilling clash at Tynecastle Park, as league leaders Hearts take on second-placed Celtic. The stakes are high for the hosts, given their impressive home form. In recent weeks, Hearts have showcased excellent play with a solid defense and rapid counter-attacks. Celtic, on the other hand, are striving to keep pace, consistently delivering strong offensive performances. Both clubs are driven by their championship ambitions, adding an extra layer of intrigue to this upcoming showdown.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 07 December 2025 and ended with a 1-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Celtic were the hosts):
- possession: 72% vs 28%;
- corners: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 9 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Hearts and Celtic:
- 60 matches played;
- home wins - 11, away wins - 47, draws - 2;
- goals scored - 51 for Hearts, 151 for Celtic;
- average goals in the first half - 1.37, second half - 2;
- average total goals per match - 3.37.
Head-to-head statistics Hearts - Celtic
Heart of Midlothian Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on in the Scottish Cup Round of 16, with Hearts hosting Falkirk. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Hearts vs Falkirk):
- possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
🔴 Hearts sit atop the league standings, showcasing strong performances both offensively and defensively. They have secured victories in 15 out of their 22 matches this season, boasting an average of 1.91 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.77 on average. On home turf, they are unbeaten in 16 consecutive games-a remarkable streak, albeit with a caveat. In their most recent match at Tynecastle Park, Hearts faced Falkirk in the Scottish Cup Round of 16. After a 1-1 draw in regular and extra time, they were edged out in a penalty shootout (4-5). A victory in Sunday's game would allow Derek McInnes' side to extend their lead over Celtic to nine points.
Match Results: Heart of Midlothian
Celtic Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Europa League, with Bologna hosting Celtic. The game ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here's the match statistics (Celtic vs Bologna):
- possession: 29% vs 71%;
- corners: 2 vs 16;
- fouls: 11 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 10.
🟢 Celtic are in hot pursuit of the league leaders from their second-place position. After a 3-1 defeat to Rangers in the league, the "Bhoys" have been revitalized under Martin O'Neill. Under his leadership, they secured victories against Dundee United (4-0) and Falkirk (1-0). Celtic then knocked Auchinleck Talbot out of the national cup in the Round of 32 with a 2-0 win. On Thursday, they managed to snatch a point from Bologna in Italy, drawing 2-2 in the Europa League despite playing with ten men from the 34th minute. The team averages 1.77 goals per game, but they also concede more than they might like, with an average of around 0.95 goals against per match this season. Celtic's recent back-to-back losses to Hearts, 3-1 and 2-1, could fuel their competitive edge ahead of this game, potentially narrowing the gap to just three points.
Match Results: Celtic
Latest news
Heart of Midlothian
🎙️ Derek McInnes on the upcoming match: "Every game has its own story; three points feel more significant than the last time. There's no doubt that when you're playing against teams around you and you can beat them, it carries special significance. Every time we played against Celtic and Rangers, we performed brilliantly. We hope this Sunday will be the same."
❌ Beni Baningime, Calem Nieuwenhof, Oisin McEntee, and Eduardo Agueu will not be available for Hearts in the upcoming fixture. Cammy Devlin and Lawrence Shankland are sidelined for 6-8 weeks. Steven Kingsley's participation remains doubtful.
Celtic
🎙️ Martin O'Neill ahead of Sunday: "The match is going to be massive, no doubt. If we lose, it will take us a long time to recover - so we're going out there to win, if we can. Tynecastle has a fantastic atmosphere, it's electric, and I've always said that outside of Ibrox, it's the most intimidating place, and I think the atmosphere will be brilliant. The players are in good spirits, they'll be ready for the game, but there might come a time when the substitutes play their part."
📝 Celtic have signed Czech forward Tomáš Čvančara on loan. The 25-year-old Czech Republic international, who joined from Borussia Mönchengladbach on a loan deal, could feature in the squad for the upcoming match.
❌ Jonny Kenny has suffered a calf strain in Bologna, and his condition will be assessed before the weekend. Kelechi Iheanacho has returned to training.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 60;
- First-half wins for the home team - 3; for the away team - 13; draws - 11;
- Average first-half total: 1.37;
- Today's home side averages 0.27 goals, while the visitors average 1.1.
First-Half Stats: Hearts (home) vs Celtic (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- Wins: 5 (45.45%) vs 5 (45.45%);
- Losses: 1 (9.09%) vs 2 (18.18%);
- Draws: 5 (45.45%) vs 4 (36.36%);
- Average goals scored: 1.18 vs 1.45;
- Average goals conceded: 0.27 vs 0.55.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 5 vs 8;
- Losses: 1 vs 1;
- Draws: 4 vs 1;
- Average first-half total: 0.8 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.2) vs 1.8 (scored - 1.4, conceded - 0.4).
- Celtic have won the first half in 8 of their last 9 matches.
- Celtic have won the first half away in 7 of their last 8 matches.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 60;
- Home wins - 11, Away wins - 47, Draws - 2.
Statistics: Hearts vs Celtic
- Matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- Wins: 15 vs 14;
- Win percentage: 68% vs 64%;
- Losses: 2 vs 6;
- Draws: 5 vs 2.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 6 vs 5;
- Losses: 2 vs 4;
- Draws: 2 vs 1.
- Hearts are unbeaten at home in their last 16 matches.
- Hearts are unbeaten at home in their last 13 Premier League games.
- Hearts have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 matches.
- Hearts have avoided defeat in 8 of their last 9 Premier League matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- The current home team averages - 0.85 goals, visitors - 2.52;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 3.37;
- Both teams scored: overall - 26 times; at home team's ground - 13 times.
Statistics: Hearts vs Celtic
- Average tournament total: 2.68 vs 2.73;
- Average goals scored: 1.91 vs 1.77;
- Average first-half total: 0.77 vs 0.86;
- Average second-half total: 1.14 vs 0.91;
- Hearts: average home total in the tournament - 2.09;
- Celtic: average away total in the tournament - 1.27;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.4) vs 1.9 (away - 1.57).
- Total under 3.5 goals occurred in 11 of Hearts' last 12 matches.
- Total under 3.5 goals occurred in 10 of Hearts' last 11 Premier League matches.
- Total under 3.5 goals occurred in Hearts' last six home matches consecutively.
- Total under 3.5 goals occurred in Hearts' last five home Premier League matches consecutively.
Corners Prediction
Hearts: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 5.73; at home - 5.91;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.5; at home - 5.8.
Celtic: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 6.86, away - 5.36;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 6.5; away - 5.29.
- Total under 10.5 corners occurred in 12 of the last 14 head-to-head Premier League matches between these teams.
- Total under 10.5 corners occurred in six of Hearts' last seven home matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 60;
- Both teams scored overall - 26 times;
- At home team's ground - 13 times.
Statistics: Hearts vs Celtic
- Total matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 9;
- BTTS for Hearts at home - 5 (45%);
- BTTS for Celtic away - 5 (45%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS for Hearts at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS for Celtic away - 4 (57%).
Correct Score Prediction
Most Frequent Results (Current Season):
- The most common scoreline in the tournament: 1-1 (17/132, 12.9%);
- Hearts' most frequent home results: 1-0, 1-1, 2-0 (2/11, 18.2%);
- Celtic's most frequent away results: 0-1, 1-2, 2-0 (2/11, 18.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top three outcomes:
1-1 - 12.81% (odds: 6.5)
1-0 - 9.06% (odds: 11)
0-1 - 8.91% (odds: 9)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the form of both teams, a hard-fought contest with numerous goal-scoring opportunities on both ends is anticipated. Predicting the outcome of this game is quite challenging. Taking into account the statistics from their recent head-to-head encounters, we are opting for under 10.5 corners, which has been the case in 12 of their last 14 matchups and in 6 of Hearts' last 7 home games.No comments
Betting Tips: Heart of Midlothian - Celtic
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